StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)

4.9 7888 reviews
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Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 396
+48.44%
In a quarter
$ 507
+90.04%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
94% - Forecast accuracy
100% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
22 offers on 7 markets
Updated7 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened inspecting ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened holding ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened pose-1 ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened pose-2 ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 261
  • 7 days low: $ 261
  • 7 days high: $ 666
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 261
  • 30 days high: $ 1 034
  • 30 days price change: 0%
  • 90 days low: $ 261
  • 90 days high: $ 1 514
  • Year low: $ 261
  • Year high: $ 58 235
  • All time low: $ 261
  • All time high: $ 58 235
  • All time max offers: 27
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 0
  • Sales for last 30 days: 6
  • Sales for last 90 days: 10
  • All time sales: 28
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 2.38
  • Volatility: 12.45%
  • Liquidity: 7.05%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 396
  • Price forecast change in a month: 48.44%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 507
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 90.04%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 415
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 387
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 336
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 391
Action
📉 Sell
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 393
Action
✋ Hold
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 377
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 350
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 350
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 484
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 134
38.25%
Result
👍 Success
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 462
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 454
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 454
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 415
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 387
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 380
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 336
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 336
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 337
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 391
Action
📉 Sell
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 393
Action
✋ Hold
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 377
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 350
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 350
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 363
Action
🔥 Buy
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 484
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 134
38.25%
Result
👍 Success
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 462
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 454
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 454
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 322
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 275
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 134
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 804
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
94%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
100%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Related
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From last week
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From last month
39 offers on 10 markets
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From last month
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Description

History

History

The ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened first appeared within CS2 on May 26th, 2015, when it was released in the Falchion Case as part of the "The Hunter and the Hunted" update. Since then, this Factory New knife has become one of the most wished-for things for gamers due to its neat blue pattern and perfect condition.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) is a rare variant, purely available through the container StatTrak Falchion Case. The unique blue pattern on both the blade and handle makes it highly sought after by collectors and players alike.

Popularity

Popularity

Skin - one of the most desired versions: StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) with a popularity rating of 85%, which occupies a leading position among the top 15% most wanted items in CS2. Such a rating is judged upon the skin's daily sales volume and its current real market price, confirming strong demand within the game.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) is a CS2 skin and is one of 391 skins for Knife. It has a Covert rarity, which makes this version of Case Hardened extremely rare; the drop chance is stated at 0.26%.

Availability

Availability

StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened Minimal Wear is a highly sought-after skin in CS2. The price ranges between $146.04-$706.79; well, it might sound a bit expensive, yet this skin is very liquid and can be widely found on many markets. There are around 7,000 units of the Case Hardened skin present in public CS2 inventories for the time being.

Versions

Versions

The StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) is available more for all exterior purposes in CS2, ranging between 0.00 and 1.00 float values. What this really means is that collectors and players will be allowed to enjoy the beauty of a Case Hardened pattern and finally track their kills with the added bonus of StatTrak technology.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

Overwhelmingly positive sentiment concerning the StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) exists in the CS2 community, with an average rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars on addskins.gg with over 7.8K votes, while being owned by notable professional players fer and xfl0ud.

Finish style

Finish style

This StatTrak ★ Case Hardened Falchion Knife is a unique pattern index that decides the color distribution of different shades going from vibrant blue to purple and everything in between. Being a patina kind of finish, it does look really organic and worn-out, giving the knife an appearance a case hardening process might end up with on a real weapon.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) is expected grow to $ 396 (48.44%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 507 (90.04%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.11
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players