StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water (Field-Tested)

4.4 1354 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 11
+10.78%
Last month
$ 32.66
+40.65%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 151
+30.97%
In a quarter
$ 139
+20.57%
Action
Decision:
🎯 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
92% - Forecast accuracy
100% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
95 offers on 10 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water (Field-Tested)
Gallery
★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water inspecting ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water holding ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water pose-1 ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water pose-2 ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 113
  • 24h price change: 0.89%
  • 7 days low: $ 102
  • 7 days high: $ 206
  • 7 days price change: 10.78%
  • 30 days low: $ 80.34
  • 30 days high: $ 256
  • 30 days price change: 40.65%
  • 90 days low: $ 80.34
  • 90 days high: $ 520
  • Year low: $ 80.34
  • Year high: $ 23 279
  • All time low: $ 80.34
  • All time high: $ 23 279
  • All time max offers: 153
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 5
  • Sales for last 7 days: 47
  • Sales for last 30 days: 156
  • Sales for last 90 days: 200
  • All time sales: 367
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 2, 2025
  • Risk: 0.54
  • Volatility: 17.96%
  • Liquidity: 8.86%
  • Decision: 🎯 Speculative Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 151
  • Price forecast change in a month: 30.97%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 139
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 20.57%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water (Field-Tested) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 153
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 129
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 129
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 141
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 11.73
9.09%
Result
👍 Success
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 137
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 153
Action
✋ Hold
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 146
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 85
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 85
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 153
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 143
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 129
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 129
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 141
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 11.73
9.09%
Result
👍 Success
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 137
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 136
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 131
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 153
Action
✋ Hold
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 156
Action
✋ Hold
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 156
Action
✋ Hold
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 146
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 153
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 147
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 143
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 85
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 85
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 120
Action
🔥 Buy
November 2, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 11.73
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 214
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
92%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
100%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Related
$ 293
44%
From last week
11 offers on 5 markets
$ 197
53%
From last month
39 offers on 10 markets
$ 150
47%
From last month
20 offers on 7 markets

Description

The StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water is a modern version of the classic falchion sword with a clip point blade and an edge that curves graciously. A bright blue camo hydrographic paint gives this knife its unique look, creating an eye-catching design.

History

History

The ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water first appeared in CS2 on September 21st, 2021, and immediately got players' attention with its original design and fascinating water theme. It was one of the most popular skins in the Dreams & Nightmares Case, which was released with the long-awaited "Operation Riptide" update-a big step in game development.

Origin

Origin

The ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water dropped in CS2 via containers of the Dreams & Nightmares Case and Operation Riptide Case, in which players get a chance to drop. However, this skin is not included in any collection, which makes it very unique and wanted in the game.

Popularity

Popularity

Currently, it is one of the popular and highly sought knives in CS2, having a popularity rating of 95%. Due to the high daily sale volume of this skin being sold and its high-end pricing, players and collectors can refer to the Bright Water Field-Tested as one of the more important CS2 skins.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water is one of the 391 knife skins existing in CS2. It is Covert rarity, which means it's a very rare drop. The drop chance of this skin is about 0.26% only.

Availability

Availability

The StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water (Field-Tested) for CS2 has a relatively cheap price, ranging from $98.43 to $149.80, which is quite affordable for the majority of players. Many markets have this skin in stock, and currently, it has about 5.5K units in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

Another unique fact about this skin is that the float value of the StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water (Field-Tested) ranges from 0.00 to 0.50, so it actually can get this skin in any exterior. Besides, each exterior of the Bright Water knife has a StatTrak variant available to collectors.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water (Field-Tested) has a very good reputation in the CS2 community, rated by people as 4.4/5 stars out of 1.2K votes on addskins.gg. Besides, its popularity is underlined by the fact that it's owned by the pro player szpero.

Finish style

Finish style

The pattern index is a number describing the intensity and placement of the blue tint on this Bright Water finish for this particular StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife, making its appearance unique and vibrant, like rippling water. This knife was crafted using a hydrographic technique and looks realistic, immersive, as if dunked into a quiet aquatic environment.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water (Field-Tested) is expected grow to $ 151 (30.97%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 139 (20.57%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.26
Max: 0.5
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players