StatTrak ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)

4.9 8077 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 57
+15.41%
Last month
$ 136
+46.74%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 487
-0.0226%
In a quarter
$ 359
-26.3%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
89% - Forecast accuracy
86% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
7 offers on 6 markets
Updated3 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
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1 offers
from $ 427
ShadowPay
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1 offers
from $ 525
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1 offers
from $ 530
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1 offers
from $ 555
Steam
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2 offers
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CSGO.COM
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1 offers
from $ 1 000
Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)
Gallery
★ Bayonet | Case Hardened inspecting ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened holding ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened pose-1 ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened pose-2 ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 427
  • 7 days low: $ 370
  • 7 days high: $ 1 000
  • 7 days price change: 15.41%
  • 30 days low: $ 291
  • 30 days high: $ 1 012
  • 30 days price change: 46.74%
  • 90 days low: $ 291
  • 90 days high: $ 1 152
  • Year low: $ 291
  • Year high: $ 1 771
  • All time low: $ 291
  • All time high: $ 1 771
  • All time max offers: 15
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 0
  • Sales for last 30 days: 2
  • Sales for last 90 days: 3
  • All time sales: 8
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 2, 2025
  • Risk: 0.1976
  • Volatility: 11.54%
  • Liquidity: 2.15%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 487
  • Price forecast change in a month: -0.0226%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 359
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -26.3%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 560
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 432
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 476
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 427
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 427
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 500
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 73.09
17.12%
Result
👍 Success
November 2, 2025
Price
$ 560
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 432
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 469
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 435
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 435
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 476
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 494
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 485
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 500
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 427
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 427
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 423
Action
🔥 Buy
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 376
Action
🔥 Buy
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 418
Action
🔥 Buy
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 440
Action
🔥 Buy
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 320
Action
🔥 Buy
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 500
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 73.09
17.12%
Result
👍 Success
November 2, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 73.09
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 427
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
89%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
86%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
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From last month
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Description

History

History

The ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) was added to CS2 on August 14th, 2013, together with "The Arms Deal" update, which actually brought weapon skins into the game. The unique Case Hardened pattern made this skin extremely popular among collectors and traders. A little later, the StatTrak version was also available, adding an extra level of rarity and value to this iconic knife skin.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) can be acquired through the opening of various containers, such as the CS2 Weapon Case, CS2 Weapon Case 2, and CS2 Weapon Case 3. Unlike other skins, it does not belong to any specific collections, making it a unique and sought-after item among CS2 players.

Popularity

Popularity

In-game, the StatTrak ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) has a popularity of 95%, which states its great demand in CS2. Its great demand is shown by big daily sales volume and quite high prices this skin sells for in the real market.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) is one of 391 other knife skins in CS2. Its rarity is classified as Covert, making it an ultra rare drop with an estimated drop chance of just 0.26%, making it one of the most highly pursued skins among collectors and players alike.

Availability

Availability

The price of the StatTrak ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) for CS2 skins is in the high price bracket, which ranges from $317.44 to $975.00. However, it is pretty easy to get right now since it is available in many markets. For proof of its popularity, there are around 5.4K units of the Case Hardened skin existing in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value for the StatTrak ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) in CS2 ranges from 0.38 to 0.45, and this skin shows a moderate amount of wear on both the blade and handle. This skin is available in all exteriors, and for collectors who want to track their kills, each exterior variant has a StatTrak version.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment towards the StatTrak ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) in CS2 is extremely positive, with over 8K votes on addskins.gg, averaging an astonishing 4.9 out of 5-star rating. Moreover, the skin has gained recognition among professional CS2 players since it belongs to aerial, further cementing its reputation.

Finish style

Finish style

This StatTrak Bayonet features a nicely worn Case Hardened finish, the patina of which has formed a non-reactive, hardened shell over the metallic parts. The pattern index for the finish adds depth and variation, making this a truly eye-catching and unique piece.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 487 (-0.0226%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 359 (-26.3%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.