StatTrak M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Factory New)

4.7 2450 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 7.25
+15.37%
Last month
$ 18.83
+52.92%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 56.74
+11.38%
In a quarter
$ 57.4
+12.68%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
26% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
259 offers on 9 markets
Updated3 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
79 offers
from $ 54.41
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
19 offers
from $ 55.38
White.Market
White.Market
46 offers
from $ 55.85
Bitskins
Bitskins
4 offers
from $ 57.1
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
48 offers
from $ 57.16
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
30 offers
from $ 57.74
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
8 offers
from $ 60.17
Skinport
Skinport
13 offers
from $ 61.45
CSGOEmpire
CSGOEmpire
12 offers
from $ 96.99
Inspect skin
StatTrak M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Factory New)
Gallery
M4A1-S | Black Lotus inspecting M4A1-S | Black Lotus reloading M4A1-S | Black Lotus holding M4A1-S | Black Lotus pose-1 M4A1-S | Black Lotus pose-2 M4A1-S | Black Lotus pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 54.41
  • 24h price change: 15.37%
  • 7 days low: $ 47.16
  • 7 days high: $ 305
  • 7 days price change: 15.37%
  • 30 days low: $ 35.58
  • 30 days high: $ 347
  • 30 days price change: 52.92%
  • 90 days low: $ 35.58
  • 90 days high: $ 593
  • Year low: $ 35.58
  • Year high: $ 9 992
  • All time low: $ 35.58
  • All time high: $ 9 992
  • All time max offers: 398
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 29
  • Sales for last 7 days: 163
  • Sales for last 30 days: 736
  • Sales for last 90 days: 1764
  • All time sales: 5092
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 0.4709
  • Volatility: 10.62%
  • Liquidity: 33.25%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 56.74
  • Price forecast change in a month: 11.38%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 57.4
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 12.68%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 55.67
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 57.84
Action
✋ Hold
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 59.65
Action
❌ Avoid
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 62.6
Action
✋ Hold
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 57.62
Action
❌ Avoid
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 53.05
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 53.05
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 50.92
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -2.13
-4.01%
Result
👎 Fail
November 7, 2025
Price
$ 55.67
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 54.74
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 53.39
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 52.79
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 52.62
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 52.58
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 53.19
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 57.84
Action
✋ Hold
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 59.65
Action
❌ Avoid
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 62.6
Action
✋ Hold
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 57.62
Action
❌ Avoid
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 53.72
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 53.05
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 53.05
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 48.01
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 48.37
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 50.92
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -2.13
-4.01%
Result
👎 Fail
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ -2.13
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 53.05
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
0
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
26%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
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Minimal Wear

Description

Featuring a reduced magazine size compared to its unsilenced variant, the StatTrak M4A1-S in Factory New condition offers stealthy, accurate shots with minimal recoil. Its sleek design showcases a black lotus flower motif set against a striking blue and purple backdrop, adding two kills during rifle rounds before being replaced.

History

History

The StatTrak M4A1-S | Black Lotus in Factory New condition was added to CS2's virtual marketplace on February 6th, 2024, as part of the Kilowatt Case update. This highly sought-after skin, designed by the talented community artist "moonfighter," quickly became a symbol of prestige and skill among players.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Factory New) is a rare and highly sought-after skin that can only be obtained through trade-ups using classified skins from the Cobblestone Collection. It is known for its intricate black and gold lotus design and is a symbol of prestige among CS2 players.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak M4A1-S | Black Lotus in Factory New condition boasts a staggering popularity rating of 99%, solidifying its status as one of the most sought-after items in CS2. This high demand is reflected in its daily sales volume and premium price point within the game's marketplace.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak M4A1-S | Black Lotus is one of 276 other Rifle skins in Counter-Strike: Global Offensive. Classified as a Covert skin, the Black Lotus is an exceptionally rare drop with an estimated drop chance of only 0.25%.

Availability

Availability

The StatTrak M4A1-S | Black Lotus in Factory New condition is a highly sought-after skin with a price range typically between $1,500 and $2,000. Despite its high value, it can be found on various online marketplaces, making it accessible to collectors and players willing to invest in this rare and exclusive item.

Versions

Versions

The StatTrak M4A1-S | Black Lotus in Factory New condition is highly sought after in CS2, with its float value ranging from 0.00 to 0.07, ensuring a pristine appearance. This skin is available in all exteriors, with each exterior having a corresponding StatTrak variant for collectors and enthusiasts alike.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The StatTrak M4A1-S | Black Lotus in Factory New condition has garnered significant community attention, with more than 3000 votes on addskins and an impressive average rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars. This sought-after skin is proudly wielded by prominent CS2 professionals such as s1mple, NiKo, and coldzera, further solidifying its popularity among the player base.

Finish style

Finish style

The StatTrak M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Factory New) features a sleek and modern finish style known as "Tech Noir." The design incorporates a futuristic aesthetic with a black and metallic color palette, giving the weapon a high-tech and sophisticated appearance. The Black Lotus finish is consistent across all pattern indexes, providing a uniform and striking look to this powerful firearm.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 56.74 (11.38%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 57.4 (12.68%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.7
Max: 0.7
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.