StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn)

4.9 4847 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 19
+15.83%
Last month
$ 49.1
+54.62%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 153
+10.02%
In a quarter
$ 163
+17.22%
Action
Decision:
🎯 Buy
Confidence:
👎 Low
26% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
3 offers on 2 markets
Updated22 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
2 offers
from $ 139
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
1 offers
from $ 165
Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn)
Gallery
★ Falchion Knife | Scorched inspecting ★ Falchion Knife | Scorched holding ★ Falchion Knife | Scorched pose-1 ★ Falchion Knife | Scorched pose-2 ★ Falchion Knife | Scorched pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 139
  • 7 days low: $ 120
  • 7 days high: $ 167
  • 7 days price change: 15.83%
  • 30 days low: $ 89.9
  • 30 days high: $ 321
  • 30 days price change: 54.62%
  • 90 days low: $ 89.9
  • 90 days high: $ 321
  • Year low: $ 88.05
  • Year high: $ 321
  • All time low: $ 88.05
  • All time high: $ 321
  • All time max offers: 30
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 1
  • Sales for last 30 days: 5
  • Sales for last 90 days: 5
  • All time sales: 7
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 4, 2025
  • Risk: 0.95
  • Volatility: 13.14%
  • Liquidity: 1.28%
  • Decision: 🎯 Speculative Buy
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 153
  • Price forecast change in a month: 10.02%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 163
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 17.22%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 166
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 153
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 153
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 131
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -21.84
-14.31%
Result
👎 Fail
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 133
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 180
Action
✋ Hold
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 199
Action
❌ Avoid
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 134
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 134
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 166
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 157
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 156
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 153
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 153
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 153
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 150
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 145
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 131
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -21.84
-14.31%
Result
👎 Fail
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 133
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 139
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 180
Action
✋ Hold
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 199
Action
❌ Avoid
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 161
Action
❌ Avoid
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 160
Action
❌ Avoid
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 134
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 134
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 122
Action
🔥 Buy
November 4, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ -21.84
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 287
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
0
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
26%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Related
$ 293
44%
From last week
10 offers on 4 markets
$ 197
53%
From last month
39 offers on 10 markets
$ 150
47%
From last month
19 offers on 7 markets

Description

This well-worn StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Scorched pays homage to the classic falchion sword with its curved clip point blade. The sun-dappled spray-painted pattern represents the Phoenix, a symbol of rebirth rather than destruction, says Valeria Jenner, Revolutionary.

History

History

The ★ Falchion Knife | Scorched first saw its release into the world of CS2 back on May 26th, 2015, upon the release of the new inventory additions added to the game. This unique knife skin was released with the Falchion Case, which had been updated with "The Hunter and the Hunted" and a wave of new excitement within the community.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn) is an extremely rare variation of the Falchion Knife that one can get by opening a Falchion Case container in CS2. The skin being in a scorched version gives an addition of realism to the battle-worn attribute, thus making it the most highly valued possession in collectors' and players' views.

Popularity

Popularity

Its popularity among 90% of CS2 players in choosing the StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn) is an extremely high popularity rating. Furthermore, it is highly in demand by buyers, which can be seen through its daily sales volume and price in the market, to further stamp it as one of the most sought-after items in the game.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn) is a skin of 391 other Knife skins that are available in CS2. Having the rarity classification of Covert, this skin belongs to an ultra rare drop, which is estimated to have a drop chance of just 0.26%.

Availability

Availability

The Falchion Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn) StatTrak ★ is relatively inexpensive skin and stands in a price range of $88.00-$183.00. It's easily accessible because it's possible to buy this skin from many markets. Currently, the public CS2 inventories hold 6.9K units of the Scorched skin.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the ★ Falchion Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn) is from 0.38 to 0.45, thus it has a worn-out look with visible scratches and wear. Besides, a StatTrak version was available for every exterior of Scorched, which allowed the player to track the amount of kills with this unusual skin of the knife.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment of the StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn) from CS2 is pretty good, as over 4.8K users have voted on addskins.gg with an average rating of 4.9/5. They just like its design and, besides, having a plus because of the StatTrak feature, too.

Finish style

Finish style

This StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn) has been spray-painted using a stencil pattern, with several coats visible in various shades of gray. The Scorched pattern index affects the appearance of the skin, giving the impression of real wear and tear.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ Falchion Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn) is expected grow to $ 153 (10.02%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 163 (17.22%). Confidence is low — it is advised to speculative buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.41
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class