StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare (Field-Tested)

4.6 4364 отзыва
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Latest price change
From last week
$ 4.64
+23.38%
From last month
$ 9.25
+60.7%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 25.22
-2.13%
In a quarter
$ 24.17
-6.21%
Action
Decision:
✋ Hold
Confidence:
👎 Low
79% - Forecast accuracy
60% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
204 offers on 10 markets
Updated1 minute ago
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Inspect skin
StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare (Field-Tested)
Gallery
M4A1-S | Nightmare inspecting M4A1-S | Nightmare reloading M4A1-S | Nightmare holding M4A1-S | Nightmare pose-1 M4A1-S | Nightmare pose-2 M4A1-S | Nightmare pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 24.49
  • 24h price change: 23.38%
  • 7 days low: $ 19.85
  • 7 days high: $ 116
  • 7 days price change: 23.38%
  • 30 days low: $ 15.24
  • 30 days high: $ 116
  • 30 days price change: 60.7%
  • 90 days low: $ 15.24
  • 90 days high: $ 1 000
  • Year low: $ 15.24
  • Year high: $ 4 229
  • All time low: $ 15.24
  • All time high: $ 4 229
  • All time max offers: 371
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 20
  • Sales for last 7 days: 197
  • Sales for last 30 days: 730
  • Sales for last 90 days: 1539
  • All time sales: 4284
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 6, 2025
  • Risk: 0.00199819
  • Volatility: 10.98%
  • Liquidity: 26.9%
  • Decision: ✋ Hold
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 25.22
  • Price forecast change in a month: -2.13%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 24.17
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -6.21%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare (Field-Tested) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 23.96
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 24.96
Action
✋ Hold
September 15, 2025
Price
$ 21.57
Action
❌ Avoid
September 23, 2025
Price
$ 21.09
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 21.09
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 21.48
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.39
1.85%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 19.35
Action
✋ Hold
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 23.96
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 24.42
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 24.07
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 22.34
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 22.46
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 23.58
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 23.17
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 25.22
Action
❌ Avoid
August 30, 2025
Price
$ 25.03
Action
❌ Avoid
September 7, 2025
Price
$ 24.96
Action
✋ Hold
September 15, 2025
Price
$ 21.57
Action
❌ Avoid
September 23, 2025
Price
$ 22.98
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 21.09
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 21.09
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 21.48
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.39
1.85%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 19.35
Action
✋ Hold
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 24.46
Action
✋ Hold
November 6, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.39
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 21.09
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
79%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
60%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2820
4733
3826
13292
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 20/80
  • Damage: 38
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 600
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Minimal Wear

Description

The StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare (Field-Tested) offers a reduced magazine size compared to its unsilenced variant, ensuring quieter shots, improved accuracy, and reduced recoil. Its custom paint job showcases a chilling depiction of a menacing nighttime intruder, serving as a haunting reminder to stay vigilant in the game. Don't forget to set an alarm to avoid getting caught off guard.

History

History

The StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare skin was added to the CS2 collection of weapon skins on August 1st, 2018, as part of the Horizon Case update. It was designed by the highly talented community artist "apel8"; due to its dark and haunting style, it became quite popular and has been among the hottest choices for those who like to put fear into their opponents' eyes on the battlefield.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare Field-Tested is an extremely rare skin obtained by opening a Horizon Case container in CS2. This skin also forms part of the highly exclusive Horizon Collection, which increases its appeal to collectors and players alike.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare skin is one of the most popular among all CS2 players, with 99% popularity, because it has a great design and is very rare. This skin has one of the biggest sales volumes in the game and is one of the most expensive ones too.

Rarity

Rarity

The Field-Tested StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare is a CS2 Rifle skin from the 255 available Rifle skins. This skin is of Classified rarity, making it a very rare drop. It has an estimated drop chance of just 3.2%.

Availability

Availability

The skin belongs to the mid-range mark, fluctuating between $4.44 and $91.96 for CS2 StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare. It is ready for purchase, as supply is high in various markets. It has 369.9K units currently held in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare, Field-Tested, ranges from 0.00 and 1.00, which implies that this skin is available in all fields. In addition to every type of exterior, there is also a version of the Nightmare skin in StatTrak. That means players can track their kills with style.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment of the StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare skin in CS2 is very good, where it has an average rating of 4.6 out of 5-star ratings from more than 4.2K votes. This is supported by the ownership of this gun by two professional CS2 players: pimp and steel.

Finish style

Finish style

The StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare, Field-Tested, features a "Custom Paint Job" style that can support a very wide range of color variations. Its striking blue and cyan color scheme creates an optically mesmerizing view while the Nightmare finish is the same for all pattern indexes.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare (Field-Tested) is expected fall down to $ 25.22 (-2.13%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 24.17 (-6.21%). Confidence is low — it is advised to hold.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.26
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players