StatTrak M4A1-S | Bright Water (Minimal Wear)

4.9 7017 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 7.19
+10.84%
Last month
$ 12.81
+21.11%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 77.76
+5.8%
In a quarter
$ 78.19
+6.38%
Action
Decision:
✋ Hold
Confidence:
👎 Low
50% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
199 offers on 10 markets
Updated5 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
12 offers
from $ 73.5
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
43 offers
from $ 74.08
White.Market
White.Market
8 offers
from $ 75.72
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
23 offers
from $ 76.77
Skinport
Skinport
13 offers
from $ 77.26
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
26 offers
from $ 79.54
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
23 offers
from $ 79.85
Bitskins
Bitskins
3 offers
from $ 87
Steam
Steam
40 offers
from $ 104
CSGOEmpire
CSGOEmpire
8 offers
from $ 127
Inspect skin
StatTrak M4A1-S | Bright Water (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
M4A1-S | Bright Water inspecting M4A1-S | Bright Water reloading M4A1-S | Bright Water holding M4A1-S | Bright Water pose-1 M4A1-S | Bright Water pose-2 M4A1-S | Bright Water pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 73.5
  • 7 days low: $ 66.31
  • 7 days high: $ 2 518
  • 7 days price change: 10.84%
  • 30 days low: $ 60.69
  • 30 days high: $ 2 537
  • 30 days price change: 21.11%
  • 90 days low: $ 60.69
  • 90 days high: $ 3 280
  • Year low: $ 57.94
  • Year high: $ 27 257
  • All time low: $ 57.94
  • All time high: $ 27 257
  • All time max offers: 232
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 3
  • Sales for last 7 days: 33
  • Sales for last 30 days: 145
  • Sales for last 90 days: 301
  • All time sales: 806
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 4, 2025
  • Risk: 0.0254
  • Volatility: 20.17%
  • Liquidity: 24.79%
  • Decision: ✋ Hold
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 77.76
  • Price forecast change in a month: 5.8%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 78.19
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 6.38%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak M4A1-S | Bright Water (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 84.86
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 77.78
Action
✋ Hold
August 28, 2025
Price
$ 80
Action
❌ Avoid
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 77.11
Action
✋ Hold
November 4, 2025
Price
$ 84.86
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 79.14
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 72.73
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 72.46
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 69.35
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 70.68
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 72.89
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 77.78
Action
✋ Hold
August 28, 2025
Price
$ 81.23
Action
✋ Hold
September 5, 2025
Price
$ 86.77
Action
✋ Hold
September 13, 2025
Price
$ 73.86
Action
✋ Hold
September 21, 2025
Price
$ 80
Action
❌ Avoid
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 70.21
Action
❌ Avoid
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 76.31
Action
❌ Avoid
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 68.72
Action
❌ Avoid
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 77.11
Action
✋ Hold
November 4, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.98 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
50%
58% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
44% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2820
4733
3826
13292
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 20/80
  • Damage: 38
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 600
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Classified
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Blue Phosphor
Minimal Wear

Description

The M4A1-S | Bright Water is a silenced rifle with reduced recoil and increased accuracy, given that its magazine size is relatively small. This gun is quite captivating and catches the eye, with a stunning blue camo hydrographic paint job reminiscent of the tranquil seaside, within the realm of covert operations and strategic combat.

History

History

The M4A1-S | Bright Water began life in CS2 on September 19th, 2013, when it was added as a new skin for the rifle, being included in the Operation Bravo Case. This vivid and striking skin immediately gained appeal among the gamer community due to the special touch it brought to the users of the M4A1-S rifle.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak M4A1-S | Bright Water (Minimal Wear) was presented to the CS2 community with the Operation Bravo Case, in which gamers can get it by opening the container. This skin belongs to the Bravo Collection, which adds to its rarity and value among collectors and players alike.

Popularity

Popularity

This StatTrak M4A1-S | Bright Water (Minimal Wear) owns an enormous 90% popularity among the community, making it one of the highest-wished items in the game. The very high popularity of the skin is defined by the high volume of sales it generates and a high price that it demands in the market.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak M4A1-S | Bright Water (Minimal Wear) is one of 255 other Rifle skins existing in CS2. This skin is a rather rare drop because it has Restricted rarity, and the drop chance is estimated at 15.98%.

Availability

Availability

The price of the StatTrak M4A1-S | Bright Water Minimal Wear for CS2 skins ranges from $21.69 to $49.86, hence it is rather affordable and accessible to players. Besides, this skin is widely available in various markets, which means it is easy for a player to get it. Currently, the Bright Water skin has up to 64.3K units in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value for the M4A1-S | Bright Water ranges from 0.10 to 0.22, making it possible for players to get their hands on the skin in either Minimal Wear or Field-Tested conditions. For collectors, it is possible to earn a StatTrak version of the Bright Water skin in each exterior variant.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment towards the StatTrak M4A1-S | Bright Water (Minimal Wear) in CS2 is extremely positive, evident from the large number of votes on addskins.gg, which has resulted in an average rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars. It's also very popular among professional players; famous ones include mixwell, chrisj, and furlan owning and using this skin.

Finish style

Finish style

The hydrographic film used in the Bright Water finish of this StatTrak M4A1-S creates an illusion of disassembled weapon parts floating in a water tank, with an intriguing blue tint as the principal color. The pattern index plays a big role in how this skin looks, and that's what makes every single weapon unique.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak M4A1-S | Bright Water (Minimal Wear) is expected grow to $ 77.76 (5.8%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 78.19 (6.38%). Confidence is low — it is advised to hold.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.12
Max: 0.22
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.