StatTrak M4A1-S | Dark Water (Minimal Wear)

4.4 7779 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 23
+17.97%
Last month
$ 23
+17.97%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 160
+4.04%
In a quarter
$ 188
+22.25%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
65% - Forecast accuracy
20% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
161 offers on 10 markets
Updated2 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
StatTrak M4A1-S | Dark Water (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
M4A1-S | Dark Water inspecting M4A1-S | Dark Water reloading M4A1-S | Dark Water holding M4A1-S | Dark Water pose-1 M4A1-S | Dark Water pose-2 M4A1-S | Dark Water pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 151
  • 7 days low: $ 128
  • 7 days high: $ 1 276
  • 7 days price change: 17.97%
  • 30 days low: $ 128
  • 30 days high: $ 1 629
  • 30 days price change: 17.97%
  • 90 days low: $ 128
  • 90 days high: $ 1 629
  • Year low: $ 121
  • Year high: $ 74 652
  • All time low: $ 121
  • All time high: $ 74 652
  • All time max offers: 214
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 5
  • Sales for last 7 days: 30
  • Sales for last 30 days: 102
  • Sales for last 90 days: 179
  • All time sales: 480
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 6, 2025
  • Risk: 0.2404
  • Volatility: 18.49%
  • Liquidity: 17.53%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 160
  • Price forecast change in a month: 4.04%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 188
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 22.25%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak M4A1-S | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 159
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 147
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 165
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 149
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 149
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 163
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 14.02
9.41%
Result
👍 Success
November 6, 2025
Price
$ 159
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 147
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 165
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 151
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 150
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 150
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 143
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 161
Action
❌ Avoid
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 161
Action
❌ Avoid
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 164
Action
❌ Avoid
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 162
Action
❌ Avoid
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 158
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 168
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 149
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 149
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 147
Action
🔥 Buy
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 163
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 14.02
9.41%
Result
👍 Success
November 6, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 14.02
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 149
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
65%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
20%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2820
4733
3826
13292
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 20/80
  • Damage: 38
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 600
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Minimal Wear

Description

The StatTrak M4A1-S | Dark Water becomes a deadly affair in the right hands, with reduced recoil and more accurate firing due to its silencer and smaller magazine. The aqua-stripe pattern, in black metallic paints over a chrome base, visually pops. It is also a sign of duality: water gives life, water kills on the battlefield.

History

History

The M4A1-S | Dark Water first appeared in CS2 on August 14th, 2013, when it was released as part of the CS2 Weapon Case. The darkly sleek design made this an instant favorite of both fans and players, alike with its minimal wear finish and intricately designed dark water pattern.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak M4A1-S | Dark Water skin is one of the most wanted within CS2. It is possible to pull out this in-game skin from the container CS2 Weapon Case. This skin also belongs to the collection The Arms Deal Collection, which means it is a unique and expensive part of a player's inventory.

Popularity

Popularity

Currently, StatTrak M4A1-S | Dark Water is in high demand, boasting a popularity rating of 95%. It is explained by the frequency of its sales and its relatively high market value, making it one of the hottest items in CS2.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak M4A1-S | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) is one of 255 other rifle skins in CS2. This skin, being of Restricted rarity, is considered relatively rare as it has an estimated drop chance of 15.98%.

Availability

Availability

The M4A1-S | Dark Water Minimal Wear skin is relatively inexpensive. It costs in a range of $59.08-$106.78. Currently, it is in stock and can be bought on several markets. What acts as proof of the great popularity of the skin is that there are already 50.1K units of the Dark Water skin in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The M4A1-S | Dark Water is available in Minimal Wear and Field-Tested conditions, used or Factory New and Field-Tested. The float values for this skin are between 0.10 and 0.26. Additionally, a StatTrak option exists for each of the Dark Water exterior options.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment for the StatTrak M4A1-S | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) of CS2 is positive, with an average rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars, considering over 7.7K votes on addskins.gg. This skin is truly in the possession of well-known professional players like xyp9x, happy, and tarik.

Finish style

Finish style

The pattern index of this StatTrak M4A1-S | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) skin gives it a primarily gray appearance with subtle shades of other colors. A multicolored candy coat, achieved through techniques like silk-screening or adherable stencils, gives depth and variation to the overall finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak M4A1-S | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) is expected grow to $ 160 (4.04%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 188 (22.25%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.12
Max: 0.26
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players