StatTrak ★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New)

4.4 10316 reviews
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Latest price change
Last month
$ 29
+0.65%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 5 770
+28.48%
In a quarter
$ 5 977
+33.09%
Action
Decision:
🎯 Buy
Confidence:
👎 Low
51% - Forecast accuracy
100% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
3 offers on 3 markets
Updated14 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
White.Market
White.Market
1 offers
from $ 4 491
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
1 offers
from $ 4 600
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
1 offers
from $ 4 614
Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New)
Gallery
★ Karambit | Case Hardened inspecting ★ Karambit | Case Hardened holding ★ Karambit | Case Hardened pose-1 ★ Karambit | Case Hardened pose-2 ★ Karambit | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 4 491
  • 7 days low: $ 4 491
  • 7 days high: $ 4 620
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 4 462
  • 30 days high: $ 5 698
  • 30 days price change: 0.65%
  • 90 days low: $ 4 462
  • 90 days high: $ 6 512
  • Year low: $ 2 856
  • Year high: $ 659 542
  • All time low: $ 2 856
  • All time high: $ 659 542
  • All time max offers: 5
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 0
  • Sales for last 30 days: 0
  • Sales for last 90 days: 0
  • All time sales: 0
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 6, 2025
  • Risk: 0.86
  • Volatility: 14.91%
  • Liquidity: 0.0%
  • Decision: 🎯 Speculative Buy
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 5 770
  • Price forecast change in a month: 28.48%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 5 977
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 33.09%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 12 736
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 12 736
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 4 774
Action
✋ Hold
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 4 774
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -7 962
-62.52%
Result
👎 Fail
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 6 512
Action
❌ Avoid
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 4 463
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 4 463
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 12 736
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 12 736
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 13 034
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 13 034
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 4 768
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 4 768
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 4 774
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 4 727
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 4 774
Action
✋ Hold
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 4 767
Action
✋ Hold
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 4 774
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -7 962
-62.52%
Result
👎 Fail
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 6 512
Action
❌ Avoid
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 5 698
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 5 698
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 4 463
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 4 463
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 4 491
Action
🔥 Buy
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 4 491
Action
🔥 Buy
November 6, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ -7 962
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 17 199
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
0
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
51%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
100%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
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Description

History

History

The Karambit | Case Hardened Factory New was first shown in the virtual CS2 world on August 14th, 2013. This super-popular skin of a knife was presented along with the Case-Revolver, which came out together with the great "The Arms Deal" update, which forever changed the face of the weapon customization option in this game.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak ★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New) is one of the rarest skins, and to get it, one should open any of the 11 containers that include it: CS2 Weapon Case, CS2 Weapon Case 2, and CS2 Weapon Case 3. Unlike other skins, Case Hardened Karambit doesn't refer to any collection, which makes it one of the most wanted and expensive items in the CS2 community.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak ★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New) is in high demand. It has a popularity rating of 90%. It is highly wanted because of its rarity and looking great. This makes it one of the most wanted items in the CS2 community. This evaluation has been calculated by looking at the skin's sales per day and its price being consistently high.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak ★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New) is one of the 391 different knife skins that exist in CS2. Being a Covert skin, this item will have an ultra rare drop rate, estimated at about 0.26% for a player to drop this skin.

Availability

Availability

The StatTrak ★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New) for CS2 is a luxury and highly demanded skin, priced from $654.02-$4,002.82. Despite the high price, this skin is currently very easy to get because it is available for purchase in various markets. A proof of popularity may be the fact that there are already 5.5K units of Case Hardened skin in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The StatTrak ★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New) includes all the exteriors and float values, ranging from 0.00 to 1.00, meaning that there is massive variability in the pattern. And, of course, every exterior version has its own StatTrak version for players who want to make their kill counting look more stylish.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

Community Sentiment: The community sentiment of the StatTrak ★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New) for CS2 is very positive, standing at 4.4/5-star ratings and over 10.2K votes on addskins.gg. It is further reinforced by the fact that professional CS2 players tarik and shroud own it.

Finish style

Finish style

The Skin of StatTrak ★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New) features a very intricate-looking "Patina"-style finish reminiscent of real-life case hardening-a process in which the surface of the metal has been chemically altered, producing a hardened shell on the surface. The uniqueness of the pattern index helps further the appearance of Case Hardened on this particular Karambit, showcasing an amazing and unique sight to see.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 5 770 (28.48%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 5 977 (33.09%). Confidence is low — it is advised to speculative buy.