StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New)

4.9 8961 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 68
+6.99%
Last month
$ 516
+98.29%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 1 614
+52.93%
In a quarter
$ 1 092
+3.47%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
64% - Forecast accuracy
0% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
54 offers on 10 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New)
Gallery
★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade inspecting ★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade holding ★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade pose-1 ★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade pose-2 ★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 1 041
  • 7 days low: $ 973
  • 7 days high: $ 1 954
  • 7 days price change: 6.99%
  • 30 days low: $ 525
  • 30 days high: $ 2 887
  • 30 days price change: 98.29%
  • 90 days low: $ 525
  • 90 days high: $ 2 887
  • Year low: $ 525
  • Year high: $ 281 504
  • All time low: $ 525
  • All time high: $ 281 504
  • All time max offers: 70
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 13
  • Sales for last 30 days: 44
  • Sales for last 90 days: 52
  • All time sales: 122
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 2, 2025
  • Risk: 0.3943
  • Volatility: 10.65%
  • Liquidity: 8.36%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 1 614
  • Price forecast change in a month: 52.93%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 1 092
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 3.47%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 1 570
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 893
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 893
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 1 106
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 213
23.89%
Result
👍 Success
November 2, 2025
Price
$ 1 570
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 1 570
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 1 554
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 1 541
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 1 536
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 1 540
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 1 450
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 1 601
Action
❌ Avoid
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 1 604
Action
❌ Avoid
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 1 633
Action
❌ Avoid
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 1 548
Action
❌ Avoid
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 1 600
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 1 557
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 1 481
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 893
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 893
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 744
Action
🔥 Buy
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 1 106
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 213
23.89%
Result
👍 Success
November 2, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 213
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 893
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
17
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
64%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
0%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
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Description

History

History

The ★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade was added to CS2 six years ago, on January 8th, 2015. It was included in the Chroma 3 Case upon release with the "Full Spectrum" update, which brought a nice and vivid knife skin into the game, turning into a pretty desirable piece.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) is a truly exclusive and rare skin of this particular weapon, openable only by opening a Chroma 2 Case, Chroma 3 Case, or Chroma Case container in CS2. This very unique, vibrant marble fade pattern makes it stand from the rest.

Popularity

Popularity

It holds the same mediocre popularity of 35%, since every day StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade Factory New has a normal amount of sales and is in-demand in the market, the position of this skin in game is quite middle: the weapon is neither in an excessive demand nor in the cold.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade is actually one of the most aspired knife skins out of 391 in CS2. Its Covert rare class makes it an extremely hard drop to get, being estimated to have only 0.26% probability in getting it.

Availability

Availability

The CS2 StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade Factory New is exclusive and very luxurious. It costs in a range from $1,385.63 to $1,565.76. Although the skin costs really a lot, it is widely available on different markets right now. So far, about 8.3K units of the Marble Fade have appeared in public CS2 inventories, which says much about this skin's popularity among players.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the ★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade ranges from 0.00 to 0.08, which makes it possible for players to get the skin in Factory New and Minimal Wear conditions. Besides, collectors can find a StatTrak version of the Marble Fade in each exterior option.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

Community Sentiment: The community attitude toward StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) for CS2 is really good, given the votes and rating in addskins.gg. Moreover, its popularity is further evidenced by the ownership of this skin among well-known professional players like kennys, karrigan, and hazed.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet has a hypnotizing "Marble Fade" finish, applied in a swirling multicolored pattern. The knife's pattern index influences just how the Marble Fade looks, and this knife has been crafted in such a way that it's one of the most visually striking variations possible-which is sure to make heads turn on the virtual battlefield.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 1 614 (52.93%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 1 092 (3.47%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.08
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class