StatTrak MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Well-Worn)

4.6 8337 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.01
+1.08%
Last month
$ 0.12
+14.63%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.8
-14.89%
In a quarter
$ 1.12
+19.15%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
77% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
78 offers on 7 markets
Updated4 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
StatTrak MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Well-Worn)
Gallery
MAC-10 | Lapis Gator inspecting MAC-10 | Lapis Gator reloading MAC-10 | Lapis Gator holding MAC-10 | Lapis Gator pose-1 MAC-10 | Lapis Gator pose-2 MAC-10 | Lapis Gator pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.94
  • 7 days low: $ 0.93
  • 7 days high: $ 13.29
  • 7 days price change: 1.08%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.82
  • 30 days high: $ 13.29
  • 30 days price change: 14.63%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.78
  • 90 days high: $ 13.29
  • Year low: $ 0.73
  • Year high: $ 164
  • All time low: $ 0.73
  • All time high: $ 164
  • All time max offers: 227
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 6
  • Sales for last 7 days: 35
  • Sales for last 30 days: 162
  • Sales for last 90 days: 423
  • All time sales: 1228
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 0.2458
  • Volatility: 17.85%
  • Liquidity: 27.23%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.8
  • Price forecast change in a month: -14.89%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 1.12
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 19.15%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.99
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.86
Action
📉 Sell
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.92
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.79
Action
✋ Hold
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.96
Action
❌ Avoid
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.89
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.89
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.89
Action
📉 Sell
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.82
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.82
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 0.95
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.13
15.85%
Result
👍 Success
November 7, 2025
Price
$ 0.99
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.76
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.78
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.86
Action
📉 Sell
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.82
Action
📉 Sell
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.92
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.79
Action
✋ Hold
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.78
Action
✋ Hold
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.96
Action
❌ Avoid
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.89
Action
❌ Avoid
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 1.12
Action
❌ Avoid
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 1.12
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.89
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.89
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.89
Action
📉 Sell
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.82
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.82
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 0.95
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.13
15.85%
Result
👍 Success
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.13
$ 19.98 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0.89
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
77%
58% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
44% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2011
3319
2715
10661
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists
  • Magazine capacity: 30/100
  • Damage: 29
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 800
  • Movement speed: 240
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Description

The StatTrak MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Well-Worn) is a compact, light submachine gun that strafes the enemy's position with high fire frequency, sacrificing accuracy and control for firing speed. The hydrographic finish applied gives an alligator skin pattern, hence the name, and adds so much fierceness to your otherwise dull arsenal. No airboat included, unfortunately.

History

History

The MAC-10 | Lapis Gator was added to CS2 on February 17th, 2016, when it joined the Operation Wildfire Case. This noticeable skin designed by the brilliant community designer "Sun_R" quickly found its way into the players' inventory to add style to their arsenal.

Origin

Origin

The MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Well-Worn) was a skin which players could get from the Operation Wildfire Case, a container in CS2. This skin is part of the The Wildfire Collection and offers a wide variety of weapon finishes.

Popularity

Popularity

The MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Well-Worn) has a really huge following; it is very popular among the CS2 community with an impressive popularity rating of 85%. It goes to the top ranks in desirability, ranked through its steady sale volume and market value.

Rarity

Rarity

The MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Well-Worn) is one of the 237 SMG skins in CS2. This skin is of Mil-Spec Grade and, thus, has a pretty common drop chance of about 79.92%, making it very common in gameplay.

Availability

Availability

The MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Well-Worn) for CS2 has a floating value between $0.28 and $1.17, making it an extremely cheap skin. To purchase this skin, it is widely available in many markets, and currently, there are 502.7K units of this skin in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The MAC-10 | Lapis Gator is available in all exteriors with float values ranging from 0.00 to 0.50, making the range of wear pattern options fairly broad. Secondly, for each exterior, there is also a corresponding StatTrak version of the Lapis Gator that enables players to track their kills with style.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

CS2 community sentiment with StatTrak MAC-10 | Lapis Gator(Well-Worn) is on a really good note. By addskins.gg, a massive number of votes earned for this skin an average of 4.6/5-star rating. As of release date, this beauty caught some likings of well-esteemed professional CS2 players like fallen, adren, and spunj further shoving up the index value of desirability scale amongst the community.

Finish style

Finish style

The StatTrak MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Well-Worn) for CS2 features a "Lapis Gator" finish that resembles a real-life anodized multicolored candy coat. The skin has a dominating blue hue, and the pattern index is affecting the general look so that the multicolored pattern may change in position and saturation.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 0.8 (-14.89%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 1.12 (19.15%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.41
Max: 0.5
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players