StatTrak MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New)

4.6 8230 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.49
+18.28%
Last month
$ 1.18
+59.3%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 3.07
-6.4%
In a quarter
$ 3.43
+4.57%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
34% - Forecast accuracy
34% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
149 offers on 10 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
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from $ 3.59
ShadowPay
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19 offers
from $ 3.76
Avan.Market
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4 offers
from $ 3.93
CSGO.COM
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12 offers
from $ 4.1
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50 offers
from $ 4.45
CSGOEmpire
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1 offers
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21 offers
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Inspect skin
StatTrak MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New)
Gallery
MAC-10 | Lapis Gator inspecting MAC-10 | Lapis Gator reloading MAC-10 | Lapis Gator holding MAC-10 | Lapis Gator pose-1 MAC-10 | Lapis Gator pose-2 MAC-10 | Lapis Gator pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 3.17
  • 24h price change: 4.28%
  • 7 days low: $ 2.68
  • 7 days high: $ 2 069
  • 7 days price change: 18.28%
  • 30 days low: $ 1.99
  • 30 days high: $ 2 069
  • 30 days price change: 59.3%
  • 90 days low: $ 1.99
  • 90 days high: $ 2 069
  • Year low: $ 1.9
  • Year high: $ 2 069
  • All time low: $ 1.9
  • All time high: $ 2 069
  • All time max offers: 247
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 13
  • Sales for last 7 days: 142
  • Sales for last 30 days: 476
  • Sales for last 90 days: 1077
  • All time sales: 3400
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 6, 2025
  • Risk: 0.4935
  • Volatility: 13.07%
  • Liquidity: 32.07%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 3.07
  • Price forecast change in a month: -6.4%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 3.43
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 4.57%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 3.11
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 2.46
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 2.45
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 3.05
Action
✋ Hold
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 2.72
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 3.06
Action
✋ Hold
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 3.25
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 3.11
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 2.83
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 2.57
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 2.46
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 2.45
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 2.47
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 2.96
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 3
Action
❌ Avoid
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 3.05
Action
✋ Hold
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 3.1
Action
✋ Hold
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 2.78
Action
✋ Hold
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 2.72
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 3.06
Action
✋ Hold
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 3.25
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 2.96
Action
❌ Avoid
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 2.89
Action
❌ Avoid
November 6, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
34%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
34%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2011
3319
2715
10661
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists
  • Magazine capacity: 30/100
  • Damage: 29
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 800
  • Movement speed: 240
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Description

The StatTrak MAC-10 | Lapis Gator is a pocket-sized automatic, capable of unleashing a storm of bullets in split seconds. It trades accuracy and control for an astronomical firing rate. This skin has a hydrographic design; its alligator-skin pattern gives a stunning display of color on this deadly gun. A perfect choice to make a statement on the battlefield-just remember, it doesn't come with an airboat.

History

History

The StatTrak MAC-10 | Lapis Gator was released on February 17th of 2016 and tagged along with the Operation Wildfire Case. This skin was submitted by the very talented community designer Sun_R and quickly became the envy of many players as one of the most wanted due to its intricate blue and green reptilian patterns, making the MAC-10 quite fierce.

Origin

Origin

This The StatTrak MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) can be acquired from an Operation Wildfire Case, a container filled with various weapon skins. The skin belongs to The Wildfire Collection, a collection of skins released during the Operation Wildfire event in CS2.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) has gained quite immense popularity among CS2 players, currently ranking within the top 15% of highly sought items. Its popularity is determined through the quantity of its daily sales volume and the market price of this skin, showing demand for it within the gaming community.

Rarity

Rarity

MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) - This is a CS2 skin, Mil-Spec Grade, and one of 237 SMG skins in the game. The drop chance of this skin is 79.92%.

Availability

Availability

The MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) is a relatively cheap skin, and it costs from $0.28 to $1.17. It's not that hard to obtain because the skin has lots of markets and more than 502.7K units of this skin are available in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The StatTrak MAC-10 | Lapis Gator can have all types of exteriors and floats from 0.00 to 0.50. For each of these skins' exteriors, there is an option that supports StatTrak for the Lapis Gator skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment towards the StatTrak MAC-10 | Lapis Gator is great in CS2-a lot of votes with a 4.6 star rating out of 5, according to addskins.gg. It is further supported that this skin is popular and includes ownership from well-recognized professional players like fallen, adren, and spunj.

Finish style

Finish style

This Skin is done in the "Anodized Multicolored" style, featuring a candy coat applied in a multi-colored pattern using silk-screening or adherable stencils. The StatTrak MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) has the captivating blue tint as the dominant color; The appearance of the Lapis Gator finish may be different for each pattern index.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 3.07 (-6.4%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 3.43 (4.57%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.5
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players