StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)

4.4 11003 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 71
+13.68%
Last month
$ 148
+33.48%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 1 024
+97.41%
In a quarter
$ 521
+0.4376%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
59% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
50% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
9 offers on 6 markets
Updated8 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)
Gallery
★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened inspecting ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened holding ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened pose-1 ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened pose-2 ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 590
  • 24h price change: 13.68%
  • 7 days low: $ 519
  • 7 days high: $ 1 061
  • 7 days price change: 13.68%
  • 30 days low: $ 442
  • 30 days high: $ 3 333
  • 30 days price change: 33.48%
  • 90 days low: $ 442
  • 90 days high: $ 4 000
  • Year low: $ 442
  • Year high: $ 159 292
  • All time low: $ 442
  • All time high: $ 159 292
  • All time max offers: 36
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 1
  • Sales for last 7 days: 2
  • Sales for last 30 days: 2
  • Sales for last 90 days: 2
  • All time sales: 5
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 1, 2025
  • Risk: 1.66
  • Volatility: 9.78%
  • Liquidity: 4.78%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 1 024
  • Price forecast change in a month: 97.41%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 521
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 0.4376%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 870
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 823
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 823
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 808
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -15
-1.82%
Result
👎 Fail
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 863
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 867
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 788
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 789
Action
✋ Hold
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 875
Action
❌ Avoid
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 822
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 822
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 866
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 43.99
5.35%
Result
👍 Success
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 824
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 461
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 461
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 870
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 823
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 823
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 808
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -15
-1.82%
Result
👎 Fail
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 863
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 867
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 788
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 789
Action
✋ Hold
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 790
Action
✋ Hold
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 897
Action
✋ Hold
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 875
Action
❌ Avoid
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 826
Action
❌ Avoid
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 822
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 822
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 866
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 43.99
5.35%
Result
👍 Success
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 824
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 461
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 461
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 460
Action
🔥 Buy
November 1, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 28.99
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 2 106
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
3
Sell count
2
Success count
1
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
59%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
50%
79% - avg*
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Description

History

History

The M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened is a very cool skin that joins the arsenal of CS2 skins. It became available on August 14th, 2013, after "The Arms Deal" update. That pattern with hues of blue and gold gave the Case Hardened skin this reputation among gamers who love anything unusual and bright.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) is one of the rarest and most wanted skins in the game. It can only be obtained by opening one of the 11 containers it was released in, such as CS2 Weapon Case, CS2 Weapon Case 2, and CS2 Weapon Case 3. Unlike many other skins, it is not part of any specific collection, which increases its value and makes it highly exclusive in the CS2 community.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) is in great demand, enjoying 90% popularity in CS2. This high level of demand is reflected through high sales volume and its commanding price; thus, it is one of the highest-demanded items in-game.

Rarity

Rarity

The M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) is one of 391 knife skins present in CS2. This Case Hardened variant can only be pulled because the skin has Covert rarity, which makes it very rare; it's estimated at just about 0.26%.

Availability

Availability

The CS2 StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened skin is pretty expensive as the price starts from $498.13, and up to $2,078.45 but it is available because it has been noticed on many markets. So, presently there are about 5.3K units of Case Hardened skin in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) skin in CS2 ranges from 0.38 to 0.45, giving it a pretty worn and battle-scarred look. Whatever the exterior is, there is also a StatTrak variant available for the Case Hardened to allow players to track their kills in style.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment towards the StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) in CS2 is highly positive, with an impressive rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars based on over 11K votes on addskins.gg. Besides, its popularity is further underlined by the fact that it is owned by popular professional players like patsi, krystal, and xfl0ud.

Finish style

Finish style

The finish is "Patina", as striking as the effects of case hardening in real firearms, and is worn with this Well-Worn StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet. A little more unique and character-giving, the Case Hardened finish sets this blade apart with its intricate pattern index; surely a collector's item if ever there was one.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) is expected grow to $ 1 024 (97.41%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 521 (0.4376%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.