StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched (Minimal Wear)

4.5 11058 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 12
+3.5%
Last month
$ 65
+22.41%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 583
+62.71%
In a quarter
$ 326
-9.01%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
80% - Forecast accuracy
40% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
15 offers on 6 markets
Updated7 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
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CSGO.COM
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Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched inspecting ★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched holding ★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched pose-1 ★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched pose-2 ★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 355
  • 7 days low: $ 343
  • 7 days high: $ 497
  • 7 days price change: 3.5%
  • 30 days low: $ 290
  • 30 days high: $ 736
  • 30 days price change: 22.41%
  • 90 days low: $ 290
  • 90 days high: $ 800
  • Year low: $ 290
  • Year high: $ 1 023
  • All time low: $ 290
  • All time high: $ 1 023
  • All time max offers: 26
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 0
  • Sales for last 30 days: 0
  • Sales for last 90 days: 0
  • All time sales: 1
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: -0.2716
  • Volatility: 11.74%
  • Liquidity: 1.72%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 583
  • Price forecast change in a month: 62.71%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 326
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -9.01%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 681
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 619
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 579
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 640
Action
✋ Hold
August 28, 2025
Price
$ 616
Action
❌ Avoid
October 2, 2025
Price
$ 299
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 299
November 1, 2025
Price
$ 424
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 125
41.85%
Result
👍 Success
November 3, 2025
Price
$ 681
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 683
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 611
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 653
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 619
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 579
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 578
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 640
Action
✋ Hold
August 28, 2025
Price
$ 640
Action
✋ Hold
September 5, 2025
Price
$ 615
Action
✋ Hold
September 13, 2025
Price
$ 614
Action
✋ Hold
September 21, 2025
Price
$ 616
Action
❌ Avoid
October 2, 2025
Price
$ 557
Action
❌ Avoid
October 10, 2025
Price
$ 653
Action
❌ Avoid
October 18, 2025
Price
$ 306
Action
❌ Avoid
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 344
Action
❌ Avoid
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 299
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 299
November 1, 2025
Price
$ 424
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 125
41.85%
Result
👍 Success
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 125
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 299
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
18
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 18 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
80%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
40%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
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Description

The StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched (Minimal Wear) is a versatile weapon that was designed for both long-range rifle use and close-quarters combat. Its elegant sun-dappled spray-painted pattern adds a touch of sophistication, reminiscent of the Phoenix's symbol of rebirth rather than destruction, as Valeria Jenner once noted.

History

History

The ★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched was added to the virtual CS2 world on August 14th, 2013, and added style to an already packed armory. This popular skin of a knife was available for the players in the Revolver Case, which was added in the "The Arms Deal" update, hence starting its journey in the CS2 community.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched (Minimal Wear) is one of the rarest and most popular skins in CS2. This skin is only available through opening the containers that house the skin, such as the CS2 Weapon Case, CS2 Weapon Case 2, and CS2 Weapon Case 3. Unlike many other skins, this particular skin does not belong to any specific collections, making it a unique and standalone item in the game.

Popularity

Popularity

The ★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched (Minimal Wear) is the most popular pull, with an 85% popularity rating, putting it in the higher echelons of the most wanted items in CS2. This percentage is considered considering both its daily sales volume and price, which show its desirability among players.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched (Minimal Wear) is one of the 391 knife skins existing in CS2. However, this is a Covert skin, which is an ultra-rare drop. The estimated drop chance for this skin is 0.26%.

Availability

Availability

The CS2 StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched Minimal Wear skin costs a pretty penny, from $371.32 to $540.39, but highly available these days since the skin is on many markets, and there are around 5.5K units of the Scorched in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float range in CS2 is from 0.06 to 0.80 for the StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched Minimal Wear, which will allow players to obtain this skin in any exterior that they desire. Other than that, each of the Scorched exterior options have a StatTrak variant.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment for the StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched (Minimal Wear) in CS2 is very positive, with over 11K votes on addskins.gg, averaging 4.5 out of 5 stars. Moreover, prestige is added to the skin since it belongs to the famous professional CS2 player stavros, which further enhances its desirability among enthusiasts.

Finish style

Finish style

This StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched (Minimal Wear) has a spray-paint style with a Scorched finish in CS2. The weapon features a multitude of spray paint applied over stencil patterns in various gray hues. The pattern index of the Scorched finish dictates overall appearance, giving this M9 Bayonet a unique touch.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched (Minimal Wear) is expected grow to $ 583 (62.71%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 326 (-9.01%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.