StatTrak MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Factory New)

4.9 1306 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.01
+0.2433%
Last month
$ 0.43
+11.65%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 5.88
+42.72%
In a quarter
$ 9.48
+130.0%
Action
Decision:
🎯 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
88% - Forecast accuracy
72% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
58 offers on 9 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Skinport
Skinport
17 offers
from $ 4.12
White.Market
White.Market
7 offers
from $ 5.55
Steam
Steam
22 offers
from $ 6.16
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
1 offers
from $ 6.54
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
1 offers
from $ 6.73
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
4 offers
from $ 6.83
Bitskins
Bitskins
4 offers
from $ 7.5
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
1 offers
from $ 7.71
CS.DEALS
CS.DEALS
1 offers
from $ 17
Inspect skin
StatTrak MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Factory New)
Gallery
MP5-SD | Condition Zero inspecting MP5-SD | Condition Zero reloading MP5-SD | Condition Zero holding MP5-SD | Condition Zero pose-1 MP5-SD | Condition Zero pose-2 MP5-SD | Condition Zero pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 4.12
  • 24h price change: 0.2433%
  • 7 days low: $ 4.11
  • 7 days high: $ 46.93
  • 7 days price change: 0.2433%
  • 30 days low: $ 3.69
  • 30 days high: $ 47.28
  • 30 days price change: 11.65%
  • 90 days low: $ 3.69
  • 90 days high: $ 47.62
  • Year low: $ 2.26
  • Year high: $ 47.62
  • All time low: $ 2.26
  • All time high: $ 47.62
  • All time max offers: 96
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 3
  • Sales for last 7 days: 20
  • Sales for last 30 days: 82
  • Sales for last 90 days: 273
  • All time sales: 756
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 4, 2025
  • Risk: 0.75
  • Volatility: 30.34%
  • Liquidity: 14.88%
  • Decision: 🎯 Speculative Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 5.88
  • Price forecast change in a month: 42.72%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 9.48
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 130.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 4.18
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 4.38
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 4.38
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 5.89
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.51
34.47%
Result
👍 Success
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 5.9
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 4.43
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 4.43
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 5.99
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.56
35.21%
Result
👍 Success
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 7.5
Action
❌ Avoid
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 5.51
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 5.51
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 4.18
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 4.68
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 4.67
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 4.97
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 4.38
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 4.38
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 4.7
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 4.83
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 5.89
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.51
34.47%
Result
👍 Success
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 5.9
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 4.43
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 4.43
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 5.99
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.56
35.21%
Result
👍 Success
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 7.5
Action
❌ Avoid
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 6.24
Action
❌ Avoid
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 5.51
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 5.51
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 5.39
Action
🔥 Buy
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 5.66
Action
🔥 Buy
November 4, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 3.07
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 14.32
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
3
Sell count
2
Success count
2
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
88%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
72%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1912
3220
2516
10163
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/120
  • Damage: 27
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 750
  • Movement speed: 235
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
4.7 3169
In a year 116%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Battle-Scarred
4.7 3124
In a year 149%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Factory New
4.7 3252
In a year 183%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Field-Tested
4.7 3125
In a year 153%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Minimal Wear
4.7 3279
In a year 133%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Well-Worn
4.8 1516
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
$ 0.62
77%
From last month
145 offers on 8 markets
4.8 1537
In a year 50%
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Factory New
$ 4.18
49%
From last month
99 offers on 10 markets
$ 0.64
36%
From last month
423 offers on 8 markets
4.8 1621
In a year 45%
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Minimal Wear
$ 1.28
41%
From last month
161 offers on 10 markets
4.8 1669
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Well-Worn
$ 0.81
98%
From last month
95 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497088
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
4.4 497005
In a year 191%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Battle-Scarred
4.4 497056
In a year 205%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Factory New
4.4 497101
In a year 103%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Field-Tested
$ 6.7
67%
From last month
317 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497047
In a year 145%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Minimal Wear
$ 8.65
31%
From last month
149 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497042
In a year 136%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Well-Worn
$ 7.06
35%
From last month
37 offers on 7 markets
4.8 967033
MP5-SD | Bamboo Garden
Consumer Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Bamboo Garden
4.8 967136
In half a year 55%
MP5-SD | Bamboo Garden
Consumer Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Bamboo Garden
Battle-Scarred

Description

History

History

The StatTrak MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Factory New) appeared for the first time in the Counter-Strike: Global Offensive community on December 3rd, 2020. This highly sought-after skin was introduced in the Operation Broken Fang Case during the "Operation Broken Fang" update. The design is really beautiful and an artistic creation by the very talented community designer going by the name Andy, adding a touch of personal flair to the weapon.

Origin

Origin

An expensive one, such as the Condition Zero (Factory New), StatTrak MP5-SD, is through the opening of an Operation Broken Fang Case container. But this is also one skin out of a collection: this skin belongs to the exclusive Operation Broken Fang Collection that adds even more to this skin's rarity.

Popularity

Popularity

The MP5-SD | Condition Zero Factory New is one of the most popular CS2 skins, with an appealing rating of 85%. Thereby, it's among the top 15% of the most popular items in the game, defined by its steady volume of sales every day and its reasonable value.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Factory New) is one of 237 other SMG skins. This makes the skin relatively popular and common to drop. It has an estimated droprate of 79.92%, making it a Mil-Spec Grade item.

Availability

Availability

The StatTrak MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Factory New) is very affordable, with the price ranging between $0.19-$2.28, and thus rather accessible to players. Also, it's available for trading on every market, so one shouldn't experience any troubles acquiring this skin. This is supported by the current amount of Condition Zero skin, around 728.7K units circulating in the public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The CS2 StatTrak MP5-SD | Condition Zero is available in all exteriors, ranging from 0.00 to 1.00 float value, which further promises extreme variety in their look and feel. Plus, there's also a corresponding StatTrak version of the skin for each exterior to let players keep track of kills with class.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment for the StatTrak MP5-SD | Condition Zero Factory New for CS2 is one of being very great, reflected by the 4.9 out of 5-star rating from over 1.3K votes on addskins.gg. Its ownership by well-acknowledged professional CS2 players like fallen and s1mple also goes to assert its popularity.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New StatTrak MP5-SD features a "Gunsmith" finish, combining artful applications of patina with custom paint styles. Condition Zero has been sustained through all of the pattern indexes for a consistent and striking appearance.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 5.88 (42.72%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 9.48 (130.0%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.03
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players