StatTrak M4A1-S | Guardian (Well-Worn)

4.5 6127 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 12.53
+25.61%
Last month
$ 14.33
+30.41%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 56.76
-7.9%
In a quarter
$ 75.36
+22.28%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
36% - Forecast accuracy
72% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
33 offers on 9 markets
Updated2 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Skinport
Skinport
2 offers
from $ 61.45
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
4 offers
from $ 63.26
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
4 offers
from $ 66.29
White.Market
White.Market
4 offers
from $ 66.29
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
11 offers
from $ 67.02
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
3 offers
from $ 67.62
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
3 offers
from $ 67.99
Steam
Steam
1 offers
from $ 123
CSGOEmpire
CSGOEmpire
1 offers
from $ 235
Inspect skin
StatTrak M4A1-S | Guardian (Well-Worn)
Gallery
M4A1-S | Guardian inspecting M4A1-S | Guardian reloading M4A1-S | Guardian holding M4A1-S | Guardian pose-1 M4A1-S | Guardian pose-2 M4A1-S | Guardian pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 61.45
  • 7 days low: $ 48.92
  • 7 days high: $ 236
  • 7 days price change: 25.61%
  • 30 days low: $ 47.12
  • 30 days high: $ 463
  • 30 days price change: 30.41%
  • 90 days low: $ 47.12
  • 90 days high: $ 463
  • Year low: $ 46.32
  • Year high: $ 463
  • All time low: $ 46.32
  • All time high: $ 463
  • All time max offers: 37
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 7
  • Sales for last 30 days: 33
  • Sales for last 90 days: 64
  • All time sales: 165
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 4, 2025
  • Risk: 1.42
  • Volatility: 12.06%
  • Liquidity: 15.7%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 56.76
  • Price forecast change in a month: -7.9%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 75.36
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 22.28%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak M4A1-S | Guardian (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 52.96
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 73.27
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 56.97
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 55.93
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 55.93
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 50.62
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -5.31
-9.49%
Result
👎 Fail
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 47.12
Action
❌ Avoid
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 49.57
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 49.57
November 4, 2025
Price
$ 52.96
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 62.49
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 73.27
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 56.97
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 58.95
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 67.05
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 77.44
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 53.18
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 71.88
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 81.28
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 76.98
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 80.97
Action
❌ Avoid
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 55.93
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 55.93
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 50.62
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -5.31
-9.49%
Result
👎 Fail
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 47.12
Action
❌ Avoid
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 49.57
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 49.57
November 4, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ -5.31
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 106
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
0
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
36%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
72%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2820
4733
3826
13292
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 20/80
  • Damage: 38
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 600
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Minimal Wear

Description

The StatTrak M4A1-S | Guardian (Well-Worn) is a silenced rifle with reduced recoil and higher accuracy due to a decrease in magazine size. In an eye-catching cobalt blue finish, it bears on its magazine the logo for CT to remind whoever bears it of the imperative duty to protect and to serve.

History

History

The StatTrak M4A1-S | Guardian (Well-Worn) first entered the CS2 world on December 18th, 2013, together with the Winter Offensive Weapon Case. Well-designed by the popular community artist "J4CK," this battle-worn skin instantly became an element of pride for many experienced players, looking to show how long they have survived the battlefield.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak M4A1-S | Guardian (Well-Worn) is one of the most in-demand skins, and it drops from an opened Winter Offensive Weapon Case container. Since this skin is one of the rare drops from The Winter Offensive Collection, it is indeed valuable and sought after among CS2 players.

Popularity

Popularity

StatTrak M4A1-S | Guardian (Well-Worn) is such a highly demanded CS2 skin that 95% of the players in the community want it. Therefore, it has one of the biggest volumes of sales, keeping this skin on top because of its higher value compared to other skins within this price range.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak M4A1-S | Guardian (Well-Worn) is one of 255 other Rifle skins in CS2, but its rarity is Classified, making it ultra-rare with only a 3.2% chance, or so they estimate, to drop. This is the reason why getting a StatTrak Guardian in Well-Worn would be highly sought after by collectors and players alike, which makes it a catch.

Availability

Availability

The price of the StatTrak M4A1-S | Guardian (Well-Worn) skin in CS2 varies between $16.37-$75.31, positioning the skin as reasonably affordable to players. Currently, this knife is abundant on the market, and there are already so many places to get it from. Moreover, there are around 118.4K units of the Guardian skin in the public inventories of CS2.

Versions

Versions

The float value for M4A1-S | Guardian (Well-Worn) is within 0.38 - 0.45; well-worn is well-presented. Whatever the skin is, players can always be allowed to have StatTrak Guardian for track their kill with style.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment about the StatTrak M4A1-S | Guardian (Well-Worn) of CS2 is very positive. On addskins.gg, there are over 6K votes, averaging 4.5 out of 5 stars. It's also further reinforced that this skin is popular, due to the fact that pro CS2 players device, xyp9x, and f0rest own this skin.

Finish style

Finish style

The CS2 StatTrak M4A1-S | Guardian (Well-Worn) has a unique, painted appearance. The skin is of the "Custom Paint Job" style and is available with the Guardian finish. It has a predominantly blue tint, and its pattern indexes do not affect the Guardian finish, giving a nice, consistent look.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak M4A1-S | Guardian (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 56.76 (-7.9%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 75.36 (22.28%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.41
Max: 0.5
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.