StatTrak ★ Bayonet | Fade (Factory New)

4.5 8522 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 74
+12.87%
Last month
$ 282
+76.84%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 826
+27.27%
In a quarter
$ 557
-14.18%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
67% - Forecast accuracy
67% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
47 offers on 10 markets
Updated5 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ Bayonet | Fade (Factory New)
Gallery
★ Bayonet | Fade inspecting ★ Bayonet | Fade holding ★ Bayonet | Fade pose-1 ★ Bayonet | Fade pose-2 ★ Bayonet | Fade pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 649
  • 7 days low: $ 575
  • 7 days high: $ 1 314
  • 7 days price change: 12.87%
  • 30 days low: $ 367
  • 30 days high: $ 1 483
  • 30 days price change: 76.84%
  • 90 days low: $ 367
  • 90 days high: $ 2 096
  • Year low: $ 367
  • Year high: $ 123 577
  • All time low: $ 367
  • All time high: $ 123 577
  • All time max offers: 75
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 1
  • Sales for last 7 days: 2
  • Sales for last 30 days: 17
  • Sales for last 90 days: 26
  • All time sales: 64
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 0.3301
  • Volatility: 9.21%
  • Liquidity: 10.1%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 826
  • Price forecast change in a month: 27.27%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 557
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -14.18%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ Bayonet | Fade (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 737
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 746
Action
✋ Hold
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 702
Action
❌ Avoid
September 3, 2025
Price
$ 810
Action
✋ Hold
September 19, 2025
Price
$ 799
Action
❌ Avoid
September 27, 2025
Price
$ 737
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 736
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 760
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 725
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 728
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 806
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 746
Action
✋ Hold
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 702
Action
❌ Avoid
September 3, 2025
Price
$ 800
Action
❌ Avoid
September 11, 2025
Price
$ 810
Action
✋ Hold
September 19, 2025
Price
$ 799
Action
❌ Avoid
September 27, 2025
Price
$ 778
Action
❌ Avoid
October 5, 2025
Price
$ 768
Action
❌ Avoid
October 13, 2025
Price
$ 849
Action
❌ Avoid
October 21, 2025
Price
$ 520
Action
❌ Avoid
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 599
Action
❌ Avoid
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
67%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
67%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
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Description

History

History

The ★ Bayonet | Fade was introduced to CS2 on August 14th, 2013, as one of the most hyped knife skins when "The Arms Deal" update went live. Its fantastic fade pattern combined with the StatTrak technology made it an immediate hit among collectors and players alike.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak ★ Bayonet | Fade (Factory New) was added to CS2 via multiple container releases, which included the CS2 Weapon Case, CS2 Weapon Case 2, and CS2 Weapon Case 3. This skin is very rare and highly desired since it is not part of any collections, further adding value for collectors and players alike.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak ★ Bayonet | Fade (Factory New) is extremely popular among the CS2 community, with an incredible popularity rate of 90%. This skin combines rarity and aesthetic appeal, topped off with the added bonus of StatTrak technology, which makes it one of the most wanted items for collectors and players alike.

Rarity

Rarity

The Bayonet | Fade StatTrak ★ (Factory New) is one of 391 knife skins that are present in CS2. With a rarity of Covert, this makes the particular Fade skin ultra rare. It has an estimated drop chance of merely 0.26%.

Availability

Availability

The price of the StatTrak ★ Bayonet | Fade (Factory New) for CS2 ranges from $997.65 to $1,219.36, which is on the high side. However, for those players who wish to get this highly popular skin, it is considered widely available and can be bought on different markets. The skin of Fade is very popular, and there are about 5.5K units of it in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

It enables the pristine state of the skin as this StatTrak ★ Bayonet | Fade Factory New has a float value of 0.00 - 0.08 range. Besides this Factory New version, it's possible to get another variant for Minimal Wear where this stat-track version allows kill counting even in versions with light wear.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment towards the StatTrak ★ Bayonet | Fade (Factory New) for CS2 is overwhelmingly positive, with a rating of 4.5 out of 5 stars based on over 8.4K votes on addskins.gg. Its popularity is further exemplified by its ownership among professional CS2 players such as adren, ax1le, and lucas1.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New StatTrak ★ Bayonet features a mesmerizing "Anodized Airbrushed" finish, crafted to resemble the artistry of freehand airbrushing. Its Fade pattern index further enhances the aesthetic, creating a captivating blend of vibrant colors that seamlessly transition from one shade to another.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ Bayonet | Fade (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 826 (27.27%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 557 (-14.18%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.