StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Factory New)

4.4 11189 reviews
facebook}
twitter
Latest price change
Last week
$ 18
+1.05%
Last month
$ 18
+1.05%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 2 720
+57.11%
In a quarter
$ 1 564
-9.66%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
67% - Forecast accuracy
25% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
3 offers on 3 markets
Updated4 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
White.Market
White.Market
1 offers
from $ 1 731
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
1 offers
from $ 1 791
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
1 offers
from $ 1 809
Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Factory New)
Gallery
★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened inspecting ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened holding ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened pose-1 ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened pose-2 ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 1 731
  • 7 days low: $ 1 713
  • 7 days high: $ 1 811
  • 7 days price change: 1.05%
  • 30 days low: $ 1 713
  • 30 days high: $ 1 830
  • 30 days price change: 1.05%
  • 90 days low: $ 1 713
  • 90 days high: $ 4 070
  • Year low: $ 1 650
  • Year high: $ 4 070
  • All time low: $ 1 650
  • All time high: $ 4 070
  • All time max offers: 4
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 0
  • Sales for last 30 days: 0
  • Sales for last 90 days: 0
  • All time sales: 0
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: 0.2111
  • Volatility: 15.42%
  • Liquidity: 0.0%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 2 720
  • Price forecast change in a month: 57.11%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 1 564
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -9.66%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 1 779
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 4 070
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 4 070
Action
✋ Hold
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 1 777
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1 777
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 1 794
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 16.54
0.93%
Result
👍 Success
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 1 791
Action
✋ Hold
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 1 713
Action
❌ Avoid
November 3, 2025
Price
$ 1 779
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 1 779
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 1 779
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 1 779
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 1 779
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 4 070
Action
✋ Hold
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 4 070
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 4 070
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 4 070
Action
✋ Hold
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 4 070
Action
✋ Hold
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 1 803
Action
✋ Hold
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 1 777
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1 777
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 1 794
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 16.54
0.93%
Result
👍 Success
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 1 791
Action
✋ Hold
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 1 713
Action
✋ Hold
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 1 713
Action
❌ Avoid
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 16.54
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 1 777
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
67%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
25%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Related
4.2 5811
In half a year 73%
★ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic
Covert
Normal
★ M9 Bayonet
Autotronic
Battle-Scarred
$ 623
133%
From last month
85 offers on 10 markets
$ 1 638
85%
From last month
39 offers on 8 markets
$ 770
163%
From last month
192 offers on 9 markets
$ 981
112%
From last month
89 offers on 10 markets
4.2 5877
In half a year 52%
★ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic
Covert
Normal
★ M9 Bayonet
Autotronic
Well-Worn
$ 761
111%
From last month
22 offers on 5 markets
$ 479
137%
From last month
65 offers on 9 markets
$ 539
149%
From last month
134 offers on 9 markets
$ 580
90%
From last month
107 offers on 9 markets
4.8 3840
In half a year 69%
★ M9 Bayonet | Black Laminate
Covert
Normal
★ M9 Bayonet
Black Laminate
Well-Worn
$ 490
146%
From last month
87 offers on 9 markets
$ 528
95%
From last month
40 offers on 9 markets
$ 989
41%
From last month
15 offers on 7 markets
$ 549
78%
From last month
97 offers on 9 markets
$ 599
90%
From last month
56 offers on 10 markets
$ 509
112%
From last month
40 offers on 8 markets
$ 305
69%
From last month
32 offers on 9 markets

Description

History

History

The ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened was added to the virtual world of CS2 on August 14th, 2013, as a highly wanted part of the arsenal. It was given to the players through the Revolver Case, a great update called "The Arms Deal," which changed the skin world of CS2 forever.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Factory New) is one of the most limited and highly sought-after skins in CS2. This can only be obtained by opening any of the 11 containers, which include the CS2 Weapon Case, CS2 Weapon Case 2, and CS2 Weapon Case 3. Unlike most skins, it does not belong to any collections, which adds even more value to it as far as collectors and players are concerned.

Popularity

Popularity

The Factory New StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened is a very popular choice among players, being highly sought after with 90% popularity due to the extreme rarity and different patterns of blue gems. Because of its rarity and great market value, this skin is considered a very popular one among CS2 skins, making it one of the most demanded in-game items.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Factory New) is one of 391 other knife skins existing in CS2. This Case Hardened variant is really rare because its rarity is classified as Covert, which means this skin has an estimated chance of just 0.26% to drop.

Availability

Availability

Skin StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened(Factory New) for CS2 will cost in a range from $498.13 to $2,078.45, though at this moment in the world, a lot of them have flooded various markets and it would not be much of an ordeal for an investment-seeking gamer. Currently available, though highly wanted, 5.3K units in the public CS2 inventories have kept the skin in a decent supply for whoever wants this particular addition to his or her inventory.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened ranges from 0.00 to 1.00, and thus, players can get this skin in any exterior variation, even Factory New. Moreover, for collectors, StatTrak versions of Case Hardened are available in all exterior options, making this iconic knife able to track kills.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened enjoys a huge reputation in the CS2 community, with more than 11K votes on addskins.gg and an excellent average rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars. Its popularity is further cemented by being in the ownership of popular professional players like patsi, krystal, and xfl0ud.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet features a factory-fresh 'Case Hardened' finish, featuring a unique pattern index that affects its visual appearance. The finish is inspired by the actual process of case hardening in which a hardened metal shell is created through a chemical reaction, but one that produces a wildly colorful and highly variable mix of blues and golds swirled across the blade and handle.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 2 720 (57.11%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 1 564 (-9.66%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.