StatTrak ★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn)

4.4 10198 reviews
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Latest price change
Last month
$ 80
+14.34%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 868
+33.38%
In a quarter
$ 834
+28.16%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
95% - Forecast accuracy
84% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
21 offers on 7 markets
Updated1 minute ago
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from $ 788
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1 offers
from $ 1 200
Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn)
Gallery
★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched inspecting ★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched holding ★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched pose-1 ★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched pose-2 ★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 638
  • 7 days low: $ 638
  • 7 days high: $ 1 200
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 558
  • 30 days high: $ 1 200
  • 30 days price change: 14.34%
  • 90 days low: $ 558
  • 90 days high: $ 1 462
  • Year low: $ 558
  • Year high: $ 1 462
  • All time low: $ 558
  • All time high: $ 1 462
  • All time max offers: 22
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 0
  • Sales for last 30 days: 0
  • Sales for last 90 days: 0
  • All time sales: 0
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 4, 2025
  • Risk: 0.64
  • Volatility: 7.97%
  • Liquidity: 0.0%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 868
  • Price forecast change in a month: 33.38%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 834
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 28.16%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 839
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 929
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 795
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 863
Action
✋ Hold
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 821
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 866
Action
✋ Hold
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 866
Action
❌ Avoid
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 558
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 558
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 748
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 189
33.89%
Result
👍 Success
November 4, 2025
Price
$ 839
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 960
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 929
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 795
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 795
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 773
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 843
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 863
Action
✋ Hold
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 821
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 866
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 866
Action
✋ Hold
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 866
Action
❌ Avoid
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 847
Action
❌ Avoid
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 878
Action
❌ Avoid
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 558
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 558
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 748
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 189
33.89%
Result
👍 Success
November 4, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 189
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 558
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
95%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
84%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Related

Description

The StatTrak ★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn) is a sleek and dangerous balisong knife, known for its unique opening mechanism that allows for swift deployment and concealment. Its spray-painted sun-dappled pattern adds a touch of elegance to its deadly design, reminding us that the Phoenix symbolizes rebirth rather than destruction.

History

History

The ★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched dropped in the CS2 community on July 1st, 2014, as a popular knife skin. It was added as a rare drop in the Operation Breakout Weapon Case, which accompanied the game-changing "Operation Breakout" update, adding some much-needed excitement and variation to the gameplay experience.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak ★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn) is a very rare variant of the popular knife skin, which can only be pulled out from a limited number of Operation Breakout Weapon Case containers. Due to its unique design and the added feature of StatTrak, which tracks the number of kills made with the knife, this skin is highly sought after by collectors and players alike.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak ★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn) is a highly sought-after skin, reaching 95% of the popularity rating in the CS2 community. This fact is reflected in its high daily sales volume and the premium price this skin commands in the market.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak ★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn) is one of 391 other Knife skins existing in CS2. This skin has a rarity of Covert. Therefore, this skin is extremely rare to drop, with an estimated drop chance of just 0.26%, thus highly valued and sought-after in the game.

Availability

Availability

The StatTrak ★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn) is a highly sought-after and expensive skin, ranging in price from $549.47 to $840.06. However, it is currently readily available on various markets, making it accessible to players. In fact, there are currently 11.6K units of the Scorched in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the ★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn) ranges from 0.38 to 0.45, giving it a worn appearance with noticeable scratches and wear patterns. This version is also available in StatTrak, allowing players to track their kills with style.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment towards the StatTrak ★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn) for CS2 is generally positive, with an average rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars based on over 10K votes on addskins.gg. Its popularity is further reinforced by the ownership of this skin by renowned professional CS2 players boltz and fame.

Finish style

Finish style

This well-worn StatTrak ★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched has a "Spray-Paint" style with various layers of black and gray paint applied through stencil patterns. The Scorched finish style is dominated by its pattern index, making this knife look worn and weathered.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn) is expected grow to $ 868 (33.38%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 834 (28.16%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.41
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players