StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water (Well-Worn)

4.4 1301 reviews
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Latest price change
Last month
$ 23.01
+23.97%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 197
+62.29%
In a quarter
$ 228
+87.82%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
61% - Forecast accuracy
58% - Forecast trend accuracy
50% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
17 offers on 6 markets
Updated3 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
4 offers
from $ 119
White.Market
White.Market
3 offers
from $ 126
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
5 offers
from $ 127
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
2 offers
from $ 165
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
1 offers
from $ 172
Steam
Steam
2 offers
from $ 182
Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water (Well-Worn)
Gallery
★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water inspecting ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water holding ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water pose-1 ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water pose-2 ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 119
  • 7 days low: $ 119
  • 7 days high: $ 197
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 95.99
  • 30 days high: $ 500
  • 30 days price change: 23.97%
  • 90 days low: $ 95.99
  • 90 days high: $ 500
  • Year low: $ 95.99
  • Year high: $ 500
  • All time low: $ 95.99
  • All time high: $ 500
  • All time max offers: 28
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 1
  • Sales for last 7 days: 10
  • Sales for last 30 days: 16
  • Sales for last 90 days: 20
  • All time sales: 34
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 4, 2025
  • Risk: 1.36
  • Volatility: 13.33%
  • Liquidity: 3.83%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 197
  • Price forecast change in a month: 62.29%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 228
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 87.82%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 173
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 173
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 173
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 162
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -11
-6.36%
Result
👎 Fail
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 131
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 167
Action
✋ Hold
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 199
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 182
Action
✋ Hold
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 164
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 164
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 207
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 42.79
26.14%
Result
👍 Success
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 201
Action
❌ Avoid
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 153
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 153
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 173
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 173
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 173
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 162
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -11
-6.36%
Result
👎 Fail
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 131
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 131
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 161
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 167
Action
✋ Hold
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 199
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 182
Action
✋ Hold
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 205
Action
✋ Hold
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 164
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 164
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 180
Action
🔥 Buy
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 207
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 42.79
26.14%
Result
👍 Success
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 201
Action
❌ Avoid
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 153
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 153
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 152
Action
🔥 Buy
November 4, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 31.79
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 490
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
3
Sell count
2
Success count
1
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
61%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
58%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
50%
79% - avg*
Related
$ 293
44%
From last week
11 offers on 5 markets
$ 197
53%
From last month
39 offers on 10 markets
$ 150
47%
From last month
20 offers on 7 markets

Description

This battle-scarred StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife features a clip point blade with an elegantly curved edge, inspired by the design of a falchion sword. The surface is adorned with an awesome blue camo hydrographic pattern, adding stealth and mystery to your arsenal.

History

History

The ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water was born into CS2 on September 21st, 2021, charming the players with the unusual form and well-worn inroads into its skin. Certainly one of the most wanted and appreciated knives was released in the Frames & Nightmares Case during the widely awaited "Operation Riptide" update; the immersion into the game got a bit more intense.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water (Well-Worn) is an extremely rare and popular CS2 skin. It was available only from the container that dropped from opening either the case for the Dreams & Nightmares Case or Operation Riptide Case. This skin does not fall under a collection; it is really exclusive and highly in demand by collectors and players alike.

Popularity

Popularity

For CS2, the current popular StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water is considered one of the most wanted items; thus, it enjoys an exceptional 95% popularity rating. Further reinforcing its status as one of the rarest items in-game is its high demand by purchasers and the high selling price due to that demand.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water (Well-Worn) is one of the 391 different skins created for knives in CS2. This skin has a Covert rarity class; this class is extremely rare, an estimated drop of about 0.26%, and is highly sought by collectors and players alike.

Availability

Availability

Such skin would cost in a range of $98.43-$149.80, which stands for a medium price group. This skin is really easy to get because of buying opportunities via different markets. The popularity of Falchion Knife | Bright Water can be spotted due to the fact that there're almost 5.5K units of this exact skin already in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water (Well-Worn) ranges from 0.00 to 0.50, which allows players to get this skin in any exterior condition with the added bonus of tracking their kills. For every exterior, there is a corresponding StatTrak version so that collectors and players alike can flex their kills in style.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment for the StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water (Well-Worn) is very positive within CS2, as the skin has reached a high trust within the community. For instance, more than 1.2K votes have been made over the site addskins.gg, creating an average of 4.4 out of 5-star ratings. Adding to that, this skin is prestigious because it is currently under the ownership of the pro player szpero.

Finish style

Finish style

The worn-out skin of the StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water is textured using a hydrographic technique where deconstructed weapon parts are dipped into a water tank containing a floated film that adheres to the parts and gives the patterned surface. The general color of this skin comes in an attractive blue shade, while the appearance of a Bright Water finish totally depends on its pattern index.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water (Well-Worn) is expected grow to $ 197 (62.29%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 228 (87.82%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.41
Max: 0.5
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players