StatTrak ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened (Factory New)

4.9 8119 reviews
facebook}
twitter
Latest price change
Last week
$ 9
+1.11%
Last month
$ 9
+1.11%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 931
+13.77%
In a quarter
$ 848
+3.63%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
100% - Forecast accuracy
100% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
2 offers on 2 markets
Updated26 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Skinport
Skinport
1 offers
from $ 820
Steam
Steam
1 offers
from $ 1 419
Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened (Factory New)
Gallery
★ Bayonet | Case Hardened inspecting ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened holding ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened pose-1 ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened pose-2 ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 820
  • 24h price change: 0.4902%
  • 7 days low: $ 811
  • 7 days high: $ 1 419
  • 7 days price change: 1.11%
  • 30 days low: $ 811
  • 30 days high: $ 2 000
  • 30 days price change: 1.11%
  • 90 days low: $ 811
  • 90 days high: $ 2 105
  • Year low: $ 620
  • Year high: $ 2 105
  • All time low: $ 620
  • All time high: $ 2 105
  • All time max offers: 8
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 0
  • Sales for last 30 days: 0
  • Sales for last 90 days: 0
  • All time sales: 1
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 5, 2025
  • Risk: 0.1873
  • Volatility: 15.42%
  • Liquidity: 9.22%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 931
  • Price forecast change in a month: 13.77%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 848
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 3.63%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 1 099
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 962
Action
📉 Sell
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 892
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 2 103
Action
📉 Sell
August 28, 2025
Price
$ 936
Action
❌ Avoid
September 21, 2025
Price
$ 940
Action
✋ Hold
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 962
Action
❌ Avoid
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 1 099
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 962
Action
📉 Sell
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 1 054
Action
📉 Sell
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 892
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 896
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 901
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 826
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 2 103
Action
📉 Sell
August 28, 2025
Price
$ 2 102
Action
📉 Sell
September 5, 2025
Price
$ 2 041
Action
📉 Sell
September 13, 2025
Price
$ 936
Action
❌ Avoid
September 21, 2025
Price
$ 940
Action
✋ Hold
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 962
Action
❌ Avoid
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 1 042
Action
❌ Avoid
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 824
Action
❌ Avoid
October 28, 2025
Price
$ 811
Action
❌ Avoid
November 5, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
100%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
100%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Related
4.7 1502
In half a year 33%
★ Bayonet | Autotronic
Covert
Normal
★ Bayonet
Autotronic
Battle-Scarred
$ 274
57%
From last month
55 offers on 9 markets
4.9 7374
In half a year 31%
★ Bayonet | Black Laminate
Covert
Normal
★ Bayonet
Black Laminate
Well-Worn
$ 158
44%
From last month
208 offers on 9 markets
$ 221
62%
From last month
48 offers on 10 markets

Description

History

History

The ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened (Factory New) was added to the CS2 skins collection in the Revolver Case released on August 14th, 2013, as part of "The Arms Deal" update. In the years since its release, it became highly popular and desired due to its one-of-a-kind Case Hardened pattern, making this skin one of the most wanted and expensive knife skins in the game.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened (Factory New) is a very rare and highly wanted skin in CS2. It can only be obtained by opening one of the 11 containers that house this particular skin, such as the CS2 Weapon Case, CS2 Weapon Case 2, and CS2 Weapon Case 3. Unlike other skins, the StatTrak ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened does not belong to any specific collection, making it even more unique and valuable.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened (Factory New) has an incredibly high popularity, reaching 95%, due to its high demand for the game CS2. Its high market price is a testament to making it one of the game's most wanted items.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened (Factory New) is one of the 391 available Knife skins in CS2. With its Covert rarity, this particular Case Hardened variant is an exceptionally rare drop, estimated to have a drop chance of only 0.26%.

Availability

Availability

The price of the StatTrak ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened Factory New for CS2 is from $317.44 to $975.00, which belongs to the higher price segment. At the same time, this popular skin is relatively easy to get because it is available both on the official Steam Market and on third-party platforms. There are already 5.4K units of the Case Hardened skin in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

Float value for the StatTrak ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened is between 0.00 and 1.00, which allows this skin to be found in all kinds of exteriors but have a StatTrak version of each of those skins. Therefore, regardless of wear and tear, a player is able to track his kills with this most iconic knife skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community love for the StatTrak ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened (Factory New) in CS2 is very positive, with great popularity and acceptance. Having gained more than 8K votes on addskins.gg, it boasts an amazing average rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars. Besides that, the fact that professional CS2 player aerial owns this skin adds much value and prestige to the skin within the community.

Finish style

Finish style

This Bayonet | Case Hardened Factory New features a "Patina" style finish, with an appearance similar to what case hardening does to real-life firearms. For Case Hardened, different pattern indices completely change how the skin looks, which makes for a really unique and interesting design on the blade.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 931 (13.77%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 848 (3.63%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.