StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)

4.4 11134 reviews
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Latest price change
Last month
$ 84
+9.17%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 1 120
-8.76%
In a quarter
$ 2 136
+74.01%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
75% - Forecast accuracy
34% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
8 offers on 6 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
White.Market
White.Market
1 offers
from $ 1 000
Steam
Steam
2 offers
from $ 1 228
Skinport
Skinport
2 offers
from $ 2 342
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
1 offers
from $ 4 000
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
1 offers
from $ 4 000
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
1 offers
from $ 4 000
Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened inspecting ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened holding ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened pose-1 ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened pose-2 ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 1 000
  • 7 days low: $ 1 000
  • 7 days high: $ 4 000
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 916
  • 30 days high: $ 4 000
  • 30 days price change: 9.17%
  • 90 days low: $ 916
  • 90 days high: $ 4 211
  • Year low: $ 844
  • Year high: $ 4 222
  • All time low: $ 844
  • All time high: $ 4 222
  • All time max offers: 14
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 3
  • Sales for last 30 days: 3
  • Sales for last 90 days: 5
  • All time sales: 12
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 1.36
  • Volatility: 14.16%
  • Liquidity: 4.94%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 1 120
  • Price forecast change in a month: -8.76%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 2 136
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 74.01%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 1 006
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 1 370
Action
📉 Sell
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 1 407
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 1 155
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 1 155
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 952
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 952
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 1 214
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 262
27.53%
Result
👍 Success
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 998
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 942
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 942
October 28, 2025
Price
$ 1 621
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 678
71.99%
Result
👍 Success
October 31, 2025
Price
$ 1 608
Action
❌ Avoid
November 1, 2025
Price
$ 2 335
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 2 335
November 7, 2025
Price
$ 1 006
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 1 370
Action
📉 Sell
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 1 407
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 1 155
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 1 155
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 1 155
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 1 085
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 952
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 952
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 955
Action
🔥 Buy
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 1 214
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 262
27.53%
Result
👍 Success
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 998
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 994
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 1 032
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 4 000
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 942
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 942
October 28, 2025
Price
$ 940
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 1 621
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 678
71.99%
Result
👍 Success
October 31, 2025
Price
$ 1 608
Action
❌ Avoid
November 1, 2025
Price
$ 2 335
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 2 335
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 941
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 4 230
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
19
Buy count
3
Sell count
2
Success count
2
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 19 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
75%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
34%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
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Description

History

History

The ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened was the first to be released in-game on August 14th, 2013, when it was introduced as a new knife skin in the Revolver Case. Extremely rare, this skin was extremely popular because of its gorgeous Case Hardened pattern, attracting the attention of collectors and players alike.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened skin was released to CS2 via Container Opening through a number of Series, which include CS2 Weapon Case, CS2 Weapon Case 2, and CS2 Weapon Case 3. Because it is not tagged in any collection, this skin is an outlier and has become one of the highly sought items by players.

Popularity

Popularity

Because it has the highest popularity of 85%, the StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened in Minimal Wear is one of the most sought-after skins within the CS2 community and hence among the most wanted and the most valued skin within this game. The popularity of any skin depends on consistent demand and its high value at which it sells within a market.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) is one of 391 other knife skins available in CS2, but its rarity sets it apart. With a classification of Covert, this particular Case Hardened variant is an ultra rare drop with an estimated chance of only 0.26% to obtain it.

Availability

Availability

The StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) for CS2 is an expensive skin, falling within a price range of $498.13-$2,078.45. However, it is presently very easy to get since it can be bought from multiple markets. Besides, there are 5.3K units of the Case Hardened skin in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened skin from CS2 is one of the most popular and great skins for a knife, whose float values range from 0.00 to 1.00, allowing its distribution within all exterior groups. Besides, each type of exterior has its version for the StatTrak tracker addition.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment towards this skin, the StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear), within CS2 is just overwhelmingly positive. With a sizeable number of votes cast on addskins.gg, it garnered an impressive 4.4 out of 5-star average rating. Its popularity is further testified to by ownership from CS2 pros like patsi, krystal, and xfl0ud, a testament to how desirous it is.

Finish style

Finish style

This StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet is in a Case Hardened finish, with an otherworldly mix of blues and golds. The pattern index has been highly influential in determining where the colors fall and at what intensity. The result is a visually striking appearance that's uniquely accented, lending an air of sophistication to the weapon.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 1 120 (-8.76%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 2 136 (74.01%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.