StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water (Factory New)

4.5 4257 reviews
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Latest price change
Last month
$ 202
+69.66%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 787
+51.16%
In a quarter
$ 525
+0.84%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
100% - Forecast accuracy
100% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
12 offers on 8 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
White.Market
White.Market
2 offers
from $ 492
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
2 offers
from $ 504
Steam
Steam
3 offers
from $ 769
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
1 offers
from $ 835
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
1 offers
from $ 835
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
1 offers
from $ 867
Skinport
Skinport
1 offers
from $ 922
CSGOEmpire
CSGOEmpire
1 offers
from $ 944
Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water (Factory New)
Gallery
★ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water inspecting ★ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water holding ★ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water pose-1 ★ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water pose-2 ★ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 492
  • 7 days low: $ 492
  • 7 days high: $ 944
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 290
  • 30 days high: $ 4 773
  • 30 days price change: 69.66%
  • 90 days low: $ 290
  • 90 days high: $ 4 773
  • Year low: $ 290
  • Year high: $ 122 703
  • All time low: $ 290
  • All time high: $ 122 703
  • All time max offers: 32
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 0
  • Sales for last 30 days: 12
  • Sales for last 90 days: 16
  • All time sales: 41
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 2, 2025
  • Risk: -0.2035
  • Volatility: 11.33%
  • Liquidity: 8.01%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 787
  • Price forecast change in a month: 51.16%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 525
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 0.84%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 799
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 768
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 778
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 816
Action
✋ Hold
September 11, 2025
Price
$ 810
Action
❌ Avoid
September 27, 2025
Price
$ 392
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 392
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 627
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 235
59.88%
Result
👍 Success
November 2, 2025
Price
$ 799
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 807
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 768
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 732
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 761
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 778
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 830
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 774
Action
❌ Avoid
September 3, 2025
Price
$ 816
Action
✋ Hold
September 11, 2025
Price
$ 842
Action
✋ Hold
September 19, 2025
Price
$ 810
Action
❌ Avoid
September 27, 2025
Price
$ 766
Action
❌ Avoid
October 5, 2025
Price
$ 776
Action
❌ Avoid
October 13, 2025
Price
$ 794
Action
❌ Avoid
October 21, 2025
Price
$ 392
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 392
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 627
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 235
59.88%
Result
👍 Success
November 2, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 235
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 392
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
100%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
100%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
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Description

The StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water is a very universal weapon, meant for both long-distance and close combat. Its design is sleek and features an amazing blue camo hydrographic pattern, so it looks very nice when wielded.

History

History

The ★ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water skin is one of the most wanted knife skins in CS2, released on June 15th, 2016, together with the Gamma 2 Case. Its bright, watery design turned it into one of the most popular skins among players and a very desirable skin in the CS2 community.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water is an ultra-rare and exclusive CS2 skin, which players can only obtain by opening a Gamma 2 Case or Gamma Case container. The Bright Water skin does not fall into any collections, hence being so desired by both collectors and players.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water skin does not have too much demand in the CS2 community and has gained only an average popularity rating of 35%. This skin assessment is based on its sales volume and current market price.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water (Factory New) is a CS2 knife skin and part of the 391 different knife skins in the game. The rarity of this skin is Covert, which means that it's an ultra rare drop, with an estimated chance of only 0.26% to obtain it.

Availability

Availability

This kind of StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water Factory New's price in CS2 ranges from $450.33 to $689.90, which is pretty expensive. Fortunately for buyers, lots of markets have this skin in stock, and it's pretty easy for players to get one. Currently, about 9.1K units of the Bright Water skin have been found in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value range for the ★ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water Factory New is between 0.00 and 0.50, which makes this skin available in all possible exterior options. There is also a StatTrak version for each exterior option to let players count their kills with this tremendous blade.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

Community Feel: The StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water Factory New was an extremely well-received skin by the community, rated a 4.5/5-star skin, with over 4.2K members voting in favor of it on addskins.gg. It was used in professional play by stonde and sinnopsyy.

Finish style

Finish style

The pattern index is a very big factor in the looks of this StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water Factory New skin, as the lower pattern indexes have a much brighter and more detailed blue pattern, while higher pattern indexes create a more subtle and saturated blue coloration. This knife has acquired a unique and realistic water-like texture due to the hydrographic finish, which makes this one of the most remarkable and popular skins in CS2.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 787 (51.16%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 525 (0.84%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.5
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players