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The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened was added to the virtual world of CS2 on August 14th, 2013, as a highly wanted part of the arsenal. It was given to the players through the Revolver Case, a great update called "The Arms Deal," which changed the skin world of CS2 forever.
The StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Factory New) is one of the most limited and highly sought-after skins in CS2. This can only be obtained by opening any of the 11 containers, which include the CS2 Weapon Case, CS2 Weapon Case 2, and CS2 Weapon Case 3. Unlike most skins, it does not belong to any collections, which adds even more value to it as far as collectors and players are concerned.
The Factory New StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened is a very popular choice among players, being highly sought after with 90% popularity due to the extreme rarity and different patterns of blue gems. Because of its rarity and great market value, this skin is considered a very popular one among CS2 skins, making it one of the most demanded in-game items.
The StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Factory New) is one of 391 other knife skins existing in CS2. This Case Hardened variant is really rare because its rarity is classified as Covert, which means this skin has an estimated chance of just 0.26% to drop.
Skin StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened(Factory New) for CS2 will cost in a range from $498.13 to $2,078.45, though at this moment in the world, a lot of them have flooded various markets and it would not be much of an ordeal for an investment-seeking gamer. Currently available, though highly wanted, 5.3K units in the public CS2 inventories have kept the skin in a decent supply for whoever wants this particular addition to his or her inventory.
The float value of the ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened ranges from 0.00 to 1.00, and thus, players can get this skin in any exterior variation, even Factory New. Moreover, for collectors, StatTrak versions of Case Hardened are available in all exterior options, making this iconic knife able to track kills.
The ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened enjoys a huge reputation in the CS2 community, with more than 11K votes on addskins.gg and an excellent average rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars. Its popularity is further cemented by being in the ownership of popular professional players like patsi, krystal, and xfl0ud.
This Factory New StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet features a factory-fresh 'Case Hardened' finish, featuring a unique pattern index that affects its visual appearance. The finish is inspired by the actual process of case hardening in which a hardened metal shell is created through a chemical reaction, but one that produces a wildly colorful and highly variable mix of blues and golds swirled across the blade and handle.
According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 2 720 (57.11%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 1 564 (-9.66%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.











Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.