StatTrak ★ Gut Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)

4.9 5899 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 9
+4.62%
Last month
$ 81
+65.85%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 289
+41.77%
In a quarter
$ 172
-15.62%
Action
Decision:
✋ Hold
Confidence:
👎 Low
68% - Forecast accuracy
29% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
18 offers on 8 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
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Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ Gut Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)
Gallery
★ Gut Knife | Case Hardened inspecting ★ Gut Knife | Case Hardened holding ★ Gut Knife | Case Hardened pose-1 ★ Gut Knife | Case Hardened pose-2 ★ Gut Knife | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 204
  • 7 days low: $ 195
  • 7 days high: $ 370
  • 7 days price change: 4.62%
  • 30 days low: $ 123
  • 30 days high: $ 370
  • 30 days price change: 65.85%
  • 90 days low: $ 123
  • 90 days high: $ 377
  • Year low: $ 123
  • Year high: $ 452
  • All time low: $ 123
  • All time high: $ 452
  • All time max offers: 31
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 3
  • Sales for last 30 days: 13
  • Sales for last 90 days: 22
  • All time sales: 44
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 6, 2025
  • Risk: -0.0456
  • Volatility: 13.43%
  • Liquidity: 4.69%
  • Decision: ✋ Hold
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 289
  • Price forecast change in a month: 41.77%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 172
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -15.62%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ Gut Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 244
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 288
Action
✋ Hold
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 218
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 218
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 228
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 9.26
4.24%
Result
👍 Success
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 201
Action
❌ Avoid
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 205
Action
✋ Hold
November 6, 2025
Price
$ 244
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 199
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 210
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 223
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 223
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 288
Action
✋ Hold
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 218
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 218
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 253
Action
🔥 Buy
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 236
Action
🔥 Buy
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 215
Action
🔥 Buy
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 209
Action
🔥 Buy
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 219
Action
🔥 Buy
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 199
Action
🔥 Buy
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 228
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 9.26
4.24%
Result
👍 Success
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 201
Action
❌ Avoid
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 205
Action
✋ Hold
November 6, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 9.26
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 218
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
68%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
29%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Related
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★ Gut Knife | Autotronic
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★ Gut Knife | Autotronic
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58%
From last month
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$ 65.05
41%
From last month
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$ 101
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51 offers on 9 markets

Description

History

History

The ★ Gut Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) appeared in the virtual world of CS2 on August 14th, 2013, and featured in the Revolver Case, which came out in parallel with the "The Arms Deal" update. Since then, this version of the skin for this knife has gained high popularity among collectors and players because of the revealing of its unique blue pattern, which shows intensity and rarity differences, therefore making each separate knife unique and valued.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak ★ Gut Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) is one of the rarest skins in the game, and it can only be obtained by opening one of the 11 containers this skin is available in, including the CS2 Weapon Case, CS2 Weapon Case 2, and CS2 Weapon Case 3. Unlike many other skins, this does not form part of any collection and therefore is a pretty exclusive and highly pursued piece among collectors and players.

Popularity

Popularity

StatTrak ★ Gut Knife | Case Hardened-Well-Worn has the popularity rate of 90%, what means it is very wanted. Because of its nice and outstanding Case Hardened pattern, the skin is highly desired among players and takes the first position in CS2 skins' rating. Its popularity can be proven by great day-to-day sales volume and rather high price within the skins market.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak ★ Gut Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) is one of the 391 different knife skins existing in CS2. This Case Hardened variation runs under Covert rarity and is, therefore, ultra-rare to drop-just a 0.26 percent chance of getting it.

Availability

Availability

The StatTrak ★ Gut Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) is one of the most popular skins in CS2, with prices ranging from $122.97 to $684.10. Despite its high price, it is currently easily available on different markets, making it accessible to interested buyers. Moreover, there are currently 5.1K units of the Case Hardened skin in public CS2 inventories, which means that this skin is quite popular among players.

Versions

Versions

Float Value of StatTrak ★ Gut Knife | Case Hardened: 0.38-0.44, Well-Worn: This exterior skin has a worn appearance with quite a few scratches and the blue pattern faded out in some areas. This version skin is available in all exteriors. Also, for each exterior in this skin, there is a corresponding version with StatTrak, meaning with a counter of kills.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

Community Sentiment: Community sentiment regarding StatTrak ★ Gut Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) is very positive. It had acquired a rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars based on over 5.8K votes on addskins.gg. This skin is also popular and has formed part of the inventory of fer, a professional CS2 player.

Finish style

Finish style

This StatTrak ★ Gut Knife has been painted in a well-worn, Case Hardened finish, and has been anodized in a stealthy metallic color that is only visible on parts of the handle. A patina effect on the metallic parts gives it a worn, hardened shell appearance.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ Gut Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) is expected grow to $ 289 (41.77%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 172 (-15.62%). Confidence is low — it is advised to hold.