StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn)

4.7 7242 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 5
+3.09%
Last month
$ 14
+9.15%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 321
+92.68%
In a quarter
$ 183
+9.84%
Action
Decision:
🎯 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
40% - Forecast accuracy
40% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
5 offers on 4 markets
Updated8 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
1 offers
from $ 167
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
2 offers
from $ 170
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
1 offers
from $ 170
Steam
Steam
1 offers
from $ 345
Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn)
Gallery
★ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat inspecting ★ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat holding ★ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat pose-1 ★ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat pose-2 ★ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 167
  • 7 days low: $ 162
  • 7 days high: $ 345
  • 7 days price change: 3.09%
  • 30 days low: $ 153
  • 30 days high: $ 345
  • 30 days price change: 9.15%
  • 90 days low: $ 146
  • 90 days high: $ 345
  • Year low: $ 139
  • Year high: $ 345
  • All time low: $ 139
  • All time high: $ 345
  • All time max offers: 11
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 0
  • Sales for last 30 days: 2
  • Sales for last 90 days: 4
  • All time sales: 8
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 0.9
  • Volatility: 12.13%
  • Liquidity: 9.7%
  • Decision: 🎯 Speculative Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 321
  • Price forecast change in a month: 92.68%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 183
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 9.84%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 173
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 173
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 147
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 147
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 147
Action
✋ Hold
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 345
Action
❌ Avoid
September 13, 2025
Price
$ 156
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 156
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 173
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 173
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 154
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 147
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 147
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 147
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 147
Action
✋ Hold
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 147
Action
✋ Hold
August 28, 2025
Price
$ 345
Action
✋ Hold
September 5, 2025
Price
$ 345
Action
❌ Avoid
September 13, 2025
Price
$ 234
Action
❌ Avoid
September 21, 2025
Price
$ 156
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 156
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 163
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 164
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 153
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 171
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 156
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
40%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
40%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Related
$ 293
44%
From last week
11 offers on 5 markets
$ 197
53%
From last month
39 offers on 10 markets
$ 150
47%
From last month
20 offers on 7 markets

Description

This StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife is inspired by the historical sword that is the falchion, with a curved clip point blade featuring an exterior rusted for that real look. Even with the worn look, this knife is still fully functional and attests to the unapologetic nature of the individuals who wield it.

History

History

The ★ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat first appeared in CS2 on the virtual store dates back to March 15th, 2017. This blade is really rough and rustly, set up against the release of Spectrum 2 Case, combining well with the "Take a trip to the Canals" update that offered players this unique and battle-worn new look for their arsenals in-game.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn) was presented to the CS2 community, and Spectrum 2 Case along with Spectrum Case in-game containers were the only ones where this skin could have been pulled. The Rust Coat does not belong to any collection, which makes it a pretty unique and highly demanded skin among collectors and enthusiasts.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn) is highly sought after and boasts an incredible 95% popularity within the CS2 community. Its high desirability is proved as it always tops the items' sales volume daily and has an impressively high price in the market.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn) is one of 391 other Knife skins in CS2, but this particular skin is of Covert rarity, thus ultra rare drop with estimated chance to drop being only about 0.26%.

Availability

Availability

Such cool Falchion Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn) skin is pretty affordable and has an average cost of $92.62-$192.32, which is relatively low. The skin has plenty of markets, so it's pretty easy for a player to get this distinctive skin into his collection. There are about 10.1K units of the Rust Coat in public CS2 inventories, which provides pretty good saturation for buyers.

Versions

Versions

Float value range for StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn) for CS2 is from 0.40 to 1.00, which indicates this skin also exists both in Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred states. A player is also able, in each case, to find a StatTrak version of the Rust Coat in each exterior condition.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment towards the StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn) in CS2 is very positive, having more than 7.1K votes on addskins.gg and an average rating of 4.7 out of 5 stars. Players like the unique and weathered look of this knife, making it one of the most wanted skins in-game.

Finish style

Finish style

This Well-Worn Falchion Knife | Rust Coat has a patina, just like on ancient, aged, or abandoned metal: it gets extremely resistant while acquiring a worn surface. Gray becomes leading in the color gamut for extreme wear-off of metal and introduces new nuances of the pattern because of its index.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn) is expected grow to $ 321 (92.68%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 183 (9.84%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.42
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class