StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water (Minimal Wear)

4.4 1348 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 7
+6.09%
Last month
$ 34.41
+39.29%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 160
+35.11%
In a quarter
$ 126
+6.4%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
75% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
42 offers on 8 markets
Updated2 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Lis-skins
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from $ 122
Avan.Market
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4 offers
from $ 128
Waxpeer
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8 offers
from $ 130
White.Market
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1 offers
from $ 130
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
5 offers
from $ 150
Skinport
Skinport
2 offers
from $ 174
Steam
Steam
7 offers
from $ 187
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
8 offers
from $ 190
Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water inspecting ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water holding ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water pose-1 ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water pose-2 ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 122
  • 24h price change: 4.27%
  • 7 days low: $ 115
  • 7 days high: $ 198
  • 7 days price change: 6.09%
  • 30 days low: $ 87.59
  • 30 days high: $ 481
  • 30 days price change: 39.29%
  • 90 days low: $ 87.59
  • 90 days high: $ 481
  • Year low: $ 87.59
  • Year high: $ 27 161
  • All time low: $ 87.59
  • All time high: $ 27 161
  • All time max offers: 58
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 1
  • Sales for last 7 days: 21
  • Sales for last 30 days: 93
  • Sales for last 90 days: 122
  • All time sales: 248
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 0.2086
  • Volatility: 19.43%
  • Liquidity: 10.5%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 160
  • Price forecast change in a month: 35.11%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 126
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 6.4%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 163
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 172
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 147
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 156
Action
✋ Hold
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 172
Action
❌ Avoid
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 122
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 122
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 122
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.26
0.21376300%
Result
👍 Success
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 122
Action
❌ Avoid
November 7, 2025
Price
$ 163
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 172
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 146
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 147
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 160
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 159
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 154
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 159
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 156
Action
✋ Hold
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 167
Action
✋ Hold
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 166
Action
✋ Hold
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 172
Action
❌ Avoid
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 168
Action
❌ Avoid
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 122
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 122
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 122
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.26
0.21376300%
Result
👍 Success
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 122
Action
❌ Avoid
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.26
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 122
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
75%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Related
$ 293
44%
From last week
11 offers on 5 markets
$ 197
53%
From last month
39 offers on 10 markets
$ 150
47%
From last month
20 offers on 7 markets

Description

From a falchion sword's elegance, this StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife features a refined clip point blade with a curved edge that presents the epitome of grace. With its striking blue camo hydrographic paint, it offers just that hint of stealth while keeping a touch of class-and it is a formidable attack in a battle.

History

History

The ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water was released in CS2 on September 21st, 2021, and is one of the most hyped items within the Dreams & Nightmares Case. Its sleek design combined with the aquatic-themed "Bright Water" skin turned this knife into an instant favorite the moment it was revealed, offering something fresh and visually outstanding for all knife enthusiasts.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water (Minimal Wear) can be unboxed from either an Operation Riptide Case or any container within the Dreams & Nightmares Case. This is a great chance for players to add this brilliant blade to their arsenal in CS2. Since this skin does not relate to any specific collections, that makes it really special and highly wanted for every knife collector.

Popularity

Popularity

StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water (Minimal Wear) is the most popular skin in CS2 and holds an extremely impressive popularity rating of 95%. Behind this high desirability in this skin is its strikingly great design and the rarity thereof, hence making it great for collectors and players alike. This makes it have a high sales volume daily and great value in the market.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water (Minimal Wear) is a CS2 skin that belongs to the Knife and is one of 391 available skins for this particular weapon. This skin has a Covert quality, which makes it ultra rare and drops with a mere 0.26% probability.

Availability

Availability

The StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water (Minimal Wear) has an average cost of $98.43-$149.80. It is relatively easy to obtain and is available in various markets. Currently, 5.5K units of this Bright Water skin are available in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The CS: GO StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water Minimal Wear features exteriors of all kinds, from 0.00 to 0.50 float values. Each of the skins mentioned above is accompanied by a StatTrak version so the player can keep track of the kills with this beautiful-looking skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment is overwhelmingly positive for the StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water Minimal Wear within CS2. Meanwhile, it has scored 4.4/5 stars with over 1.2K votes on addskins.gg. This skin has come into the ownership of professional CS2 szpero, too. That factor adds to popularity and raises demand among players for sure.

Finish style

Finish style

The hydrographic film on this StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water (Minimal Wear) is so well-applied, it gives the appearance of water flowing across the surface of the knife. The blue tint on this skin creates a touch of elegance, and its pattern index really adds to the overall appearance, making this a very unique and striking finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water (Minimal Wear) is expected grow to $ 160 (35.11%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 126 (6.4%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.11
Max: 0.5
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players