StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)

4.4 11063 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 89
+15.34%
Last month
$ 263
+64.78%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 911
+33.54%
In a quarter
$ 614
-9.99%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
79% - Forecast accuracy
60% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
16 offers on 8 markets
Updated1 minute ago
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Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)
Gallery
★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened inspecting ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened holding ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened pose-1 ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened pose-2 ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 669
  • 7 days low: $ 580
  • 7 days high: $ 1 421
  • 7 days price change: 15.34%
  • 30 days low: $ 406
  • 30 days high: $ 1 421
  • 30 days price change: 64.78%
  • 90 days low: $ 406
  • 90 days high: $ 1 632
  • Year low: $ 406
  • Year high: $ 2 009
  • All time low: $ 406
  • All time high: $ 2 009
  • All time max offers: 34
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 0
  • Sales for last 30 days: 8
  • Sales for last 90 days: 10
  • All time sales: 27
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 0.58
  • Volatility: 11.17%
  • Liquidity: 5.53%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 911
  • Price forecast change in a month: 33.54%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 614
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -9.99%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 912
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 891
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 879
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 873
Action
✋ Hold
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 895
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 895
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 898
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 2.82
0.31506600%
Result
👍 Success
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 900
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 560
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 560
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 592
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 32.35
5.78%
Result
👍 Success
November 7, 2025
Price
$ 912
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 946
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 855
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 891
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 891
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 879
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 873
Action
✋ Hold
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 919
Action
✋ Hold
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 1 046
Action
✋ Hold
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 895
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 895
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 898
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 2.82
0.31506600%
Result
👍 Success
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 900
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 895
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 816
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 560
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 560
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 592
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 32.35
5.78%
Result
👍 Success
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 35.17
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 1 455
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
2
Success count
2
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
79%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
60%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
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Description

History

History

The Case Hardened ★ M9 Bayonet dropped in the virtual world of CS2 on August 14th, 2013, as a breath of fresh air within the game's arsenal. Certainly, players were thrilled to get this iconic knife skin made available through the Revolver Case as part of "The Arms Deal" update, adding a touch of prestige and style to their virtual weaponry.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened is an ultra-rare and very highly sought skin; one could be obtained only from the opening of one of 11 different containers it had been found in, including CS2 Weapon Case, CS2 Weapon Case 2, and CS2 Weapon Case 3. Unlike most other skins, this knife does not belong to any collections, and such a feature makes it highly wanted by players in CS2.

Popularity

Popularity

The ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) has a high popularity rating in the CS2 community of 90%, and that can be clearly shown through its volume of sales, which is always high and has a premium price, keeping it among the most wanted skins in this game.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) is one of 391 other Knife skins existing in CS2. The rarity of this skin is classified as Covert. It is an extremely rare drop category and is supposed to have a drop chance of just 0.26%.

Availability

Availability

The price of StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened Field-Tested for CS2 is between $498.13 and $2,078.45, which is pretty high. But the skin currently has a wide availability due to the fact that it can be offered in multiple markets. Besides, there are about 5.3K units of the Case Hardened skin in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened ranges from 0.00 to 1.00, making the skin available in all exteriors, and each exterior has a corresponding StatTrak version for Case Hardened, which allows players to track their kills with this iconic knife. For every level of wear, from Factory New and Minimal Wear to Field-Tested, Well-Worn, and Battle-Scarred, there's a StatTrak variant of the Case Hardened.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

In particular, one such very positive community attitude is related to StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened Field-Tested; this is demonstrated by a high rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars, with more than 11K votes on addskins.gg. Its popularity also extends among professional players: patsi, krystal, and xfl0ud all use and possess this skin.

Finish style

Finish style

This StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened - Field-Tested provides an exquisite "Patina"-style skin, featuring Case Hardened finish that aims to replicate the real procedure of case hardening, covering metallic parts with a toughened, non-reactive shell. The pattern index can change the appearance of the finish, which ends up making this skin visually striking.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) is expected grow to $ 911 (33.54%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 614 (-9.99%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.