StatTrak M4A1-S | Night Terror (Factory New)

4.5 1184 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.49
+8.48%
Last month
$ 1.12
+21.75%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 6.18
-4.78%
In a quarter
$ 7.4
+14.02%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
75% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
498 offers on 10 markets
Updated3 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
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Inspect skin
StatTrak M4A1-S | Night Terror (Factory New)
Gallery
M4A1-S | Night Terror inspecting M4A1-S | Night Terror reloading M4A1-S | Night Terror holding M4A1-S | Night Terror pose-1 M4A1-S | Night Terror pose-2 M4A1-S | Night Terror pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 6.27
  • 7 days low: $ 5.78
  • 7 days high: $ 3 619
  • 7 days price change: 8.48%
  • 30 days low: $ 5.15
  • 30 days high: $ 3 652
  • 30 days price change: 21.75%
  • 90 days low: $ 5.15
  • 90 days high: $ 3 652
  • Year low: $ 4.62
  • Year high: $ 4 728
  • All time low: $ 4.62
  • All time high: $ 4 728
  • All time max offers: 763
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 91
  • Sales for last 7 days: 720
  • Sales for last 30 days: 2993
  • Sales for last 90 days: 7298
  • All time sales: 22349
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 6, 2025
  • Risk: -0.1167
  • Volatility: 9.11%
  • Liquidity: 32.66%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 6.18
  • Price forecast change in a month: -4.78%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 7.4
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 14.02%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak M4A1-S | Night Terror (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 5.86
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 5.5
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 5.04
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 5.51
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 5.95
Action
❌ Avoid
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 6.23
Action
✋ Hold
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 5.94
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 5.86
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 5.86
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 6.36
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.5
8.53%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 5.94
Action
❌ Avoid
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 5.86
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 5.45
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 5.5
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 5.04
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 5.51
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 5.49
Action
✋ Hold
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 5.63
Action
✋ Hold
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 6.26
Action
✋ Hold
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 5.95
Action
❌ Avoid
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 7.01
Action
❌ Avoid
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 6.23
Action
✋ Hold
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 5.94
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 5.86
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 5.86
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 6.36
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.5
8.53%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 5.94
Action
❌ Avoid
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 7.29
Action
❌ Avoid
November 6, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.5
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 5.86
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
75%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2820
4733
3826
13292
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 20/80
  • Damage: 38
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 600
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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In a year 57%
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Minimal Wear

Description

The StatTrak M4A1-S | Night Terror Factory New offers a slick, silenced counterpart to its unsuppressed brethren, offering reduced recoil, improved accuracy, and a smaller magazine. This custom-painted A1-S features hauntingly beautiful artwork, capturing the fragmented musings of an insomniac, inviting players to immerse themselves in the enigmatic tranquility of the night.

History

History

StatTrak M4A1-S | Night Terror (Factory New) entered the CS2 scene on January 20th, 2022, as part of the Dreams & Nightmares Case update. This breathtakingly stunning skin, created by a very talented community designer Madara, right away struck players' fancy with all of its details and incomparable look.

Origin

Origin

Factory New StatTrak M4A1-S | Night Terror is one of the rarest and hottest skins in CS2. It is possible to obtain this skin by opening Containers of Dreams & Nightmares Case. This particular skin is an independent artifact but also part of a pretty exclusive Dreams & Nightmares Collection, which sets its value high among players and collectors.

Popularity

Popularity

The CS2 players covet the StatTrak M4A1-S | Night Terror (Factory New) to the extent of gaining a popularity rating of 99%. Its rarity, sleek design, and additional feature of StatTrak that counts kills made with the weapon contribute to its popularity.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak M4A1-S | Night Terror (Factory New) is a CS2 rifle skin, it has 255 other versions, and is Restricted, which implies its rarity. Its estimated drop chance is 15.98%.

Availability

Availability

The StatTrak M4A1-S | Night Terror (Factory New) for CS2 has a rather moderate price for such a skin: between $0.36 to $5.72. Currently, this skin is oversupplied; nearly 1.2 million units are in public CS2 inventories. That means it should be easily available in various markets.

Versions

Versions

Finally, the float value of the M4A1-S | Night Terror in Factory New condition is from 0.00 to 0.70, making this skin available in all sorts of exterior variants. In addition, for every single exterior, there is also an option available in StatTrak variant, which enables users to track their kills with this hauntingly stylish weapon.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment towards the StatTrak M4A1-S | Night Terror (Factory New) of CS2 is pretty positive, as it has over 1.1K votes on addskins.gg with an average rating of 4.5 out of 5 stars. Its popularity is further reinforced by ownership from renowned professional players such as coldzera, flusha, and guardian.

Finish style

Finish style

The StatTrak M4A1-S | Night Terror has a "Gunsmith" style that combines the art of patina with custom paint applications. Its striking red-and-black color scheme brings in an intense and menacing look, while pattern indexes do not affect the killer Night Terror finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak M4A1-S | Night Terror (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 6.18 (-4.78%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 7.4 (14.02%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.7
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.