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1 minute ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The M4A1-S | StatTrak Nightmare Factory New is a silenced variant that has less recoil and better accuracy because of its small magazine capacity. The terrifying custom paint job shows a hauntingly creepy nocturnal visitor for a chilling reminder to keep yourself alert in the virtual battlefield.
The StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare Factory New dropped in the CS2 community on August 1st, 2018, accompanied by an update titled "A New Horizon," adding the Horizon Case. This is one of the most breathtakingly beautiful pieces from the talented community designer named "apel8," fascinating players with its mysterious vibe.
The StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare Factory New is an extremely rare skin in CS2 that can be obtained by opening a Horizon Case container. It is one of the rare items from The Horizon Collection, which features a range of unique weapon finishes inspired by the ethereal beauty of the night sky.
The StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) achieved an incredible 99% popularity rating in the CS2 community, enough to make this skin one of the most popular in-game items. This exceptional popularity is judged by the skin's great daily sales volume and its consistently high market price.
The StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) is one of 255 other rifle skins in CS2. With a Classified rarity, this skin is considered highly rare, with an estimated drop chance of only 3.2%, making it a coveted and valuable item among collectors and players.
The price of the StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare Factory New for CS2 starts at $4.44 and can go up to $91.96. It is an affordable skin besides being highly available in public inventories since it is widely present in many markets. Actually, 369.9K units of the skin type Nightmare are currently present in public CS2 inventories.
The StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) has a floating value from 0.00 to 1.00, which means with this skin, players will be able to get any skin exterior. Each of its skin exteriors has another variant with StatTrak technology that will enable the players to track kills taken by this scarily amazing weapon.
As suggested by its high mean rating of 4.6 out of 5 stars based on over 4.2K community votes, the community's feelings toward the StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) in CS2 is very positive. Additional skin popularity extends to professional players: for instance, pimp and steel possess this skin.
The CS2 StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare features an "Custom Paint Job" style with a Nightmare finish and has a wide support for various custom looks in different colors. This particular skin happens to come in an appealing combination of blue and cyan, while pattern indexes do not change the dazzling Nightmare finish.
According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 115 (-5.78%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 159 (30.26%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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