StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched (Well-Worn)

4.5 11038 reviews
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Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 577
+44.21%
In a quarter
$ 744
+85.95%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
86% - Forecast accuracy
67% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
13 offers on 5 markets
Updated5 minutes ago
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CSGO.COM
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Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched (Well-Worn)
Gallery
★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched inspecting ★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched holding ★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched pose-1 ★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched pose-2 ★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 392
  • 7 days low: $ 392
  • 7 days high: $ 759
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 392
  • 30 days high: $ 1 343
  • 30 days price change: 0%
  • 90 days low: $ 392
  • 90 days high: $ 1 580
  • Year low: $ 261
  • Year high: $ 1 580
  • All time low: $ 261
  • All time high: $ 1 580
  • All time max offers: 19
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 0
  • Sales for last 30 days: 0
  • Sales for last 90 days: 0
  • All time sales: 0
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 2.37
  • Volatility: 11.88%
  • Liquidity: 0.0%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 577
  • Price forecast change in a month: 44.21%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 744
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 85.95%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 557
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 544
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 555
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 574
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 574
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 574
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 859
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 285
49.56%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 557
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 557
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 557
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 544
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 501
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 555
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 555
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 580
Action
✋ Hold
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 579
Action
✋ Hold
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 560
Action
✋ Hold
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 574
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 667
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 587
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 672
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 574
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 574
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 859
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 285
49.56%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 557
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 557
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 412
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 285
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 1 132
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
86%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
67%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
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Description

The StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched (Well-Worn) is a multi-functional weapon for long-range and close-quarters combat. Its sun-dappled spray-painted pattern adds a touch of uniqueness, symbolizing the potential for rebirth and transformation in the midst of chaos.

History

History

The ★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched first appeared in the virtual world of CS2 almost ten years ago, on August 14th, 2013. This highly sought-after skin was presented to the players by the Revolver Case, released with the "The Arms Deal" update, offering a really handsome and battle-worn option for those seeking a unique and realistic knife in the game.

Origin

Origin

The ★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched can be obtained from various containers, including the CS2 Weapon Case, CS2 Weapon Case 2, and CS2 Weapon Case 3. This skin is a part of no collection, so it is an independent element that may be added to one's inventory.

Popularity

Popularity

The ★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched (Well-Worn) is extremely popular in the CS2 community and holds a top 15% position among the most wanted items, having an incredibly high popularity rating of 85%. This can be explained by its good daily sales volume and its market value, which makes this skin very desirable for collectors and players.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched, Well-Worn skin is one of only 391 other skins in CS2 for knives. It's a Covert-quality skin, which makes this weapon an extremely rare drop that one can estimate to be available for only 0.26% of drops.

Availability

Availability

The M9 Bayonet | Scorched (Well-Worn) StatTrak ★ for CS2 has a relatively high price, which ranges from $371.32 to $540.39. At the same time, this skin is pretty easy to get today since it's being sold on lots of markets. Thus, there're about 5.5K units of the Scorched skin in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the ★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched (Well-Worn) ranges from 0.38 to 0.45, meaning this skin is available consistently in well-worn condition. Moreover, for each well-worn exterior of the Scorched M9 Bayonet, a StatTrak version is available, further increasing the desirability of this skin for kill trackers.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment towards the StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched (Well-Worn) in CS2 is overwhelmingly positive, with an impressive rating of 4.5 out of 5 stars, with over 11K votes on addskins.gg. Its popularity is boosted even more by the fact that professional CS2 player stavros owns it, making it one of the most wanted skins.

Finish style

Finish style

The pattern index on this Well-Worn StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched makes it look quite worn and weathered; the areas of the blade show more pronounced scorch marks and discoloration. Gray tones give a really subtle, gritty feel that just makes this a great skin for those looking to go the route of battle-worn and battle-tested.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched (Well-Worn) is expected grow to $ 577 (44.21%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 744 (85.95%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to buy.