StatTrak M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Well-Worn)

4.7 2514 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 1.84
+9.5%
Last month
$ 3.08
+16.99%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 22.77
+16.65%
In a quarter
$ 23.79
+21.87%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
81% - Forecast accuracy
67% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
78 offers on 9 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
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Inspect skin
StatTrak M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Well-Worn)
Gallery
M4A1-S | Black Lotus inspecting M4A1-S | Black Lotus reloading M4A1-S | Black Lotus holding M4A1-S | Black Lotus pose-1 M4A1-S | Black Lotus pose-2 M4A1-S | Black Lotus pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 21.21
  • 24h price change: 9.5%
  • 7 days low: $ 19.37
  • 7 days high: $ 161
  • 7 days price change: 9.5%
  • 30 days low: $ 18.13
  • 30 days high: $ 209
  • 30 days price change: 16.99%
  • 90 days low: $ 15.37
  • 90 days high: $ 209
  • Year low: $ 15.37
  • Year high: $ 4 180
  • All time low: $ 15.37
  • All time high: $ 4 180
  • All time max offers: 353
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 10
  • Sales for last 7 days: 89
  • Sales for last 30 days: 348
  • Sales for last 90 days: 703
  • All time sales: 1853
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 0.2712
  • Volatility: 14.79%
  • Liquidity: 29.08%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 22.77
  • Price forecast change in a month: 16.65%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 23.79
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 21.87%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 23.08
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 20.91
Action
📉 Sell
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 15.37
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 18.91
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 18.91
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 20.19
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.28
6.77%
Result
👍 Success
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 21.23
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 19.76
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 19.76
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 21.39
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.63
8.25%
Result
👍 Success
November 7, 2025
Price
$ 23.08
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 21.05
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 19.52
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 20.91
Action
📉 Sell
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 21.34
Action
📉 Sell
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 15.37
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 21.86
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 24.89
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 22.64
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 24.95
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 22.17
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 18.91
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 18.91
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 20.19
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.28
6.77%
Result
👍 Success
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 21.23
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 19.76
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 19.76
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 21.39
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.63
8.25%
Result
👍 Success
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 2.91
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 38.67
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
2
Success count
2
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
81%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
67%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
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Minimal Wear

Description

The StatTrak M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Well-Worn) in CS2 features a custom paint job showcasing a black lotus flower on a striking blue and purple background. This weapon not only offers reduced noise and improved precision with its smaller magazine but also tracks kills during rifle rounds before being discarded after two eliminations.

History

History

The M4A1-S | Black Lotus was added to CS2's inventory in February 2024 as part of the Kilowatt Case update, which featured various new skins. The design of the skin, created by community designer "moonfighter", quickly gained popularity among players for its sleek and elegant appearance.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Well-Worn) was introduced as a rare drop in the Kilowatt Case container in Counter-Strike: Global Offensive. It is a sought-after skin that belongs to the Kilowatt Collection, known for its distinctive black lotus design and StatTrak feature.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Well-Worn) has an impressive popularity rating of 95%, indicating its widespread appeal among players in CS2. This high level of popularity is reflected in its consistent demand and value within the in-game marketplace.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak M4A1-S | Black Lotus is one of 276 other Rifle skins in Counter-Strike: Global Offensive. Classified as a Covert skin, the StatTrak M4A1-S | Black Lotus is an exceptionally rare drop, with an estimated drop chance of only 0.25%.

Availability

Availability

Priced between $8.19 and $56.69, the StatTrak M4A1-S | Black Lotus in Well-Worn condition offers an affordable option for CS2 players. Thankfully, this sought-after skin is readily accessible across various markets, ensuring easy availability for interested buyers.

Versions

Versions

The StatTrak M4A1-S | Black Lotus in Well-Worn condition for CS2 has a float value between 0.38 to 0.45, showcasing battle scars but retaining its distinct design. The StatTrak feature enhances the tracking of kills on this skin, adding a unique touch to its appearance in-game.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment towards the StatTrak M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Well-Worn) in CS2 is overwhelmingly positive, with a high number of votes on addskins resulting in an average rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars. This coveted skin is also proudly owned by renowned professional CS2 players such as device, snax, and olofmeister, further cementing its popularity among the gaming community.

Finish style

Finish style

The StatTrak M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Well-Worn) features a sleek and elegant finish with the iconic Black Lotus design. The well-worn condition adds a weathered look to the skin, enhancing its unique charm and character.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Well-Worn) is expected grow to $ 22.77 (16.65%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 23.79 (21.87%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.7
Max: 0.7
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.