StatTrak ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)

5.0 10175 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 16
+1.9%
Last month
$ 204
+31.24%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 1 287
+50.2%
In a quarter
$ 1 049
+22.43%
Action
Decision:
🎯 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
15% - Forecast accuracy
15% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
25 offers on 9 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)
Gallery
★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened inspecting ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened holding ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened pose-1 ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened pose-2 ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 857
  • 7 days low: $ 841
  • 7 days high: $ 4 741
  • 7 days price change: 1.9%
  • 30 days low: $ 653
  • 30 days high: $ 4 866
  • 30 days price change: 31.24%
  • 90 days low: $ 653
  • 90 days high: $ 4 866
  • Year low: $ 653
  • Year high: $ 236 048
  • All time low: $ 653
  • All time high: $ 236 048
  • All time max offers: 38
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 0
  • Sales for last 30 days: 2
  • Sales for last 90 days: 2
  • All time sales: 12
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 6, 2025
  • Risk: 0.8
  • Volatility: 12.08%
  • Liquidity: 3.36%
  • Decision: 🎯 Speculative Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 1 287
  • Price forecast change in a month: 50.2%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 1 049
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 22.43%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 1 282
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 1 385
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 1 190
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 1 158
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 1 252
Action
✋ Hold
September 5, 2025
Price
$ 1 247
Action
❌ Avoid
September 13, 2025
Price
$ 893
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 893
November 6, 2025
Price
$ 1 282
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 1 385
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 1 203
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 1 190
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 1 190
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 1 201
Action
✋ Hold
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 1 158
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 1 213
Action
❌ Avoid
August 28, 2025
Price
$ 1 252
Action
✋ Hold
September 5, 2025
Price
$ 1 247
Action
❌ Avoid
September 13, 2025
Price
$ 1 207
Action
❌ Avoid
September 21, 2025
Price
$ 1 166
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 1 218
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 1 142
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 1 039
Action
❌ Avoid
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 893
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 893
November 6, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.98 - avg*
Invested***
$ 893
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
15%
58% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
15%
44% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Related
$ 1 999
72%
From last month
47 offers on 9 markets

Description

History

History

The ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) first arrived in the CS2 scene on July 1st, 2014, when it was released as a rare drop in the Operation Breakout Weapon Case. Its striking blue and gold case hardening pattern quickly became a sought-after design among collectors and players alike.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) featured in CS2 was first introduced in the Operation Breakout Weapon Case, which allowed players the chance to acquire it from opening the container. Because this is one of the most wanted skins, not being a part of any collections makes it really exceptional and worth including in one's inventory.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) is a very popular choice within the CS2 community, having a popularity rating of 90%. It has gained its popularity due to its unique Case Hardened pattern and the addition of StatTrak technology.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) is one of 391 other Knife skins, but its rarity level is Covert, making it an ultra rare drop with an estimated drop chance of just 0.26%. This particular variation of the Case Hardened skin featuring StatTrak technology makes this skin a truly remarkable find for CS2 players.

Availability

Availability

The Case Hardened skin of the StatTrak ★ Butterfly Knife is one of the most popular and expensive CS2 skins, with prices ranging from $685.89 to $1,385.49. Despite its high price, it is currently available on many markets, which means that anyone willing to invest in it can get it. A proof of its popularity is that there are currently 11.9K units of the Case Hardened in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the StatTrak ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) ranges from 0.38 to 0.45, showcasing a significant amount of blue gem patterns on the blade and handle. This version of the skin is available in all exteriors, allowing players to showcase their unique Case Hardened pattern with the added prestige of StatTrak technology.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

This has come into the community's view as ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn), amassing more than 10K votes on addskins.gg, with a super-average rating of 5.0 out of 5 stars. Ownership by the professional CS2 player kscerato further cements this as an incredibly sought-after skin among hobbyist and professional gamers alike.

Finish style

Finish style

This Well-Worn StatTrak ★ Butterfly Knife has a really nice looking Case Hardened finish, with a pretty patina that has formed in a hardened shell over the metallic parts. The skin has a unique pattern index, adding depth and much character to each knife so that no two are the same.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) is expected grow to $ 1 287 (50.2%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 1 049 (22.43%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.41
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players