StatTrak MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New)

4.8 1164 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.21
+7.14%
Last month
$ 0.68
+27.53%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 2.56
-18.99%
In a quarter
$ 3.09
-2.22%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
40% - Forecast accuracy
40% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
150 offers on 9 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
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from $ 3.15
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from $ 3.19
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from $ 3.74
Avan.Market
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2 offers
from $ 3.83
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
6 offers
from $ 3.85
ShadowPay
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10 offers
from $ 4.3
Steam
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66 offers
from $ 4.5
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
2 offers
from $ 4.55
Inspect skin
StatTrak MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New)
Gallery
MP5-SD | Kitbash inspecting MP5-SD | Kitbash reloading MP5-SD | Kitbash holding MP5-SD | Kitbash pose-1 MP5-SD | Kitbash pose-2 MP5-SD | Kitbash pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 3.15
  • 7 days low: $ 2.94
  • 7 days high: $ 34
  • 7 days price change: 7.14%
  • 30 days low: $ 2.47
  • 30 days high: $ 34
  • 30 days price change: 27.53%
  • 90 days low: $ 2.28
  • 90 days high: $ 1 000
  • Year low: $ 2.28
  • Year high: $ 1 000
  • All time low: $ 2.28
  • All time high: $ 1 000
  • All time max offers: 708
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 16
  • Sales for last 7 days: 169
  • Sales for last 30 days: 576
  • Sales for last 90 days: 1483
  • All time sales: 4235
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: -0.1653
  • Volatility: 14.48%
  • Liquidity: 20.58%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 2.56
  • Price forecast change in a month: -18.99%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 3.09
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -2.22%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 3.07
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 2.88
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 2.91
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 2.83
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 2.73
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 2.63
Action
✋ Hold
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 2.71
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 2.92
Action
✋ Hold
September 19, 2025
Price
$ 3.13
Action
❌ Avoid
September 27, 2025
Price
$ 3.17
Action
✋ Hold
October 13, 2025
Price
$ 2.47
Action
❌ Avoid
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 3.07
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 2.88
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 2.91
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 2.83
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 2.73
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 2.63
Action
✋ Hold
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 2.71
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 2.76
Action
❌ Avoid
September 3, 2025
Price
$ 3
Action
❌ Avoid
September 11, 2025
Price
$ 2.92
Action
✋ Hold
September 19, 2025
Price
$ 3.13
Action
❌ Avoid
September 27, 2025
Price
$ 3.18
Action
❌ Avoid
October 5, 2025
Price
$ 3.17
Action
✋ Hold
October 13, 2025
Price
$ 3.19
Action
✋ Hold
October 21, 2025
Price
$ 2.47
Action
❌ Avoid
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 3.15
Action
❌ Avoid
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
40%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
40%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1912
3220
2516
10163
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/120
  • Damage: 27
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 750
  • Movement speed: 235
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
4.7 3169
In a year 116%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Battle-Scarred
4.7 3124
In a year 149%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Factory New
4.7 3252
In a year 183%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Field-Tested
4.7 3125
In a year 153%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Minimal Wear
4.7 3279
In a year 133%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Well-Worn
4.8 1516
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
$ 0.62
77%
From last month
142 offers on 8 markets
4.8 1537
In a year 50%
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Factory New
$ 4.18
49%
From last month
99 offers on 10 markets
$ 0.64
36%
From last month
423 offers on 8 markets
4.8 1621
In a year 45%
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Minimal Wear
$ 1.28
41%
From last month
161 offers on 10 markets
4.8 1669
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Well-Worn
$ 0.81
98%
From last month
95 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497088
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
4.4 497005
In a year 191%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Battle-Scarred
4.4 497056
In a year 205%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Factory New
4.4 497101
In a year 103%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Field-Tested
$ 6.7
66%
From last month
317 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497047
In a year 145%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Minimal Wear
$ 8.65
31%
From last month
147 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497042
In a year 136%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Well-Worn
$ 7.06
35%
From last month
37 offers on 7 markets
4.8 967033
MP5-SD | Bamboo Garden
Consumer Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Bamboo Garden
4.8 967136
In half a year 55%
MP5-SD | Bamboo Garden
Consumer Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Bamboo Garden
Battle-Scarred

Description

History

History

The StatTrak MP5-SD | Kitbash was presented to the CS2 community for the first time on August 6th, 2020. It was released as part of the Fracture Case and designed by the very talented community artist SA_22. This skin instantly became famous among players due to its special, detailed design in Factory New condition.

Origin

Origin

It replaced the StatTrak MP5-SD | Kitbash added to CS2. The skin is rare because it was dropped only by opening a container in Fracture Case. This is, to this date, the one-and-only skin that has entered an exclusive collection called Fracture Collection, making it highly valued, specially due to its sleek appearance.

Popularity

Popularity

The SkinStatTrak MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) currently holds an incredibly high demand with a popularity rating of 90%. Due to such widespread popularity, this skin ranks as one of the most coveted in CS2, according to the volume of its day-to-day sales and current price in the market.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak MP5-SD | Kitbash is a rather rare drop, one out of 237 other SMG skins in CS2. This skin is of restricted rarity, and its Factory New version has an estimated drop chance of 15.98%, furthering its rarity for collectors.

Availability

Availability

MP5-SD | Kitbash Factory New for CS2 is one of the most inexpensive items, and its price starts from $0.22 and goes up to $2.47. This skin is easily available since it is provided by a lot of markets and is found in about 1.2 million units in the public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

This is because the float value range of the StatTrak MP5-SD | Kitbash Factory New in CS2 ranges from 0.00 to 0.80, so every exterior of this skin is possible to get. For every exterior, there is also an available StatTrak variant, which will allow collectors to track their kills.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community attitude towards StatTrak MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) in CS2 is so good, where the general rating is high at 4.8 out of 5 stars according to more than 1K votes on addskins.gg. Moreover, this skin belonged to such well-known professional players as fnx and olofmeister, which increases the popularity and desirability among gamers.

Finish style

Finish style

The StatTrak MP5-SD | Kitbash, Factory New skin in CS2 depicts a "Gunsmith"-style pattern and has really combined the masterwork of patina together with custom paint, therefore creating a style both eclectic and visually catching. Whatever pattern index, the given skin doesn't change, only showing up as one look.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 2.56 (-18.99%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 3.09 (-2.22%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players