StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New)

4.7 7065 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 355
+25.45%
Last month
$ 967
+123%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 2 086
+19.2%
In a quarter
$ 1 257
-28.17%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
67% - Forecast accuracy
67% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
37 offers on 8 markets
Updated4 minutes ago
Marketplace
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Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New)
Gallery
★ M9 Bayonet | Fade inspecting ★ M9 Bayonet | Fade holding ★ M9 Bayonet | Fade pose-1 ★ M9 Bayonet | Fade pose-2 ★ M9 Bayonet | Fade pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 1 750
  • 7 days low: $ 1 395
  • 7 days high: $ 3 426
  • 7 days price change: 25.45%
  • 30 days low: $ 783
  • 30 days high: $ 3 813
  • 30 days price change: 123%
  • 90 days low: $ 783
  • 90 days high: $ 6 999
  • Year low: $ 783
  • Year high: $ 6 999
  • All time low: $ 783
  • All time high: $ 6 999
  • All time max offers: 68
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 2
  • Sales for last 30 days: 17
  • Sales for last 90 days: 24
  • All time sales: 45
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 2, 2025
  • Risk: -0.4574
  • Volatility: 13.5%
  • Liquidity: 6.22%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 2 086
  • Price forecast change in a month: 19.2%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 1 257
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -28.17%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 2 000
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 2 057
Action
✋ Hold
August 28, 2025
Price
$ 2 035
Action
❌ Avoid
September 5, 2025
Price
$ 2 000
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 1 997
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 2 007
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 1 932
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 1 932
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 1 868
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 1 787
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 2 057
Action
✋ Hold
August 28, 2025
Price
$ 2 035
Action
❌ Avoid
September 5, 2025
Price
$ 2 373
Action
❌ Avoid
September 13, 2025
Price
$ 2 262
Action
❌ Avoid
September 21, 2025
Price
$ 2 269
Action
❌ Avoid
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 2 106
Action
❌ Avoid
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 2 263
Action
❌ Avoid
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 957
Action
❌ Avoid
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 1 766
Action
❌ Avoid
November 2, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.98 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
67%
58% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
67%
44% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
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Description

History

History

The ★ M9 Bayonet | Fade first appeared in the virtual world of CS2 about ten years ago-namely, on August 14th, 2013-when it was added to the Revolver Case during "The Arms Deal" update. This Factory New beauty has since become one of the highly wanted knife skins due to the hypnotic gradient fade pattern it comes with.

Origin

Origin

The Factory New StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Fade is one of the most rare and in-demand skins in CS2. It was able to be pulled only by opening one of the 11 containers it dropped from, including the CS2 Weapon Case, CS2 Weapon Case 2, and CS2 Weapon Case 3. Unlike most other skins, it is not in any collection, which just further makes it so exclusive and expensive among collectors and players.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New) is relatively popular among CS2 players, with a popularity of 35%. Not the most wanted item, its desirability is reflected in its daily sales volume and relatively high price in the skin market.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New) is one of 391 knife skins in CS2. This Covert rarity skin is ultra rare and has an estimated drop chance of only 0.26%.

Availability

Availability

The StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New) is a highly demanded skin in CS2, having a price that ranges from $1,704.33 to $2,001.49. However, despite such a steep cost, now it's easily accessible, since on many markets one can purchase it, allowing players the chance to feature this truly luxurious skin into their collectible inventory. Currently, there are 5.6K units of this Fade skin available in public CS2 inventories and add even more to the availability of this skin.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the ★ M9 Bayonet | Fade ranges from 0.00 to 0.08, which allows Factory New and Minimal Wear versions of the skin. There is also a StatTrak variant available for each of the exterior options of the Fade.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment for the StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New) in CS2 is positive, with a rating of 4.7 out of 5 stars based on over 6.9K votes on addskins.gg. This is further verified because the skin has been found in the possession of pro players like boltz, espiranto, and hades.

Finish style

Finish style

The StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New) features an "Anodized Airbrushed" finish that follows a labor-intensive process of application of the candy coat done by meticulous freehand airbrushing. The overall look is greatly affected by the pattern index, a mesmerizing gradient that seamlessly transitions between vivid hues.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 2 086 (19.2%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 1 257 (-28.17%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.