StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)

4.9 7853 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 95
+38.46%
Last month
$ 155
+82.89%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 371
+8.51%
In a quarter
$ 246
-28.05%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
25% - Forecast accuracy
40% - Forecast trend accuracy
34% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
17 offers on 7 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Skinport
Skinport
1 offers
from $ 342
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
2 offers
from $ 344
White.Market
White.Market
3 offers
from $ 357
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
1 offers
from $ 361
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
3 offers
from $ 365
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
1 offers
from $ 365
Steam
Steam
6 offers
from $ 405
Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)
Gallery
★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened inspecting ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened holding ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened pose-1 ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened pose-2 ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 342
  • 24h price change: 0.2933%
  • 7 days low: $ 247
  • 7 days high: $ 61 854
  • 7 days price change: 38.46%
  • 30 days low: $ 187
  • 30 days high: $ 62 263
  • 30 days price change: 82.89%
  • 90 days low: $ 187
  • 90 days high: $ 62 263
  • Year low: $ 187
  • Year high: $ 62 263
  • All time low: $ 187
  • All time high: $ 62 263
  • All time max offers: 25
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 4
  • Sales for last 30 days: 14
  • Sales for last 90 days: 20
  • All time sales: 45
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: -0.7
  • Volatility: 9.91%
  • Liquidity: 9.03%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 371
  • Price forecast change in a month: 8.51%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 246
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -28.05%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 333
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 339
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 339
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 340
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.7
0.20641700%
Result
👍 Success
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 341
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 341
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 309
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -32.78
-9.60%
Result
👎 Fail
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 309
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 301
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 301
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 237
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -63.32
-21.07%
Result
👎 Fail
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 335
Action
❌ Avoid
November 3, 2025
Price
$ 333
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 322
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 321
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 328
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 329
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 339
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 339
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 340
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.7
0.20641700%
Result
👍 Success
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 341
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 341
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 326
Action
🔥 Buy
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 297
Action
🔥 Buy
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 309
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -32.78
-9.60%
Result
👎 Fail
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 309
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 392
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 301
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 301
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 237
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -63.32
-21.07%
Result
👎 Fail
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 335
Action
❌ Avoid
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ -95.4
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 981
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
3
Sell count
3
Success count
1
Fail count
2

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
25%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
40%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
34%
79% - avg*
Related
$ 293
44%
From last week
11 offers on 5 markets
$ 197
53%
From last month
39 offers on 10 markets
$ 150
47%
From last month
20 offers on 7 markets

Description

History

History

The ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened was added to CS2 on May 26th, 2015, in the Falchion Case. This skin became one of the most famous knives in the game almost immediately after its release, due to its amazing pattern of blue on the blade.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened was presented to the CS2 community by opening Falchion Case containers, where players could get lucky and receive this unique skin of a knife, which is really rare. Because of its particular blue pattern and engraved StatTrak counter, it immediately gained the status of one of the most wanted items among collectors and players alike.

Popularity

Popularity

StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) with an 85% popularity ranking holds the top spot. Due to its high sale frequency and market value, this is in the top 15 percent of the most demanded in-game items in CS2.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened is one of 391 knife skins in CS2. It's a Covert rarity knife, which makes it super rare, and it received an appraised drop chance of only 0.26% for this variation in the Case Hardened pattern.

Availability

Availability

The StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened skin is one of the most desired CS2 skins. Prices for this nice item range from $146.04 to $706.79, depending on wear and field-tested status. Luckily for the players, it is relatively abundant on different markets right now. Currently, there are about 7,000 units of the Case Hardened skin in the public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened Field-Tested in CS2 shows all the exteriors from 0.00 to 1.00 float value. Whatever exterior a player is using, there will always be a corresponding StatTrak version for Case Hardened that will enable him to track his kills with flair.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment for StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened Field-Tested is very good in CS2; it has attained an average rating of 4.9 out of 5-star reviews, with over 7.8K votes on addskins.gg. It is all the more popular because it belongs to professional CS2 players like fer and xfl0ud, which raises its prestige value even higher.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife has an absolutely stunning Case Hardened finish, almost reminiscent of some kind of expertly applied patina. The pattern index running along the length of the blade adds a uniqueness to form a stunningly impressive mishmash of bright blues and purple hints, really a catch on the battlefield.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) is expected grow to $ 371 (8.51%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 246 (-28.05%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.26
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players