StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare (Battle-Scarred)

4.6 4369 отзывов
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Latest price change
From last week
$ 1.63
+8.65%
From last month
$ 7.08
+52.84%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 19.78
-7.74%
In a quarter
$ 22.21
+3.59%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
34% - Forecast accuracy
34% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
173 offers on 9 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
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Inspect skin
StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare (Battle-Scarred)
Gallery
M4A1-S | Nightmare inspecting M4A1-S | Nightmare reloading M4A1-S | Nightmare holding M4A1-S | Nightmare pose-1 M4A1-S | Nightmare pose-2 M4A1-S | Nightmare pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 20.48
  • 24h price change: -2.98%
  • 7 days low: $ 18.85
  • 7 days high: $ 42.06
  • 7 days price change: 8.65%
  • 30 days low: $ 13.4
  • 30 days high: $ 91.03
  • 30 days price change: 52.84%
  • 90 days low: $ 13.4
  • 90 days high: $ 91.03
  • Year low: $ 12.27
  • Year high: $ 4 068
  • All time low: $ 12.27
  • All time high: $ 4 068
  • All time max offers: 722
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 11
  • Sales for last 7 days: 159
  • Sales for last 30 days: 417
  • Sales for last 90 days: 921
  • All time sales: 2415
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 6, 2025
  • Risk: 0.0592
  • Volatility: 18.31%
  • Liquidity: 22.73%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 19.78
  • Price forecast change in a month: -7.74%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 22.21
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 3.59%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare (Battle-Scarred) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 20.98
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 20.98
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 20.2
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 18.79
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 17.45
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 16.18
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 16.13
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 17.13
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 20.19
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 18.14
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 19.51
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 20.97
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 19.35
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 17.68
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 19.67
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 19.05
Action
❌ Avoid
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 21.03
Action
❌ Avoid
November 6, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
34%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
34%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2820
4733
3826
13292
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 20/80
  • Damage: 38
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 600
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Minimal Wear

Description

The Battle-Scarred StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare is a suppressed rifle. It has better accuracy, with reduced recoil, because of a smaller magazine size. An icy custom paint job reveals the haunting visitor of night-a reminder that in this game, one should never sleep.

History

History

The M4A1-S | Nightmare entered the Counter-Strike: Global Offensive community on August 1st, 2018, as a part of the highly expected Horizon Case. Designed by the talented community designer "apel8," this battle-scarred skin became highly sought after due to its hauntingly intricate design and the prestigious StatTrak feature.

Origin

Origin

This CS2 StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare skin - Battle-Scarred can be gotten from an opened case container, the Horizon Case. Also, it belongs to the collection named Horizon, further increasing its rarity for the collectors and players interested in it.

Popularity

Popularity

The popularity of StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare (Battle-Scarred) is incredibly high and amounts to 99% in CS2, which makes this skin one of the most popular game items. Such exceptional popularity is determined by the analysis of its daily sales volume and consistently high market realignment price.

Rarity

Rarity

The M4A1-S | Nightmare was the one of the rarest and most popular CS2 skins, for being among a pool with just 255 other skins. With its rarity class classified as well, there's a really low probability that might reach an estimation of only 3.2%.

Availability

Availability

The M4A1-S | Nightmare (Battle-Scarred) in CS2 represents the middle-ground type of skins. It's not pricey and costs from $4.44 to $91.96. Due to the high availability of skins in different markets, one can easily get it to diversify their in-game inventory. Moreover, 369.9K units of this skin are in the public inventories of CS2 players.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the battle-scarred StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare in CS2 is from 0.45 to 1.00, which means this skin can be worn out and features an added StatTrak version. Whichever exterior it is, there is a corresponding StatTrak version for every condition of Nightmare.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment regarding the StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare (Battle-Scarred) in CS2 is very positive. It has an average rating of 4.6 out of 5 stars, based on over 4.2K votes on addskins.gg. Another proof of its popularity can be seen in professional CS2 players pimp and steel owning this skin.

Finish style

Finish style

The Nightmare skin finish is set up on the M4A1-S | Nightmare Battle-Scarred has a style of "Custom Paint Job", allowing too bright variability of color; thus it combines catching contrast blue-cyan skin's base along with non-effective in-variation pattern index in an official version for a CS2 item of M4A1-S Nightmare.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare (Battle-Scarred) is expected fall down to $ 19.78 (-7.74%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 22.21 (3.59%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.72
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players