StatTrak M4A1-S | Dark Water (Field-Tested)

4.4 7766 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 13
+11.3%
Last month
$ 16
+14.29%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 136
+3.56%
In a quarter
$ 154
+17.27%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
40% - Forecast accuracy
40% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
252 offers on 10 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
StatTrak M4A1-S | Dark Water (Field-Tested)
Gallery
M4A1-S | Dark Water inspecting M4A1-S | Dark Water reloading M4A1-S | Dark Water holding M4A1-S | Dark Water pose-1 M4A1-S | Dark Water pose-2 M4A1-S | Dark Water pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 128
  • 24h price change: -1.54%
  • 7 days low: $ 115
  • 7 days high: $ 1 541
  • 7 days price change: 11.3%
  • 30 days low: $ 112
  • 30 days high: $ 4 948
  • 30 days price change: 14.29%
  • 90 days low: $ 112
  • 90 days high: $ 4 977
  • Year low: $ 106
  • Year high: $ 30 000
  • All time low: $ 106
  • All time high: $ 30 000
  • All time max offers: 260
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 2
  • Sales for last 7 days: 14
  • Sales for last 30 days: 61
  • Sales for last 90 days: 141
  • All time sales: 343
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 4, 2025
  • Risk: 0.4668
  • Volatility: 14.82%
  • Liquidity: 17.41%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 136
  • Price forecast change in a month: 3.56%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 154
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 17.27%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak M4A1-S | Dark Water (Field-Tested) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 135
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 135
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 132
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 129
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 122
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 129
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 126
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 137
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 134
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 131
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 133
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 141
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 128
Action
❌ Avoid
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 143
Action
❌ Avoid
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 144
Action
❌ Avoid
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 124
Action
❌ Avoid
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 127
Action
❌ Avoid
November 4, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
40%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
40%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2820
4733
3826
13292
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 20/80
  • Damage: 38
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 600
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Minimal Wear

Description

The StatTrak M4A1-S | Dark Water (Field-Tested) is a silenced rifle that offers improved handling and precision, boasting reduced recoil and increased accuracy. Its striking design showcases a mesmerizing aquatic-stripe pattern, created by layering charcoal metallic paints of varying reflectivities over a sleek chrome base coat, reminding us of the duality of water as a source of life and potential danger.

History

History

The M4A1-S | Dark Water first appeared in a CS2 update, "The Arms Deal," which was released on August 14th, 2013. Right after the release, the skin turned out to be quite an extremely popular assault weapon owing to the unique dark water thematic skin, and the introduction of StatTrak system that brought precision on how one is faring by tracking the kills earned.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak M4A1-S | Dark Water is field-tested and was released originally as a drop, able to be opened upon receipt of a CS2 Weapon Case container; one could only hope they get it. It does, however, also feature as a highly valued item in The Arms Deal Collection and is highly sought after by both collectors and traders.

Popularity

Popularity

The skin of StatTrak M4A1-S | Dark Water (Field-Tested) has a popularity rating of 95% among all CS2 players. This skin is really in demand because of its cool look and rarity; hence, it is in demand for most of the players. This skin's popularity is calculated through analysis of the skin's consistently high sales volume and its relatively high market price.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak M4A1-S | Dark Water has only 255 other rifle skins in its collection, making it a rather rare and not-so-common find of the Restricted rarity classification that is valued as a drop. Given how rare it is, estimates hold that the drop chance should be around 15.98%.

Availability

Availability

The CS2 StatTrak M4A1-S | Dark Water (Field-Tested) skin is reasonably well-priced, as it costs from $59.08 to $106.78, which should be fairly affordable for gamers. This skin is also easily available because one can buy it from more than a few markets and there are currently 50.1K units of Dark Water skin in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The M4A1-S | Dark Water comes in both Minimal Wear and Field-Tested styles, featuring float values that span between 0.10 and 0.26. There is an ability for collectors to get StatTrak versions of every Dark Water skin's exterior option.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The general attitude in the community to the StatTrak M4A1-S | Dark Water (Field-Tested) in CS2 is extremely positive and is reflected by a big number of votes on addskins.gg, with a great average rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars. It also boasts ownership by popular professional players such as xyp9x, happy, and tarik.

Finish style

Finish style

This M4A1-S has a Dark Water finish, which is primarily gray in color. The pattern index of the finish will affect the overall look of the skin, and the candy coat application method may be done by silk-screening or using adherable stencils to achieve a multicolored pattern.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak M4A1-S | Dark Water (Field-Tested) is expected grow to $ 136 (3.56%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 154 (17.27%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.2
Max: 0.26
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players