StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)

4.4 11036 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 181
+34.61%
Last month
$ 336
+91.3%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 792
+12.49%
In a quarter
$ 618
-12.22%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
75% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
4 offers on 4 markets
Updated11 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
White.Market
White.Market
1 offers
from $ 704
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
1 offers
from $ 733
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
1 offers
from $ 737
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
1 offers
from $ 754
Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)
Gallery
★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened inspecting ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened holding ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened pose-1 ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened pose-2 ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 704
  • 7 days low: $ 523
  • 7 days high: $ 1 054
  • 7 days price change: 34.61%
  • 30 days low: $ 368
  • 30 days high: $ 1 551
  • 30 days price change: 91.3%
  • 90 days low: $ 368
  • 90 days high: $ 1 648
  • Year low: $ 368
  • Year high: $ 5 000
  • All time low: $ 368
  • All time high: $ 5 000
  • All time max offers: 14
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 0
  • Sales for last 30 days: 2
  • Sales for last 90 days: 2
  • All time sales: 6
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 4, 2025
  • Risk: 0.3067
  • Volatility: 14.32%
  • Liquidity: 2.4%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 792
  • Price forecast change in a month: 12.49%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 618
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -12.22%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 767
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 850
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 699
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 764
Action
✋ Hold
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 791
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 757
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 757
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 775
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 18.26
2.41%
Result
👍 Success
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 460
Action
❌ Avoid
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 767
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 990
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 720
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 850
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 699
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 764
Action
✋ Hold
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 790
Action
✋ Hold
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 794
Action
✋ Hold
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 839
Action
✋ Hold
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 807
Action
✋ Hold
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 791
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 813
Action
❌ Avoid
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 757
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 757
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 775
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 18.26
2.41%
Result
👍 Success
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 460
Action
❌ Avoid
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 596
Action
❌ Avoid
November 4, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 18.26
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 757
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
75%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
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Description

History

History

The ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) was added to CS2's skin list on August 14th, 2013, with the Revolver Case release during "The Arms Deal" update. A few years already, this skin has been highly sought by both collectors and players who see in its blue pattern both on the blade and handle one of the most iconic and valued skins in the entire game.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) is among the rarest skins in existence and could only be obtained through opening any of the 11 containers, including the CS2 Weapon Case, CS2 Weapon Case 2, and CS2 Weapon Case 3. Unlike most skins, it doesn't fit into any collection, hence making it all the more wanted by collectors and players alike.

Popularity

Popularity

With its enormous popularity rating of 90%, StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) managed to secure a place among the most sought-after items by the CS2 community. This excellent popularity is determined by the skin's steady high sales volume and its commanding price in the market.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) is one of the most popular pull qualities in CS2 out of 391 knife skins. It has a Covert rarity classification, meaning this is a super rare drop with only a 0.26% estimated chance to drop.

Availability

Availability

The price range of the Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) M9 Bayonet ★ for CS2 is pretty high: it starts at $498.13 and can go as high as $2,078.45. With such a high value, the skin is relatively easy to get because one can buy it from markets. More specifically, there are 5.3K units of Case Hardened in public CS2 inventories right now.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the ★ StatTrak M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) ranges from 0.00 to 1.00, which indicates that this skin can be dropped with any of the exterior kinds. Furthermore, for every Case Hardened M9 Bayonet exterior, there is a StatTrak version available, enabling players to track their kills.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

Such is the love for the StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) in CS2, that more than 11K votes for this skin on addskins.gg and an outstanding average rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars prove its greatness. This skin also attracted the attention of such famous professional CS2 players as patsi, krystal, and xfl0ud, which only adds to the desire to get it.

Finish style

Finish style

This StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet features a Battle-Scarred Case Hardened finish with a patina that forms a hardened shell over the metallic parts. The pattern index greatly affects the overall appearance of the finish. The resulting visual pattern will be unique and different in every case on the blade.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) is expected grow to $ 792 (12.49%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 618 (-12.22%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.