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The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water (Field-Tested) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water is a modern version of the classic falchion sword with a clip point blade and an edge that curves graciously. A bright blue camo hydrographic paint gives this knife its unique look, creating an eye-catching design.
The ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water first appeared in CS2 on September 21st, 2021, and immediately got players' attention with its original design and fascinating water theme. It was one of the most popular skins in the Dreams & Nightmares Case, which was released with the long-awaited "Operation Riptide" update-a big step in game development.
The ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water dropped in CS2 via containers of the Dreams & Nightmares Case and Operation Riptide Case, in which players get a chance to drop. However, this skin is not included in any collection, which makes it very unique and wanted in the game.
Currently, it is one of the popular and highly sought knives in CS2, having a popularity rating of 95%. Due to the high daily sale volume of this skin being sold and its high-end pricing, players and collectors can refer to the Bright Water Field-Tested as one of the more important CS2 skins.
The StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water is one of the 391 knife skins existing in CS2. It is Covert rarity, which means it's a very rare drop. The drop chance of this skin is about 0.26% only.
The StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water (Field-Tested) for CS2 has a relatively cheap price, ranging from $98.43 to $149.80, which is quite affordable for the majority of players. Many markets have this skin in stock, and currently, it has about 5.5K units in public CS2 inventories.
Another unique fact about this skin is that the float value of the StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water (Field-Tested) ranges from 0.00 to 0.50, so it actually can get this skin in any exterior. Besides, each exterior of the Bright Water knife has a StatTrak variant available to collectors.
StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water (Field-Tested) has a very good reputation in the CS2 community, rated by people as 4.4/5 stars out of 1.2K votes on addskins.gg. Besides, its popularity is underlined by the fact that it's owned by the pro player szpero.
The pattern index is a number describing the intensity and placement of the blue tint on this Bright Water finish for this particular StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife, making its appearance unique and vibrant, like rippling water. This knife was crafted using a hydrographic technique and looks realistic, immersive, as if dunked into a quiet aquatic environment.
According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water (Field-Tested) is expected grow to $ 151 (30.97%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 139 (20.57%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.


Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.