StatTrak ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)

5.0 10109 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ -56
-1.98%
Last month
$ 1 132
+69.02%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 2 863
+1.22%
In a quarter
$ 1 979
-30.03%
Action
Decision:
📉 Sell
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
67% - Forecast accuracy
67% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
3 offers on 3 markets
Updated6 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
1 offers
from $ 2 772
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
1 offers
from $ 2 884
White.Market
White.Market
1 offers
from $ 2 947
Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)
Gallery
★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened inspecting ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened holding ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened pose-1 ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened pose-2 ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 2 772
  • 24h price change: -1.98%
  • 7 days low: $ 2 828
  • 7 days high: $ 3 650
  • 7 days price change: -1.98%
  • 30 days low: $ 1 640
  • 30 days high: $ 3 868
  • 30 days price change: 69.02%
  • 90 days low: $ 1 640
  • 90 days high: $ 3 868
  • Year low: $ 1 640
  • Year high: $ 11 226
  • All time low: $ 1 640
  • All time high: $ 11 226
  • All time max offers: 24
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 0
  • Sales for last 30 days: 0
  • Sales for last 90 days: 0
  • All time sales: 0
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: -1.04
  • Volatility: 9.68%
  • Liquidity: 0.0%
  • Decision: 📉 Sell
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 2 863
  • Price forecast change in a month: 1.22%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 1 979
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -30.03%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 2 826
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 2 479
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 2 405
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 2 832
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 2 805
Action
✋ Hold
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 2 676
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 2 944
Action
📉 Sell
November 1, 2025
Price
$ 2 826
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 2 479
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 2 405
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 1 929
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 2 832
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 2 805
Action
✋ Hold
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 2 234
Action
✋ Hold
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 2 676
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 2 334
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 2 356
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 2 179
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 2 605
Action
❌ Avoid
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 2 400
Action
❌ Avoid
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 2 402
Action
❌ Avoid
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 1 777
Action
❌ Avoid
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 2 944
Action
📉 Sell
November 1, 2025
Price
$ 2 944
Action
📉 Sell
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.98 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
17
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
67%
58% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
67%
44% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Related
$ 1 985
72%
From last month
49 offers on 9 markets
$ 898
87%
From last month
46 offers on 7 markets

Description

History

History

The ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) was the first to appear in the virtual world of CS2 on July 1st, 2014, when it was added as a new knife skin in the Operation Breakout Weapon Case. Its stunning blue pattern quickly caught the attention of players and became one of the most sought-after and iconic knife skins in the game.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened Factory New was presented to the CS2 community when players got a chance to obtain it by opening an Operation Breakout Weapon Case. This well-sought skin with a gorgeous Case Hardened pattern does not belong to any collections, which can make it unique and highly valuable in every player's inventory.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) enjoys a popularity rating of 90% in the CS2 community, cementing its place as one of the most popular skins. This is measured through its daily sales volume and the consistent high price it fetches.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) is a skin from the 391 total knife skins in CS2. This Case Hardened skin has a rarity of Covert, and the drop chance of such is pretty low, which is 0.26% - EXTREMELY rare.

Availability

Availability

This well-demanded skin, StatTrak ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New), has prices that oscillate in the range of $685.89-$1,385.49, yet it is present in sufficient amounts for sale in various markets at this very moment, which means players can have it. Moreover, there are 11.9K units of Case Hardened skin present in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The StatTrak ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) still maintains a float value range in CS2 of 0.00 to 1.00, where all exterior versions are attainable but with the StatTrak feature added to it. Each exterior version in Case Hardened has its corresponding StatTrak counterpart, thereby giving players a chance to track their kills with this iconic knife skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) for CS2 enjoys an overwhelmingly positive community sentiment, with over 10K votes on addskins.gg, resulting in a perfect rating of 5.0 out of 5 stars. Furthermore, its popularity is further evident as it is owned by the great professional CS2 player kscerato.

Finish style

Finish style

This is a very beautiful "Blue Gem" pattern, showcasing vibrant shades of blue and purple on the blade, handle, and guard of this StatTrak ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New). The pattern index plays a big role in determining the intensity and placement of these colors. The result is a really unique and eye-catching finish that stands out on the battlefield.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 2 863 (1.22%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 1 979 (-30.03%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to sell.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.03
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players