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9 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare (Well-Worn) has a reduced magazine size, but it is an important means for the players in order to facilitate much quieter shots, high accuracy, and less recoil. A custom paint job featuring a chilling nocturnal visitor, this gun is an ominous addition to any arsenal. Just don't fall asleep, or its haunting looks might just give you a scare.
This is a The StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare (Well-Worn) first appeared in CS2 virtual fields on August 1, 2018, for the long-awaited Horizon Case with the "A New Horizon" update. So here comes the haunting beauty skin created by the talented community designer apel8, which rapidly gained huge status in-game and added much of battle-hardened realistic looks to this virtual gun.
The StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare (Well-Worn) was added to CS2 through the container Horizon Case, where players have an opportunity to get it. This skin is also one of the exclusive Horizon Collections, adding an eerie unique touch to the M4A1-S weapon.
The well-worn StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare enjoys an enormous popularity rating of 99% in the CS2 community, further pinning it as one of the most sought-after items in the game. This high demand is dictated by its extraordinary daily sales volume and the high market price it constantly maintains, making it highly coveted by players.
The StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare (Well-Worn) is one of 255 rifle skins existing in CS2. The skin has a Classified rarity, which makes it really rare. It drops very rarely, and its estimated drop chance is 3.2%.
The well-worn variant of the StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare for CS2 is pretty cheap as the starting price is going to be $4.44, and the peak would be $91.96. The skin is also easily acquirable since there's a lot of marked sales, which means highly available. Currently, in all public CS2 inventories, there exist 369.9K units of the Nightmare skin.
The float value of the StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare - Well-Worn ranges from 0.00 to 1.00, and pulls in many different conditions are possible for this skin. For each exterior, a StatTrak version is available, making this an even cooler way for collectors to track their kills in style.
The overall sentiment of the community towards Skin StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare (Well-Worn) in CS2 is generally positive. It received an extremely high average rating of 4.6 out of 5 stars, considering over 4.2K people have voted for it on addskins.gg. This skin is owned by pro CS2 players such as pimp and steel, which suggests its popularity.
The well-worn StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare features a fancy "Custom Paint Job" style with a nightmare finish, allowing an incredible variety of personalized appearances in several bright colors. This skin's finish is not affected by different pattern indexes, ensuring an eye-catching and consistent look, mainly colored in some mesmerizing shades of blue and cyan.
According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak M4A1-S | Nightmare (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 20.48 (-1.68%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 22.27 (6.91%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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