StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear)

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Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 162
+53.51%
In a quarter
$ 210
+99.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
83% - Forecast accuracy
67% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
14 offers on 5 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Lis-skins
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6 offers
from $ 106
White.Market
White.Market
1 offers
from $ 112
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
5 offers
from $ 113
Skinport
Skinport
1 offers
from $ 162
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
1 offers
from $ 245
Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
★ Falchion Knife | Scorched inspecting ★ Falchion Knife | Scorched holding ★ Falchion Knife | Scorched pose-1 ★ Falchion Knife | Scorched pose-2 ★ Falchion Knife | Scorched pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 106
  • 7 days low: $ 106
  • 7 days high: $ 248
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 106
  • 30 days high: $ 250
  • 30 days price change: 0%
  • 90 days low: $ 106
  • 90 days high: $ 350
  • Year low: $ 106
  • Year high: $ 379
  • All time low: $ 106
  • All time high: $ 379
  • All time max offers: 23
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 3
  • Sales for last 30 days: 5
  • Sales for last 90 days: 10
  • All time sales: 32
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 3.0
  • Volatility: 10.48%
  • Liquidity: 10.23%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 162
  • Price forecast change in a month: 53.51%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 210
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 99.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 128
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 169
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 142
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 129
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 129
September 24, 2025
Price
$ 170
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 41.53
32.22%
Result
👍 Success
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 218
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 147
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 147
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 128
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 169
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 142
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 162
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 163
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 163
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 163
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 158
Action
❌ Avoid
August 31, 2025
Price
$ 151
Action
❌ Avoid
September 8, 2025
Price
$ 141
Action
❌ Avoid
September 16, 2025
Price
$ 129
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 129
September 24, 2025
Price
$ 170
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 41.53
32.22%
Result
👍 Success
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 218
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 179
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 147
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 147
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 111
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 41.53
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 276
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
83%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
67%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Related
$ 293
44%
From last week
10 offers on 4 markets
$ 197
53%
From last month
39 offers on 10 markets
$ 150
47%
From last month
19 offers on 7 markets

Description

The StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Scorched is inspired by an ancient sword, the falchion, with a sleek and lethal curved clip point blade, while its surface is spray-painted with an enchanting sun-dappled pattern. This knife really holds within it not a message of destruction but that of rebirth, hence being similar to the mythical Phoenix so well described by the Revolutionary Valeria Jenner herself.

History

History

The ★ Falchion Knife | Scorched dropped in the virtual world of CS2 for the first time on May 26th, 2015, when it was added to the inventory. One sleek and fiery knife was from the Falchion Case, which was released just about the same time as the "The Hunter and the Hunted" update; this update introduced fresh skins and new weapon choices for the various battlefields of Counter-Strike.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear) is one of the rarest and most popular skins. It can only be obtained through opening a container case-Falchion Case-thus, adding some element of chance to getting it. Unlike the rest of the skins, this does not come under any collection; therefore, in the CS2 world, it stands singular and totally on its own.

Popularity

Popularity

Currently, StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Scorched Minimal Wear has high demand due to its 90% rating in popularity. It gains its popularity due to the sleek design and an added feature in StatTrak that makes it in high demand for CS2 players.

Rarity

Rarity

This Falchion Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear), or in other words, a StatTrak ★-grade skin is one of 391 skins existing in-game currently. So, the skin initially pulled was tagged as Covert-rare in-game jargon-and featured a mere drop chance of 0.26%.

Availability

Availability

The StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear) is an affordable skin, falling within the range of $88.00-$183.00. It is widely available in multiple markets and thus can be easily purchased. Besides, there is a large pool of 6.9K units of the Scorched skin in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

Well, the float range of StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear) goes from 0.06 to 0.80, meaning a player can receive this skin in any exterior. It also means that for every type of exterior that Scorched has, there is some StatTrak version for it.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

Community sentiment from CS2 for this StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear) skin is an astonishing 4.8K+ in votes, and the average vote rating at addskins.gg is as high as 4.9 out of 5. It gained the admiration of players with its sleek build and for having minimal wear and tear on the skin; hence, it's highly coveted within the community.

Finish style

Finish style

This particular StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Scorched in Minimal Wear has its index set by a pattern featuring unique variations of dark to gray overtones, representing those smoldering leftovers. Heavy stenciled marks around the pattern of the overall knife really fill in depth and give an appearance of much-worn usage.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear) is expected grow to $ 162 (53.51%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 210 (99.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.11
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class