StatTrak MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Well-Worn)

4.9 875095 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.006
+5.45%
Last month
$ 0.031
+36.47%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.08
-31.21%
In a quarter
$ 0.138
+18.53%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
67% - Forecast accuracy
0% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
242 offers on 8 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
StatTrak MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Well-Worn)
Gallery
MP5-SD | Desert Strike inspecting MP5-SD | Desert Strike reloading MP5-SD | Desert Strike holding MP5-SD | Desert Strike pose-1 MP5-SD | Desert Strike pose-2 MP5-SD | Desert Strike pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.116
  • 7 days low: $ 0.11
  • 7 days high: $ 10
  • 7 days price change: 5.45%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.085
  • 30 days high: $ 10
  • 30 days price change: 36.47%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.07
  • 90 days high: $ 10
  • Year low: $ 0.007
  • Year high: $ 10
  • All time low: $ 0.007
  • All time high: $ 10
  • All time max offers: 530
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 34
  • Sales for last 7 days: 317
  • Sales for last 30 days: 1356
  • Sales for last 90 days: 2643
  • All time sales: 7451
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 4, 2025
  • Risk: 0.1982
  • Volatility: 24.0%
  • Liquidity: 18.99%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.08
  • Price forecast change in a month: -31.21%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.138
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 18.53%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.071
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.08
Action
✋ Hold
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.08
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.08
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.11
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.03
37.50%
Result
👍 Success
November 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.071
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.068
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.083
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.05
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.05
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.08
Action
✋ Hold
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.08
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.08
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.08
Action
🔥 Buy
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 0.07
Action
🔥 Buy
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 0.08
Action
🔥 Buy
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 0.08
Action
🔥 Buy
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 0.08
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.09
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.09
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.09
Action
🔥 Buy
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.09
Action
🔥 Buy
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.11
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.03
37.50%
Result
👍 Success
November 4, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.03
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0.08
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
17
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
67%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
0%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1912
3220
2516
10163
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/120
  • Damage: 27
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 750
  • Movement speed: 235
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
4.7 3169
In a year 116%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Battle-Scarred
4.7 3124
In a year 149%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Factory New
4.7 3252
In a year 183%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Field-Tested
4.7 3125
In a year 153%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Minimal Wear
4.7 3279
In a year 133%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Well-Worn
4.8 1516
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
$ 0.62
77%
From last month
149 offers on 8 markets
4.8 1537
In a year 50%
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Factory New
$ 4.18
49%
From last month
99 offers on 10 markets
$ 0.64
36%
From last month
427 offers on 8 markets
4.8 1621
In a year 45%
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Minimal Wear
$ 1.28
41%
From last month
159 offers on 10 markets
4.8 1669
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Well-Worn
$ 0.81
98%
From last month
114 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497088
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
4.4 497005
In a year 191%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Battle-Scarred
4.4 497056
In a year 205%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Factory New
4.4 497101
In a year 103%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Field-Tested
$ 6.7
67%
From last month
315 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497047
In a year 145%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Minimal Wear
$ 8.65
31%
From last month
150 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497042
In a year 136%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Well-Worn
$ 7.06
35%
From last month
37 offers on 7 markets
4.8 967033
MP5-SD | Bamboo Garden
Consumer Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Bamboo Garden
4.8 967136
In half a year 55%
MP5-SD | Bamboo Garden
Consumer Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Bamboo Garden
Battle-Scarred

Description

The StatTrak MP5-SD | Desert Strike is probably one of the most desired SMG to be invented, merging versatility and popularity into a real killer. Having had a silencer fitted as standard, this version has grown even more sinister in your hands because of stealthy takedowns that the silencer now permits. Its high-tech custom design with a tan and black coloring lends class to lethal functionality.

History

History

The MP5-SD | Desert Strike was added to CS2 on March 31st, 2020, when the Prisma 2 Case update went live. This skin features a desert camouflage pattern as designed by the community designer Nextgenz. This skin gives this weapon a rugged and really battled look.

Origin

Origin

This well-worn skin, StatTrak MP5-SD | Desert Strike, was driven into the CS2 community by the Prisma 2 Case, accessible to players in exchange for a variety of weapon skins. The skin is also part of the Prisma 2 Collection, which further sets its exclusivity and raises its value in player preference.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Well-Worn) is one of the most popular skins, currently holding a position in the top 15% of the most demanded skins in CS2. This is judged on its sales volume over a day and the price of the skin, with an outstanding popularity rating of 85%.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Well-Worn) is one of 237 other skins available for SMG. Given its Mil-Spec Grade rarity, this skin can be considered relatively common - its drop chance is estimated to be 79.92%.

Availability

Availability

The price of the StatTrak MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Well-Worn) for CS2 skins ranges from $0.03 to $0.93, which is relatively cheap. It is listed on several markets, which makes it very easy to purchase. Moreover, there are up to 1.9 million units of the skin type currently in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value for StatTrak MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Well-Worn) in CS2 ranges from 0.38 to 0.45, featuring light abrasions and subtle scratches, with wear visible, but still a bit shy from the maximum. This variant is available in all exterior versions; each of them also has a StatTrak version, which allows tracking of kills with this skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The general sentiment of the community about StatTrak MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Well-Worn) in CS2 is overwhelmingly positive, having a remarkable average rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars, with over 875 votes on addskins.gg. This is further reinforced by the ownership among esteemed professional CS2 players, including fnx and s1mple.

Finish style

Finish style

The wear and tear of the StatTrak MP5-SD | Desert Strike features a "Custom Paint Job" style, allowing a wide array of colors and creating a sleek, personalized look. Its black and gray color scheme gives it a rather sophisticated and tactical look, while the finish of the Desert Strike is the same for all pattern indexes, thus being consistent and good-looking.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 0.08 (-31.21%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 0.138 (18.53%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.41
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players