StatTrak ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)

5.0 10043 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 40
+3.61%
Last month
$ 260
+29.28%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 1 805
+60.05%
In a quarter
$ 1 277
+13.23%
Action
Decision:
🎯 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
12% - Forecast accuracy
0% - Forecast trend accuracy
34% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
14 offers on 5 markets
Updated10 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
5 offers
from $ 1 148
White.Market
White.Market
3 offers
from $ 1 213
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
3 offers
from $ 1 247
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
2 offers
from $ 1 327
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
1 offers
from $ 2 095
Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened inspecting ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened holding ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened pose-1 ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened pose-2 ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 1 148
  • 24h price change: 2.87%
  • 7 days low: $ 1 108
  • 7 days high: $ 2 095
  • 7 days price change: 3.61%
  • 30 days low: $ 888
  • 30 days high: $ 2 304
  • 30 days price change: 29.28%
  • 90 days low: $ 888
  • 90 days high: $ 3 074
  • Year low: $ 888
  • Year high: $ 6 316
  • All time low: $ 888
  • All time high: $ 6 316
  • All time max offers: 21
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 4
  • Sales for last 30 days: 8
  • Sales for last 90 days: 8
  • All time sales: 16
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 4, 2025
  • Risk: 0.71
  • Volatility: 13.64%
  • Liquidity: 5.59%
  • Decision: 🎯 Speculative Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 1 805
  • Price forecast change in a month: 60.05%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 1 277
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 13.23%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 1 495
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 1 790
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1 790
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 1 377
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ - 413
-23.09%
Result
👎 Fail
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 1 377
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 1 518
Action
✋ Hold
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 1 630
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 1 683
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1 683
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 1 711
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 27.49
1.63%
Result
👍 Success
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 1 511
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1 511
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 1 240
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ - 271
-17.91%
Result
👎 Fail
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 1 450
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1 450
November 4, 2025
Price
$ 1 495
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 1 750
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 1 790
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1 790
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 1 377
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ - 413
-23.09%
Result
👎 Fail
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 1 377
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 1 518
Action
✋ Hold
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 1 630
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 1 525
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 1 683
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1 683
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 1 614
Action
🔥 Buy
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 1 711
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 27.49
1.63%
Result
👍 Success
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 1 511
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1 511
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 1 518
Action
🔥 Buy
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 1 523
Action
🔥 Buy
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 1 240
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ - 271
-17.91%
Result
👎 Fail
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 1 450
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1 450
November 4, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ - 656
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 6 434
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
4
Sell count
3
Success count
1
Fail count
2

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
12%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
0%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
34%
79% - avg*
Related

Description

History

History

The ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) was released in CS2 on July 1st, 2014, and was part of the Operation Breakout Weapon Case. Its unique blue patterned blade quickly gained popularity among players, making it one of the most sought-after knife skins in the game's history.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) was presented to the CS2 community through the Operation Breakout Weapon Case. Players had the chance to get this skin by opening the case, adding a touch of exclusivity to those who wielded it. Despite its popularity, this skin does not belong to any specific collections, making it a unique and sought-after item in the game.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) is highly sought after in the CS2 community, with a popularity rating of 90%. Its desirability is evident through its consistently high sales volume and the premium price it commands in the market, making it one of the most coveted items in the game.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) is a skin from 391 knives in CS2. The Case Hardened variant belongs to the Covert rarity class, making it a very rare drop; its drop chance is estimated at 0.26%.

Availability

Availability

The StatTrak ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) for CS2 is highly demanded and expensive, between $685.89-$1,385.49. However, it is now widely available in many markets and can be purchased by anyone willing to invest. Moreover, there are currently 11.9K units of the Case Hardened skin in public CS2 inventories, which indicates its high popularity among players.

Versions

Versions

The float value for the StatTrak ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) in CS2 ranges from 0.00 to 1.00, so this skin can be available in all exteriors. Moreover, each of the Case Hardened knife exterior options has a corresponding StatTrak variant.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community loves the StatTrak ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) in CS2 enough to give it a perfect score of 5.0 out of 5-star rating with a huge number of votes on addskins.gg. Additionally, its popularity is shown by the ownership of kscerato, a professional CS2 player.

Finish style

Finish style

This StatTrak ★ Butterfly Knife has been carefully painted with the "Patina" skin, which resembles the naturally formed shell of a toughened exterior over the metal parts. Combined with the Case Hardened pattern index, it gives this knife an overall unique and striking look.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) is expected grow to $ 1 805 (60.05%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 1 277 (13.23%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.11
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players