StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Fade (Factory New)

4.3 9062 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 22
+6.45%
Last month
$ 67
+22.64%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 419
+22.25%
In a quarter
$ 419
+22.25%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
42% - Forecast accuracy
84% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
54 offers on 9 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Fade (Factory New)
Gallery
★ Falchion Knife | Fade inspecting ★ Falchion Knife | Fade holding ★ Falchion Knife | Fade pose-1 ★ Falchion Knife | Fade pose-2 ★ Falchion Knife | Fade pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 363
  • 24h price change: 5.83%
  • 7 days low: $ 341
  • 7 days high: $ 780
  • 7 days price change: 6.45%
  • 30 days low: $ 296
  • 30 days high: $ 827
  • 30 days price change: 22.64%
  • 90 days low: $ 296
  • 90 days high: $ 827
  • Year low: $ 296
  • Year high: $ 844
  • All time low: $ 296
  • All time high: $ 844
  • All time max offers: 87
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 2
  • Sales for last 7 days: 7
  • Sales for last 30 days: 28
  • Sales for last 90 days: 37
  • All time sales: 104
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 0.71
  • Volatility: 11.15%
  • Liquidity: 13.87%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 419
  • Price forecast change in a month: 22.25%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 419
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 22.25%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Fade (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 431
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 416
Action
✋ Hold
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 430
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 432
Action
✋ Hold
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 464
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 413
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 413
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 350
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -62.83
-15.23%
Result
👎 Fail
November 7, 2025
Price
$ 431
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 415
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 414
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 417
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 417
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 417
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 416
Action
✋ Hold
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 426
Action
✋ Hold
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 424
Action
✋ Hold
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 430
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 432
Action
✋ Hold
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 464
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 440
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 413
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 413
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 296
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 350
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -62.83
-15.23%
Result
👎 Fail
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ -62.83
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 413
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
0
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
42%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
84%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Related
$ 293
44%
From last week
11 offers on 5 markets
$ 197
53%
From last month
39 offers on 10 markets
$ 150
47%
From last month
20 offers on 7 markets

Description

History

History

The ★ Falchion Knife | Fade was first loaded into the virtual game of CS2 on May 26th, 2015, when it was added to the case in a Falchion Case update titled "The Hunter and the Hunted." Since then, it has become one of the pursued weapon skins in the arena, due to its striking fade pattern and sleek design.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Fade (Factory New) could be pulled from the special edition Falchion Case container that includes this skin with some probability. The skin does not refer to any collections, which makes it really unique and highly demanded in the CS2 community.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Fade (Factory New) is one of the highly sought-after items in CS2, with a popularity rating of 65%. The demand is driven by its rarity and characteristic fade pattern, with the additional upside of StatTrak technology to boot, making it the envied prize of many collectors and players.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Fade (Factory New) is one of the 391 other skins in the Knife class, yet its rarity holds Covert and an ultra-rare drop with an approximate drop chance of just 0.26%. Owning a Factory New StatTrak Fade actually speaks to one's great luck and/or dedication in the world of CS2.

Availability

Availability

The StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Fade (Factory New) stands in a line with the high-tier CS2 skins and costs from $339.48 to $374.12. This skin is very available for sale due to its huge presence in all markets. Today, 7.3K units of the Fade are available in public CS2 inventories, which indicates that this skin is really popular among players.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Fade ranges from 0.00 to 0.08, which means that in-game, it is available in Factory New or Minimal Wear. Furthermore, for each skin grade, there is also a StatTrak variant of the Fade:.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment due to StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Fade in CS2 is mostly positive: more than 9K votes on addskins.gg created a rating of 4.3 out of 5 stars. Players alike like the knife's lively pattern of fade and added attraction due to StatTrak; that is why this skin becomes one of the most wanted and respected in the community.

Finish style

Finish style

The StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Fade (Factory New) features an "Anodized Airbrushed" finish, where this process of delicately airbrushing the candy coat onto the blade is painstakingly replicated. The stunning Fade finish is uniquely influenced by its pattern index, resulting in a captivating gradient that seamlessly transitions between vibrant hues.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Fade (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 419 (22.25%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 419 (22.25%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.08
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class