StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Lore (Factory New)

4.8 2283 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 11
+4.68%
Last month
$ 11
+4.68%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 373
+48.35%
In a quarter
$ 377
+49.94%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
37% - Forecast accuracy
60% - Forecast trend accuracy
50% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
47 offers on 8 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
Marketplace
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Price
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from $ 380
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Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Lore (Factory New)
Gallery
★ Falchion Knife | Lore inspecting ★ Falchion Knife | Lore holding ★ Falchion Knife | Lore pose-1 ★ Falchion Knife | Lore pose-2 ★ Falchion Knife | Lore pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 246
  • 7 days low: $ 235
  • 7 days high: $ 731
  • 7 days price change: 4.68%
  • 30 days low: $ 235
  • 30 days high: $ 731
  • 30 days price change: 4.68%
  • 90 days low: $ 235
  • 90 days high: $ 928
  • Year low: $ 235
  • Year high: $ 70 424
  • All time low: $ 235
  • All time high: $ 70 424
  • All time max offers: 68
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 1
  • Sales for last 7 days: 5
  • Sales for last 30 days: 21
  • Sales for last 90 days: 33
  • All time sales: 70
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 2, 2025
  • Risk: 2.16
  • Volatility: 11.19%
  • Liquidity: 8.36%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 373
  • Price forecast change in a month: 48.35%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 377
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 49.94%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Lore (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 340
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 362
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 362
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 352
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -10
-2.76%
Result
👎 Fail
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 343
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 350
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 350
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 350
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.054
0.01543100%
Result
👍 Success
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 350
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 360
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 360
October 17, 2025
Price
$ 340
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 362
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 362
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 352
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -10
-2.76%
Result
👎 Fail
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 343
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 350
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 350
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 350
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.054
0.01543100%
Result
👍 Success
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 350
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 338
Action
❌ Avoid
August 28, 2025
Price
$ 340
Action
❌ Avoid
September 5, 2025
Price
$ 376
Action
❌ Avoid
September 13, 2025
Price
$ 347
Action
❌ Avoid
September 21, 2025
Price
$ 391
Action
❌ Avoid
October 1, 2025
Price
$ 351
Action
❌ Avoid
October 9, 2025
Price
$ 360
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 360
October 17, 2025
Price
$ 281
Action
🔥 Buy
October 25, 2025
Price
$ 235
Action
🔥 Buy
November 2, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ -9.95
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 1 072
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
3
Sell count
2
Success count
1
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
37%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
60%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
50%
79% - avg*
Related
$ 293
44%
From last week
10 offers on 4 markets
$ 197
53%
From last month
39 offers on 10 markets
$ 150
47%
From last month
19 offers on 7 markets

Description

The StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Lore Factory New pulls off a really slick, modernistic take on the ancient sword of its name, featuring a clip point blade with a nice curve to it. Adding to the already eye-catching blade is an intricate knotwork pattern that has been hand-painted and custom-framed.

History

History

The ★ Falchion Knife | Lore was one of the CS2 drops that originally dropped on September 21st, 2021. Because of the complicated design, mythological lore combined with this release, and spectacular presence, this skin instantly won players' hearts. It first appeared in the highly valued Dreams & Nightmares Case, launched together with the long-expected "Operation Riptide" update, mysteriously adding an element of thrill to the game.

Origin

Origin

First, the StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Lore was an exclusive drop in the Dreams & Nightmares Case, dropping with luck to the players opening this case to get it in its beautiful look with an intricate lore design. Moreover, this knife has been in high demand in the Operation Riptide Case, which allows collectors and enthusiasts one more chance to have this Factory New skin in their inventory.

Popularity

Popularity

The high demand and 95% popularity rating of the StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Lore can be explained by the very high frequency of its sales and that it comes for a premium price in the CS2 market, hence making it one of the most wanted skins.

Rarity

Rarity

StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Lore (Factory New) - This skin belongs to the 391 skins for knives in CS2. Being classified as a Covert grade quality, it is an extremely rare drop with a calculated drop chance of only 0.26%.

Availability

Availability

The StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Lore skin is one of the high-demand skins in CS2, with prices of $147.67 to $310.41, depending on the skin condition. Despite its huge price, it is widely spread among different markets, thus available for players who'd like to add this marvel of a knife to their collection. Currently, the Lore skin has about 5.6K units in public CS2 inventories - proof of its popularity among the player base.

Versions

Versions

Float Value for StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Lore ranges from 0.00 to 0.65, and because of this, getting the skin in any exterior will be possible. Moreover, a variant with StatTrak makes each exterior enable its killer to track their victories in style.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community attitude towards the StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Lore in CS2 holds at a rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars with over 2.1K votes on addskins.gg. Another instance is that the pro CS2 player pimp owns the knife.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Lore has a "Custom Paint Job" style with masterful application, which allows an impressive amount of saturated colors to be displayed on it-mostly filled in with an appealing combination of yellow and gold. The pattern indexes do not affect the finish of Lore, meaning this skin is visually outstanding and highly customizable.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Lore (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 373 (48.35%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 377 (49.94%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.65
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players