StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear)

4.6 4348 отзывов
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Latest price change
From last week
$ -0.9
-1.88%
From last month
$ 7.74
+19.79%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 51.12
-0.2147%
In a quarter
$ 58.74
+14.66%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
94% - Forecast accuracy
100% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
131 offers on 10 markets
Updated3 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
M4A1-S | Nightmare inspecting M4A1-S | Nightmare reloading M4A1-S | Nightmare holding M4A1-S | Nightmare pose-1 M4A1-S | Nightmare pose-2 M4A1-S | Nightmare pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 46.85
  • 24h price change: -1.88%
  • 7 days low: $ 47.75
  • 7 days high: $ 464
  • 7 days price change: -1.88%
  • 30 days low: $ 39.11
  • 30 days high: $ 512
  • 30 days price change: 19.79%
  • 90 days low: $ 39.11
  • 90 days high: $ 512
  • Year low: $ 39.11
  • Year high: $ 8 934
  • All time low: $ 39.11
  • All time high: $ 8 934
  • All time max offers: 204
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 12
  • Sales for last 7 days: 99
  • Sales for last 30 days: 405
  • Sales for last 90 days: 859
  • All time sales: 2362
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 0.52
  • Volatility: 13.34%
  • Liquidity: 26.63%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 51.12
  • Price forecast change in a month: -0.2147%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 58.74
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 14.66%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 52.94
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 47.09
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 47.09
September 27, 2025
Price
$ 52.18
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 5.09
10.81%
Result
👍 Success
October 5, 2025
Price
$ 52.18
Action
❌ Avoid
October 13, 2025
Price
$ 52.94
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 49.15
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 48.97
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 48.7
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 48.69
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 47.8
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 48.79
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 52.08
Action
❌ Avoid
September 3, 2025
Price
$ 52.56
Action
❌ Avoid
September 11, 2025
Price
$ 56.09
Action
❌ Avoid
September 19, 2025
Price
$ 47.09
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 47.09
September 27, 2025
Price
$ 52.18
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 5.09
10.81%
Result
👍 Success
October 5, 2025
Price
$ 52.18
Action
❌ Avoid
October 13, 2025
Price
$ 52.64
Action
❌ Avoid
October 21, 2025
Price
$ 46.79
Action
❌ Avoid
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 48.43
Action
❌ Avoid
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 5.09
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 47.09
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
94%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
100%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2820
4733
3826
13292
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 20/80
  • Damage: 38
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 600
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Minimal Wear

Description

The StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare, Minimal Wear, is a custom version of the silenced M4A1, with its magazine size reduced for greater control and accuracy. It's a spooky, customized paint job featuring a haunted night creature adding fear in battle. Keep a watch on the skin, or else it may give you some nightmare moments.

History

History

The StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear) was added to the CS2 weapon list on August 1st, 2018, in the Horizon Case update. In this hauntingly beautiful creation by community artist "apel8," the skin immediately gained recognition for its darkness and eerie glow, turning it into an object of desire for many players.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear) is a CS2 rare skin and can only be obtained when unboxing the container of the Horizon Case. This is one of the most highly regarded items from The Horizon Collection, a set of exclusive skins popular for their details and high demand by collectors.

Popularity

Popularity

It comes into play when this particular version, StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare, is considered; in CS2 skins, its popularity has risen to a high 99%. And it also gives good feedback on huge volumes in sales every day while commanding one of the most impressive prices-a reason for much admiration for this in-game skin.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare is an extremely rare skin, with only 255 other rifle skins in the same category. This high-tier rarity skin has an estimated drop chance of only 3.2%, and that makes it one of the most wanted skins for any CS2 player.

Availability

Availability

The CS2 StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare Minimal Wear can be purchased for rather cheap, ranging from $4.44-$91.96. Currently, this skin is in high demand and available in most markets, with an estimated 369.9K units of the Nightmare skin in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value for the StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare ranges from 0.00 to 1.00, which covers all cases, making it drop in all skins. Also, each skin has its StatTrak variant that allows players to track kills with this beautiful, haunted skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community attitude toward StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear) in CS2 is positive, with an average rating of 4.6 out of 5 stars based on over 4.2K votes on addskins.gg. The popularity is further solidified since professional CS2 players pimp and steel are the owners of this particular skin.

Finish style

Finish style

This Minimal Wear StatTrak M4A1-S features an interesting "Custom Paint Job" style, featuring a bright Nightmare finish with broad color support. It contains an interesting mix of blue and cyan; the pattern indexes don't do much to the skin because this is simply the Nightmare pattern that's fairly bold.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 51.12 (-0.2147%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 58.74 (14.66%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.11
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players