StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water (Factory New)

4.4 1298 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 6
+4.48%
Last month
$ 30
+27.27%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 185
+31.96%
In a quarter
$ 177
+26.26%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
94% - Forecast accuracy
100% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
41 offers on 10 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
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1 offers
from $ 140
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from $ 143
Avan.Market
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2 offers
from $ 159
Waxpeer
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7 offers
from $ 166
White.Market
White.Market
4 offers
from $ 172
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
2 offers
from $ 174
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
3 offers
from $ 179
Bitskins
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1 offers
from $ 180
Steam
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6 offers
from $ 215
CSGOEmpire
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1 offers
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Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water (Factory New)
Gallery
★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water inspecting ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water holding ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water pose-1 ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water pose-2 ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 140
  • 7 days low: $ 134
  • 7 days high: $ 313
  • 7 days price change: 4.48%
  • 30 days low: $ 110
  • 30 days high: $ 313
  • 30 days price change: 27.27%
  • 90 days low: $ 110
  • 90 days high: $ 632
  • Year low: $ 110
  • Year high: $ 27 898
  • All time low: $ 110
  • All time high: $ 27 898
  • All time max offers: 61
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 2
  • Sales for last 7 days: 11
  • Sales for last 30 days: 64
  • Sales for last 90 days: 115
  • All time sales: 254
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 0.405
  • Volatility: 18.04%
  • Liquidity: 14.44%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 185
  • Price forecast change in a month: 31.96%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 177
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 26.26%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 172
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 171
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 155
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 170
Action
✋ Hold
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 197
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 187
Action
✋ Hold
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 188
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 129
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 129
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 151
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 22.1
17.09%
Result
👍 Success
November 7, 2025
Price
$ 172
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 171
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 155
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 174
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 166
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 158
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 166
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 170
Action
✋ Hold
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 170
Action
✋ Hold
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 197
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 187
Action
✋ Hold
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 188
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 186
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 172
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 129
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 129
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 151
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 22.1
17.09%
Result
👍 Success
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 22.1
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 129
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
94%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
100%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Related
$ 293
44%
From last week
11 offers on 5 markets
$ 197
53%
From last month
39 offers on 10 markets
$ 150
47%
From last month
20 offers on 7 markets

Description

This StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water is a sleek and modern rendition of the falchion sword, having a curved clip point blade that exudes elegance. The hydrographic blue camo paint job gives this knife an out-of-the-ordinary look, adding style to any CS2 player.

History

History

The ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water first appeared in the CS2 community one year ago, on September 21st, 2021, and charmed players by its completely different design and bright colors. It dropped from the Dreams & Nightmares Case, released with the long-awaited "Operation Riptide" update, which brought a breath of fresh air into the arsenal of knives in this game.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water Factory New was presented to the CS2 community through the containers of the Dreams & Nightmares Case and Operation Riptide Case, where players had a chance to get this magnificent skin. Unlike most of the skins, the ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water does not have any collection it is included in, which makes this knife very unique and highly welcome in any player's inventory.

Popularity

Popularity

This StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water Factory New enjoys amazing popularity, amounting to 95%, inside the CS2 community, making it one of the most wanted items. Such demand is reflected in the volume of sales this skin gets every day and the premium price that buyers have to pay for it.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water Factory New is one of the only 391 other skins in existence for the knife in CS: GO. This skin has been classified as a covert rarity skin, which makes an item super rare and can be dropped with a possibility of 0.26%.

Availability

Availability

In public Steam inventories, there are approximately 5.5K units of such a Bright Water Falchion Knife | StatTrak ★ Factory New, and their price will range from $98.43 to $149.80, which is on-budget as well, can get over almost all markets with ease.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water ranges from 0.00 to 0.50, which ensures that the skin is available in all exterior options-from Factory New to Battle-Scarred. And for collectors and real enthusiasts, there is also a StatTrak version for every exterior so that players could show their kill count with style.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment towards the StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water Factory New is really good and has an amazing rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars, basing over 1.2K votes on addskins.gg. The fact of its ownership by a pro CS2 player szpero adds even more desire and popularity to this skin among players.

Finish style

Finish style

The StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife has a bright water pattern index that creates mesmerizing sets of swirling blues, evoking ripples through calm water. The knife really looks and feels natural, as if it had just come out of an imaginary pool, with hydrographic methods used in its making.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 185 (31.96%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 177 (26.26%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.5
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players