StatTrak MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Factory New)

4.9 875165 reviews
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Latest price change
Last month
$ 0.12
+11.76%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.97
-14.91%
In a quarter
$ 1.36
+19.3%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
50% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
145 offers on 9 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
1 offers
from $ 1.14
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
16 offers
from $ 1.29
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
23 offers
from $ 1.58
Steam
Steam
44 offers
from $ 1.74
Skinport
Skinport
33 offers
from $ 1.89
White.Market
White.Market
18 offers
from $ 2.27
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
1 offers
from $ 2.3
Bitskins
Bitskins
8 offers
from $ 2.35
CS.DEALS
CS.DEALS
1 offers
from $ 14
Inspect skin
StatTrak MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Factory New)
Gallery
MP5-SD | Desert Strike inspecting MP5-SD | Desert Strike reloading MP5-SD | Desert Strike holding MP5-SD | Desert Strike pose-1 MP5-SD | Desert Strike pose-2 MP5-SD | Desert Strike pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 1.14
  • 7 days low: $ 1.14
  • 7 days high: $ 26.82
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 1.02
  • 30 days high: $ 27.02
  • 30 days price change: 11.76%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.83
  • 90 days high: $ 27.22
  • Year low: $ 0.81
  • Year high: $ 27.22
  • All time low: $ 0.81
  • All time high: $ 27.22
  • All time max offers: 217
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 4
  • Sales for last 7 days: 42
  • Sales for last 30 days: 191
  • Sales for last 90 days: 550
  • All time sales: 1747
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 4, 2025
  • Risk: -0.161
  • Volatility: 20.96%
  • Liquidity: 26.77%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.97
  • Price forecast change in a month: -14.91%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 1.36
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 19.3%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.89
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.86
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.9
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.9
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.86
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.98
Action
✋ Hold
August 28, 2025
Price
$ 0.95
Action
❌ Avoid
September 21, 2025
Price
$ 1.06
Action
✋ Hold
September 30, 2025
Price
$ 1.14
Action
❌ Avoid
October 8, 2025
Price
$ 0.89
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 1
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.86
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.9
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.9
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.86
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.99
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.98
Action
✋ Hold
August 28, 2025
Price
$ 0.97
Action
✋ Hold
September 5, 2025
Price
$ 1
Action
✋ Hold
September 13, 2025
Price
$ 0.95
Action
❌ Avoid
September 21, 2025
Price
$ 1.06
Action
✋ Hold
September 30, 2025
Price
$ 1.14
Action
❌ Avoid
October 8, 2025
Price
$ 1.33
Action
❌ Avoid
October 16, 2025
Price
$ 1.4
Action
❌ Avoid
October 24, 2025
Price
$ 1.16
Action
❌ Avoid
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 1.02
Action
❌ Avoid
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 1.38
Action
❌ Avoid
November 4, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
18
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 18 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
50%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1912
3220
2516
10163
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/120
  • Damage: 27
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 750
  • Movement speed: 235
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
4.7 3169
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4.7 3252
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Field-Tested
4.7 3125
In a year 153%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
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MP5-SD
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Minimal Wear
4.7 3279
In a year 133%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Well-Worn
4.8 1516
MP5-SD | Agent
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$ 0.62
77%
From last month
139 offers on 8 markets
4.8 1537
In a year 50%
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Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
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Factory New
$ 4.18
49%
From last month
97 offers on 10 markets
$ 0.64
36%
From last month
403 offers on 8 markets
4.8 1621
In a year 45%
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
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MP5-SD
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Minimal Wear
$ 1.28
41%
From last month
149 offers on 10 markets
4.8 1669
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Well-Worn
$ 0.81
98%
From last month
109 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497088
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
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4.4 497005
In a year 191%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Battle-Scarred
4.4 497056
In a year 205%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
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Factory New
4.4 497101
In a year 103%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Field-Tested
$ 6.74
68%
From last month
311 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497047
In a year 145%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Minimal Wear
$ 8.71
33%
From last month
143 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497042
In a year 136%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Well-Worn
$ 7.06
35%
From last month
36 offers on 7 markets
4.8 967033
MP5-SD | Bamboo Garden
Consumer Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Bamboo Garden
4.8 967136
In half a year 55%
MP5-SD | Bamboo Garden
Consumer Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Bamboo Garden
Battle-Scarred

Description

The StatTrak MP5-SD | Desert Strike is one of the most wanted submachine guns, mythical for its versatility and mass popularity. With this variant, gamers should get a deadly combination of stealth and power with the integrated silencer, striking with precise, lethal blows. Besides that, the sleek, tan-and-black high-tech design further enhances the aesthetic appeal of making it quite formidable in both offense and defense.

History

History

The StatTrak MP5-SD | Desert Strike was added to the CS2 weapon pool on March 31st, 2020, with the Prisma 2 Case update. This striking skin is designed by a community artist named "Nextgenz" and, quite soon, reached a high level of popularity because it boasts intricate desert-themed patterns; meanwhile, the added allure of the StatTrak feature tracks the number of kills made with this gun.

Origin

Origin

The Desert Strike, Factory New skin of a StatTrak MP5-SD is highly sought after and drops from the container Prisma 2 Case, which has a chance to drop other various extremely valuable and rare weapon skins. This skin is also part of the exclusive Prisma 2 Collection, adding its demand among players and collectors.

Popularity

Popularity

StatTrak MP5-SD | Desert Strike is an 85% rated popular choice in the CS2 skins. The popularity of this skin comes from its relatively rare occurrence and high demand, hence making it to the top 15% of wanted items in the game due to its daily volume of sales and price in the market.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Factory New) is just one of 237 other SMG skins, which makes it relatively common. This skin has a Mil-Spec Grade rarity, and the estimated drop chance is 79.92%, making this skin very common during gameplay.

Availability

Availability

The CS2 StatTrak MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Factory New) is one of the cheapest skins, as its market prices range from $0.03-$0.93. It is also relatively easy to get from several markets if a player wants to add it to his collection. Moreover, there are more than 1.9 million units of the skin called Desert Strike in public inventories in CS2.

Versions

Versions

The StatTrak MP5-SD | Desert Strike Factory New exists in all skins and features a float value between 0.00 and 1.00, so players can choose which look they want their skin to have. For each type of exterior, there is a StatTrak variant, so collectors and enthusiasts will be able to track their kills with this striking weapon skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

This skin gains overwhelmingly positive feedback from the community with an average rating of 4.9 out of 5-star reviews on addskins.gg, tallying over 875 votes for this StatTrak MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Factory New) in CS2. The popularity of the skin is underlined by the ownership of professional players like fnx and s1mple.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New StatTrak MP5-SD | Desert Strike sports a really modern, slick design with a "Custom Paint Job" style in black and gray colors. The Desert Strike finish adds to its uniqueness and versatility, allowing for a wide range of customizable looks without any variation in pattern indexes.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 0.97 (-14.91%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 1.36 (19.3%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.03
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players