StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Freehand (Factory New)

5.0 1234 reviews
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Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 209
+54.07%
In a quarter
$ 203
+49.65%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
95% - Forecast accuracy
84% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
34 offers on 9 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
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CSGO.COM
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from $ 194
Avan.Market
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1 offers
from $ 206
Steam
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from $ 226
CS.DEALS
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1 offers
from $ 266
Skinport
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from $ 275
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from $ 279
Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Freehand (Factory New)
Gallery
★ Falchion Knife | Freehand inspecting ★ Falchion Knife | Freehand holding ★ Falchion Knife | Freehand pose-1 ★ Falchion Knife | Freehand pose-2 ★ Falchion Knife | Freehand pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 132
  • 7 days low: $ 132
  • 7 days high: $ 338
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 132
  • 30 days high: $ 377
  • 30 days price change: 0%
  • 90 days low: $ 132
  • 90 days high: $ 406
  • Year low: $ 132
  • Year high: $ 37 286
  • All time low: $ 132
  • All time high: $ 37 286
  • All time max offers: 65
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 1
  • Sales for last 7 days: 13
  • Sales for last 30 days: 55
  • Sales for last 90 days: 91
  • All time sales: 197
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 2, 2025
  • Risk: -0.1158
  • Volatility: 15.13%
  • Liquidity: 11.44%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 209
  • Price forecast change in a month: 54.07%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 203
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 49.65%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Freehand (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 213
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 215
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 215
Action
✋ Hold
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 198
Action
❌ Avoid
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 148
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 148
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 219
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 71.03
48.10%
Result
👍 Success
November 2, 2025
Price
$ 213
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 215
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 202
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 202
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 201
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 195
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 215
Action
✋ Hold
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 217
Action
✋ Hold
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 198
Action
❌ Avoid
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 201
Action
❌ Avoid
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 203
Action
❌ Avoid
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 218
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 210
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 206
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 148
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 148
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 219
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 71.03
48.10%
Result
👍 Success
November 2, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 71.03
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 148
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
95%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
84%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Related
$ 293
44%
From last week
11 offers on 5 markets
$ 197
53%
From last month
39 offers on 10 markets
$ 150
47%
From last month
19 offers on 7 markets

Description

The StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Freehand Factory New pays homage to the classical falchion sword, featuring an elegant clip point blade and a curving edge dolled up in a fascinating black-and-purple paint job. What's more, the knife is dazzling with a metallic marker design, adding touches of sophistication to its already impressive aesthetic.

History

History

The ★ Falchion Knife | Freehand entered CS2 on September 21st, 2021, and immediately turned into one of the highly sought-after skins in the Dreams & Nightmares Case. Its very peculiar design combined with the hand-painted artwork of this knife made it instantly popular among players when the long-awaited "Operation Riptide" update happened.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Freehand Factory New dropped in the CS2 community via container drops with the Dreams & Nightmares Case and Operation Riptide Case, which let players be able to get this in-game skin. Unlike most skins, the Freehand variant does not fall under any specific collections and hence is quite rare among collectors and enthusiasts.

Popularity

Popularity

The skin is highly demanded and popular among the players; 95% of CS2 want the StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Freehand (Factory New). As with intricate design and low appearance probability, this skin has taken an instant position in the desires of players, what increases a sales volume and price every day.

Rarity

Rarity

What it really means is that the StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Freehand (Factory New) is just one among 391 other skins of this in-game knife. This highly ultra-rare skin comes in with a rarity classification of Covert and an estimated drop chance of 0.26%, further raising its desirability index among collectors and players alike.

Availability

Availability

The StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Freehand Factory New for CS2 has represented a more expensive skin because its price floats between $119.28 and $187.25. Still, it is highly available due to the fact that it could be purchased on different markets, and now there are 5.7K units of Freehand in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of a Factory New StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Freehand ranges from 0.00 to 0.48, meaning it is possible to get the skin in every exterior. There's a StatTrak version of every exterior of the skin Freehand.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment towards the StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Freehand (Factory New) in CS2 is very positive, with an average rating of 5.0 out of 5 stars based on over 1.1K votes on addskins.gg. This is further reinforced by the fact that professional players fashr and luken own this knife, adding to its desirability among the community.

Finish style

Finish style

The StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Freehand Factory New from CS2 features a "painted" Anodized Multicolored candy coat finish in multicolored pattern using such techniques as silk-screening combined with adherable stencils. This skin's dominant color is an exciting purple tint, while the looks of Freehand pattern are different, carrying unique pattern index for every single knife.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Freehand (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 209 (54.07%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 203 (49.65%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.48
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players