StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)

4.8 2889 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 13
+4.94%
Last month
$ 46
+20%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 369
+33.88%
In a quarter
$ 303
+9.93%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
80% - Forecast accuracy
80% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
68 offers on 9 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)
Gallery
★ Falchion Knife | Marble Fade inspecting ★ Falchion Knife | Marble Fade holding ★ Falchion Knife | Marble Fade pose-1 ★ Falchion Knife | Marble Fade pose-2 ★ Falchion Knife | Marble Fade pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 276
  • 7 days low: $ 263
  • 7 days high: $ 615
  • 7 days price change: 4.94%
  • 30 days low: $ 230
  • 30 days high: $ 2 737
  • 30 days price change: 20%
  • 90 days low: $ 230
  • 90 days high: $ 2 737
  • Year low: $ 230
  • Year high: $ 69 947
  • All time low: $ 230
  • All time high: $ 69 947
  • All time max offers: 83
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 4
  • Sales for last 7 days: 25
  • Sales for last 30 days: 67
  • Sales for last 90 days: 89
  • All time sales: 209
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 6, 2025
  • Risk: 0.1368
  • Volatility: 10.89%
  • Liquidity: 13.68%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 369
  • Price forecast change in a month: 33.88%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 303
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 9.93%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 408
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 377
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 395
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 370
Action
✋ Hold
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 420
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 324
Action
✋ Hold
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 308
Action
❌ Avoid
November 6, 2025
Price
$ 408
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 388
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 390
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 377
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 377
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 395
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 358
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 352
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 370
Action
✋ Hold
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 391
Action
✋ Hold
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 420
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 387
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 394
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 383
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 324
Action
✋ Hold
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 308
Action
❌ Avoid
November 6, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
80%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
80%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Related
$ 293
44%
From last week
11 offers on 5 markets
$ 197
53%
From last month
39 offers on 10 markets
$ 150
47%
From last month
19 offers on 7 markets

Description

History

History

The ★ Falchion Knife | Marble Fade first appeared in CS2 on March 15th, 2017, when it was added to the Spectrum 2 Case, which included new skins for knives. This Factory New knife immediately gained a lot of popularity among players because its unique and vibrant Marble Fade made it one of the hottest items in the CS2 community.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) is among the most rare and sought-after skins in CS2, and getting it may only be possible by opening one container of Spectrum 2 Case or Spectrum Case. Moreover, unlike many other skins, this knife doesn't take part in any collection, which makes it quite unique and exclusive for any collector and player.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Marble Fade is, in this very moment, in a whole different dimension of popularity, 95%, and continues to be one of the highly sought items in CS2. Meanwhile, the popularity of an item depends on the skin market and how many it sells daily for its price.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) is a rare skin, coming from only 391 available skins for the knife class in CS2. Being of Covert grade means this ultra skin drops with an estimated rate of just 0.26%, which makes it super high in demand and rather costly among collectors and players.

Availability

Availability

The StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) for CS2 represents the high-end skin layer. Its price is ranged between $277.12 and $558.10, but it is already widely available because the skin could be found and purchased on different markets. It means that there are already approximately 10,000 units of the Marble Fade in the public inventories of CS2.

Versions

Versions

StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) - A very popular CS2 skin with a float value between 0.00 and 0.08, this skin is available in Factory New and Minimal Wear conditions. What's more, for Marble Fade, a player has a StatTrak variant available for each exterior option.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment of the StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) for CS2 is high at an average rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars with over 2.8K votes on addskins.gg, while its ownership by pro CS2 player cruc1al further states its desirability.

Finish style

Finish style

The StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Marble Fade Factory New keeps a bright "Anodized Multicolored" style, showcasing a very impressively done Marble Fade pattern. The multicolored pattern of the candy coat is applied by using the technique of silk-screen or by using adherable stencils. The candy coat and the pattern index do affect the way the knife would look by the Marble Fade pattern on the knife. This eventually turns out to be very impressive and hence popular among the people.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 369 (33.88%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 303 (9.93%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.08
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players